Japan · J1 League · Regular Season - 15

Cerezo Osaka

13º · 1.18 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 0h

–

FC Tokyo

4º · 2.18 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 26d 23h

Yodoko Sakura Stadium·Osaka·Japan·24,481

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Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 21 November 2026. Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. FC Tokyo have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 73%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Cerezo Osaka and 1.61 for FC Tokyo. The models give Cerezo Osaka a 28% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC Tokyo win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Cerezo Osaka

—

FC Tokyo

13º

Position

4º

1.18

PPG

2.18

27%

Win %

64%

0.91

Goals / game

1.91

1.55

Conceded / game

0.73

45%

BTTS %

27%

36%

Clean sheet %

73%

36%

Over 2.5 %

45%

5.2

Avg corners

5.2

11.6

Avg shots

16.4

3.3

Avg shots on target

4.9

1.8

Avg yellow cards

1.3

9.5

Avg fouls

10.7

53.5%

Avg possession

54.5%

Home vs Away

Cerezo Osaka

Home (6)

—

FC Tokyo

Away (5)

1.83

PPG

2.20

50%

Win %

60%

1.17

Goals / game

2.40

0.83

Conceded / game

0.60

33%

BTTS %

40%

67%

Clean sheet %

60%

33%

Over 2.5 %

60%

5.2

Avg corners

5.2

11.6

Avg shots

16.4

3.3

Avg shots on target

4.9

1.8

Avg yellow cards

1.3

53.5%

Avg possession

54.5%

Goals Scored

	Cerezo Osaka	Home	Away	FC Tokyo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	71%	60%	92%	86%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	33%	57%	0%	67%	57%	80%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	33%	29%	40%
Failed To Score	33%	29%	40%	8%	14%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Cerezo Osaka	Home	Away	FC Tokyo	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	43%	100%	25%	14%	40%
Over 1.5 Conceded	33%	29%	40%	17%	14%	20%
Over 2.5 Conceded	25%	14%	40%	8%	14%	0%
Clean Sheets	33%	57%	0%	75%	86%	60%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Cerezo Osaka	FC Tokyo
Over 0.5	83%	92%
Over 1.5	67%	83%
Over 2.5	42%	50%
Over 3.5	25%	33%
Over 4.5	17%	17%
BTTS	50%	25%
BTTS & Win	8%	0%
BTTS & Draw	25%	17%
BTTS & Over 2.5	33%	17%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	8%	33%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Cerezo Osaka	FC Tokyo
Win 1st Half	17%	33%
Draw 1st Half	33%	58%
Loss 1st Half	50%	8%
Scored 1st Half	25%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	58%	17%
Win 2nd Half	42%	67%
Draw 2nd Half	25%	25%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	8%
Scored 2nd Half	58%	83%
Conceded 2nd Half	42%	25%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	25%

Recent Venue Form

Cerezo Osaka (H)

JEF United Chiba2–2

Kawasaki Frontale2–4

Yokohama F. Marinos0–0

Kagoshima United2–0

Tokyo Verdy0–0

Kashiwa Reysol2–0

FC Tokyo (A)

Tokyo Verdy4–0

Mito Hollyhock0–1

Ehime FC2–0

Gamba Osaka2–0

Shimizu S-pulse1–1

V-varen Nagasaki3–0

Number of Corners

10.4

Corners / Match

11 games

League Avg

9.2

114 games

9.4

Corners / Match

11 games

Match Corners	Cerezo Osaka	FC Tokyo	League Avg
Over 6	73%	73%	75%
Over 7	73%	55%	62%
Over 8	73%	55%	56%
Over 9	64%	45%	43%
Over 10	64%	36%	34%
Over 11	55%	18%	24%
Over 12	55%	9%	17%
Over 13	9%	9%	8%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Cerezo Osaka	FC Tokyo
Corners Earned / Match	5.2	5.2
Corners Against / Match	5.3	4.2
Over 2.5 Corners For	82%	82%
Over 3.5 Corners For	73%	55%
Over 4.5 Corners For	55%	36%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	82%	82%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	73%	73%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	45%	45%

Head to Head · 32 matches

Cerezo Osaka

34%

Draws

31%

FC Tokyo

34%

66%

Over 1.5

21/32

47%

Over 2.5

15/32

28%

Over 3.5

9/32

47%

BTTS

15/32

06/06/26

FC Tokyo

1–3

Cerezo Osaka

30/05/26

Cerezo Osaka

2–2

FC Tokyo

06/08/25

FC Tokyo

2–1

Cerezo Osaka

14/06/25

FC Tokyo

2–2

Cerezo Osaka

20/04/25

Cerezo Osaka

1–1

FC Tokyo

08/12/24

FC Tokyo

3–0

Cerezo Osaka

24/02/24

Cerezo Osaka

2–2

FC Tokyo

06/08/23

Cerezo Osaka

0–1

FC Tokyo

24/05/23

FC Tokyo

0–0

Cerezo Osaka

15/04/23

FC Tokyo

1–2

Cerezo Osaka

08/03/23

Cerezo Osaka

1–0

FC Tokyo

12/10/22

FC Tokyo

4–0

Cerezo Osaka

06/03/22

Cerezo Osaka

0–1

FC Tokyo

21/07/21

Cerezo Osaka

3–3

FC Tokyo

06/03/21

FC Tokyo

3–2

Cerezo Osaka

23/09/20

FC Tokyo

2–0

Cerezo Osaka

09/08/20

Cerezo Osaka

0–0

FC Tokyo

03/08/19

FC Tokyo

3–0

Cerezo Osaka

26/06/19

Cerezo Osaka

1–1

FC Tokyo

19/06/19

FC Tokyo

1–0

Cerezo Osaka

J1 League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	8	3	1	+20	27
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Kashiwa Reysol	12	8	1	3	+6	25
4	FC Tokyo	11	7	3	1	+13	24
5	Vissel Kobe	12	7	2	3	+7	23
6	Kashima	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Kawasaki Frontale	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Urawa	11	6	0	5	-3	18
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	11	4	5	2	+4	17
10	Fagiano Okayama	11	5	1	5	-1	16
11	Shimizu S-pulse	12	4	2	6	-10	14
12	Nagoya Grampus	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	3	4	4	-7	13
14	V-varen Nagasaki	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	Kyoto Sanga	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	1	5	6	-12	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	2	1	9	-8	7
20	JEF United Chiba	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team Insights

Cerezo Osaka

●Cerezo Osaka have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
●Cerezo Osaka have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
●Cerezo Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Cerezo Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
●Cerezo Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●75% of Cerezo Osaka's goals have been scored at home.
●86% of Cerezo Osaka's points have been earned at home.
●Cerezo Osaka have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.