Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki — J1 League
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Best Denki Stadium·Fukuoka·Japan·22,331
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Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 7 November 2026. Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. V-varen Nagasaki have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.12 for V-varen Nagasaki. The models give Avispa Fukuoka a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an V-varen Nagasaki win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka—
V-varen Nagasaki19º
Position
14º
0.58
PPG
1.09
17%
Win %
27%
1.08
Goals / game
1.36
1.75
Conceded / game
1.64
58%
BTTS %
55%
8%
Clean sheet %
18%
67%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.4
Avg corners
3.9
12.4
Avg shots
11.8
4.2
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
13.5
Avg fouls
11.2
42.4%
Avg possession
43.9%
Home vs Away
Avispa Fukuoka
Home (7)
—
V-varen Nagasaki
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.20
29%
Win %
0%
1.29
Goals / game
0.80
1.29
Conceded / game
2.20
57%
BTTS %
60%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.4
Avg corners
3.9
12.4
Avg shots
11.8
4.2
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
42.4%
Avg possession
43.9%
Goals Scored
| Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 71% | 60% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 43% | 20% | 42% | 67% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 86% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 29% | 80% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 14% | 60% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 14% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Avispa Fukuoka (H)L
Gamba Osaka1–2
Gamba Osaka1–2W
Fagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1L
Yokohama FC0–1
Yokohama FC0–1L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1D
Mito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1L
Urawa2–3
Urawa2–3V-varen Nagasaki (A)LUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1L
Kashima0–2
Kashima0–2D
JEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1L
Shimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
Gainare Tottori0–2
Gainare Tottori0–2W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0Number of Corners
7.8
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 58% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 33% | 73% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 64% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 17% | 64% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 8% | 27% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 9% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 9% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 25% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 17% | 45% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Avispa Fukuoka
38%
5
Draws
31%
5
V-varen Nagasaki
31%
31%
Over 1.5
5/16
25%
Over 2.5
4/16
13%
Over 3.5
2/16
25%
BTTS
4/16
11/04/26V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0V-varen Nagasaki15/03/26Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Avispa Fukuoka13/07/22V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2–0V-varen Nagasaki27/09/20Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1–3Avispa Fukuoka04/07/20V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1–2V-varen Nagasaki07/09/19Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Avispa Fukuoka02/03/19V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0–0V-varen Nagasaki16/08/17V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1V-varen Nagasaki15/04/17Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–1Avispa Fukuoka29/11/15V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0V-varen Nagasaki26/07/15V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0–0V-varen Nagasaki28/06/15Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Avispa Fukuoka17/08/14Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Avispa Fukuoka13/04/14V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2–5V-varen Nagasaki18/08/13V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2–1V-varen Nagasaki29/06/13Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Avispa Fukuoka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Avispa Fukuoka- ●Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Avispa Fukuoka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Avispa Fukuoka's points have been earned at home.
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Avispa FukuokaLATokyo Verdy1–3
Tokyo Verdy1–3LHGamba Osaka1–2
Gamba Osaka1–2LAMachida Zelvia0–3
Machida Zelvia0–3WHFagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1LAShimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1–AJEF United Chiba01/11
JEF United Chiba01/11–HV-varen Nagasaki07/11
V-varen Nagasaki07/11–AKawasaki Frontale21/11
Kawasaki Frontale21/11V-varen NagasakiLAUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0LAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2DAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0–HTokyo Verdy01/11
Tokyo Verdy01/11–AAvispa Fukuoka07/11
Avispa Fukuoka07/11–AMachida Zelvia21/11
Machida Zelvia21/11Top Scorers
Avispa FukuokaYu Hashimoto2 ⚽
Shu Morooka2 ⚽
Werik Popo2 ⚽
Yota Maejima1 ⚽
K. Fujimoto1 ⚽
Y. Tsujioka1 ⚽
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus4 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda4 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Hijiri Onaga1 ⚽
Cards Given
Avispa FukuokaTomoya Miki3 🟨
Yuma Tsujioka3 🟨
Shu Morooka2 🟨
Daiki Miya2 🟨
K. Maeda2 🟨
Kokoro Maeda2 🟨
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Jonathan Junior2 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Kenshin Yasuda1 🟨
Hijiri Onaga1 🟨