V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy — J1 League
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V-varen Nagasaki and Tokyo Verdy meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 1 November 2026. V-varen Nagasaki have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Tokyo Verdy have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.06 for Tokyo Verdy. The models give V-varen Nagasaki a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tokyo Verdy win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
V-varen Nagasaki—
Tokyo Verdy14º
Position
18º
1.09
PPG
0.67
27%
Win %
8%
1.36
Goals / game
0.75
1.64
Conceded / game
1.75
55%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
17%
55%
Over 2.5 %
42%
3.9
Avg corners
3.7
11.8
Avg shots
8.8
3.7
Avg shots on target
2.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.2
Avg fouls
14.3
43.9%
Avg possession
41.6%
Home vs Away
V-varen Nagasaki
Home (6)
—
Tokyo Verdy
Away (4)
1.83
PPG
0.75
50%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
0.75
1.17
Conceded / game
1.25
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.9
Avg corners
3.7
11.8
Avg shots
8.8
3.7
Avg shots on target
2.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
43.9%
Avg possession
41.6%
Goals Scored
| V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 83% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 67% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
V-varen Nagasaki (H)W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0D
Cerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1W
Nagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0D
Gamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2L
FC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3W
Ehime FC3–2
Ehime FC3–2Tokyo Verdy (A)D
Yokohama F. Marinos2–2
Yokohama F. Marinos2–2D
Gainare Tottori0–0
Gainare Tottori0–0L
Sagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2L
Urawa1–3
Urawa1–3W
Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0DCerezo Osaka0–0
Cerezo Osaka0–0Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 82% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 36% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 27% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 9% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 64% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
9
V-varen Nagasaki
43%
6
Draws
29%
6
Tokyo Verdy
29%
71%
Over 1.5
15/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
10%
Over 3.5
2/21
62%
BTTS
13/21
05/07/23V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1–2V-varen Nagasaki07/05/23Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–2Tokyo Verdy06/08/22V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1–0V-varen Nagasaki19/02/22Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Tokyo Verdy07/11/21V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–3V-varen Nagasaki25/04/21Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Tokyo Verdy13/12/20V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–2V-varen Nagasaki02/08/20Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Tokyo Verdy31/08/19Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1Tokyo Verdy05/05/19V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
2–1V-varen Nagasaki20/08/17V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
2–1V-varen Nagasaki27/05/17Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Tokyo Verdy16/07/16Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1Tokyo Verdy10/04/16V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–0V-varen Nagasaki20/09/15V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–1V-varen Nagasaki29/03/15Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Tokyo Verdy09/11/14Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Tokyo Verdy30/03/14V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1–5V-varen Nagasaki08/09/13V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
3–2V-varen Nagasaki11/08/13V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
2–1V-varen Nagasaki| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Tokyo Verdy- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●67% of Tokyo Verdy's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Tokyo Verdy's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
V-varen NagasakiLAUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0LAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2DAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0–HTokyo Verdy01/11
Tokyo Verdy01/11–AAvispa Fukuoka07/11
Avispa Fukuoka07/11–AMachida Zelvia21/11
Machida Zelvia21/11Tokyo VerdyWHAvispa Fukuoka3–1
Avispa Fukuoka3–1DAYokohama F. Marinos2–2
Yokohama F. Marinos2–2LHFC Tokyo0–4
FC Tokyo0–4LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2LAUrawa1–3
Urawa1–3DHJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1–AV-varen Nagasaki01/11
V-varen Nagasaki01/11–AShimizu S-pulse07/11
Shimizu S-pulse07/11–HNagoya Grampus21/11
Nagoya Grampus21/11Top Scorers
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus4 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda4 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Hijiri Onaga1 ⚽
Tokyo VerdyGoki Yamada1 ⚽
Issei Kumatoriya1 ⚽
Kanya Fujimoto1 ⚽
N. Hayashi1 ⚽
Naoki Hayashi1 ⚽
S. Mizoguchi1 ⚽
Cards Given
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Jonathan Junior2 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Kenshin Yasuda1 🟨
Hijiri Onaga1 🟨
Tokyo VerdyYuya Fukuda2 🟨
Kaito Suzuki2 🟨
Itsuki Someno2 🟨
Kazunari Ichimi2 🟨
Kim Hyun-Woo1 🟨
Kanya Fujimoto1 🟨