Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J1 League
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 8 November 2026. Machida Zelvia have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 67% of their 12 matches, with 2.42 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 58%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Machida Zelvia and 1.41 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The models give Machida Zelvia a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Machida Zelvia—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1º
Position
2º
2.25
PPG
2.17
67%
Win %
67%
2.50
Goals / game
2.42
0.83
Conceded / game
0.83
58%
BTTS %
33%
42%
Clean sheet %
58%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.3
Avg corners
7.4
14.4
Avg shots
19.9
6.0
Avg shots on target
7.1
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
11.0
Avg fouls
9.0
51.0%
Avg possession
61.4%
Home vs Away
Machida Zelvia
Home (5)
—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.67
60%
Win %
50%
2.20
Goals / game
1.50
1.40
Conceded / game
1.33
80%
BTTS %
33%
20%
Clean sheet %
50%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.3
Avg corners
7.4
14.4
Avg shots
19.9
6.0
Avg shots on target
7.1
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
51.0%
Avg possession
61.4%
Goals Scored
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 57% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 57% | 50% | 83% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 80% | 43% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 20% | 57% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS | 58% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 42% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Machida Zelvia (H)W
Avispa Fukuoka3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–0D
Kyoto Sanga0–0
Kyoto Sanga0–0W
Tochigi City2–1
Tochigi City2–1L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4W
Svay Rieng2–0
Svay Rieng2–0D
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A)L
V-varen Nagasaki0–4
V-varen Nagasaki0–4W
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
Tokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WTochigi City2–0
Tochigi City2–0WAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0L
Fagiano Okayama2–3
Fagiano Okayama2–3Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.8
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 50% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 42% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 7.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 8% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Machida Zelvia
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
100%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
04/10/25Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1Machida Zelvia16/02/25Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Machida Zelvia
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima28/09/24Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0Machida Zelvia03/04/24Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Machida Zelvia
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Machida Zelvia- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●63% of Machida Zelvia's points have been earned away.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Machida ZelviaDAVissel Kobe0–0
Vissel Kobe0–0WAShimizu S-pulse5–0
Shimizu S-pulse5–0WHAvispa Fukuoka3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–0WAKyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0LHKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1–HGamba Osaka01/11
Gamba Osaka01/11–HSanfrecce Hiroshima08/11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima08/11–HV-varen Nagasaki21/11
V-varen Nagasaki21/11Sanfrecce HiroshimaWHShimizu S-pulse4–0
Shimizu S-pulse4–0LAV-varen Nagasaki0–4
V-varen Nagasaki0–4WHKyoto Sanga3–0
Kyoto Sanga3–0WATokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WAAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0WHCerezo Osaka6–1
Cerezo Osaka6–1–AMito Hollyhock31/10
Mito Hollyhock31/10–AMachida Zelvia08/11
Machida Zelvia08/11–HYokohama F. Marinos21/11
Yokohama F. Marinos21/11Top Scorers
Machida ZelviaKoki Ogawa4 ⚽
Takuma Nishimura3 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
Henry Heroki Mochizuki2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAkito Suzuki6 ⚽
Shun Ayukawa3 ⚽
A. Suzuki3 ⚽
Mutsuki Kato2 ⚽
Sébastien Haller2 ⚽
Taishi Matsumoto2 ⚽
Cards Given
Machida ZelviaTakahiro Akimoto3 🟨
Daihachi Okamura1 🟨
Gen Shoji1 🟨
Hiroyuki Mae1 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSébastien Haller2 🟨
Y. Nakajima2 🟨
Daiki Suga1 🟨
H. Kawabe1 🟨
Hayato Araki1 🟨
A. Suzuki1 🟨