Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo — J1 League
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City Light Stadium·Okayama·Japan·20,000
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Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 31 October 2026. Fagiano Okayama have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. FC Tokyo have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 73%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.69 for FC Tokyo. The models give Fagiano Okayama a 27% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC Tokyo win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Fagiano Okayama—
FC Tokyo10º
Position
4º
1.45
PPG
2.18
45%
Win %
64%
1.27
Goals / game
1.91
1.36
Conceded / game
0.73
64%
BTTS %
27%
27%
Clean sheet %
73%
73%
Over 2.5 %
45%
6.1
Avg corners
5.2
14.1
Avg shots
16.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.3
11.9
Avg fouls
10.7
43.8%
Avg possession
54.5%
Home vs Away
Fagiano Okayama
Home (6)
—
FC Tokyo
Away (5)
1.67
PPG
2.20
50%
Win %
60%
1.17
Goals / game
2.40
1.17
Conceded / game
0.60
33%
BTTS %
40%
50%
Clean sheet %
60%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
6.1
Avg corners
5.2
14.1
Avg shots
16.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.3
43.8%
Avg possession
54.5%
Goals Scored
| Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | FC Tokyo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 67% | 100% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 33% | 40% | 64% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 33% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | FC Tokyo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 50% | 100% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 17% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 50% | 0% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS | 64% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 73% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama (H)W
Mito Hollyhock2–0
Mito Hollyhock2–0L
Vissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe0–3W
JEF United Chiba1–0
JEF United Chiba1–0L
Kyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0
Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0FC Tokyo (A)W
Tokyo Verdy4–0
Tokyo Verdy4–0LMito Hollyhock0–1
Mito Hollyhock0–1W
Ehime FC2–0
Ehime FC2–0W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0D
Shimizu S-pulse1–1
Shimizu S-pulse1–1W
V-varen Nagasaki3–0
V-varen Nagasaki3–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 55% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 55% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 36% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 18% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 9% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 9% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 45% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Fagiano Okayama
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
FC Tokyo
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
25/10/25Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
3–1Fagiano Okayama06/04/25FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
1–0FC Tokyo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Fagiano Okayama- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
FC Tokyo- ●FC Tokyo have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Fagiano OkayamaWHMito Hollyhock2–0
Mito Hollyhock2–0LHVissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe0–3LAAvispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2LHKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2WAUrawa2–1
Urawa2–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2–HFC Tokyo31/10
FC Tokyo31/10–AYokohama F. Marinos07/11
Yokohama F. Marinos07/11–AGamba Osaka21/11
Gamba Osaka21/11FC TokyoDHKashiwa Reysol0–0
Kashiwa Reysol0–0WATokyo Verdy4–0
Tokyo Verdy4–0WHUrawa3–0
Urawa3–0WHNagoya Grampus1–0
Nagoya Grampus1–0WAGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0WHKyoto Sanga2–0
Kyoto Sanga2–0–AFagiano Okayama31/10
Fagiano Okayama31/10–HKashima07/11
Kashima07/11–ACerezo Osaka21/11
Cerezo Osaka21/11Top Scorers
Fagiano OkayamaKota Kawano3 ⚽
Ataru Esaka2 ⚽
Kamiya Yuta1 ⚽
Kosuke Shirai1 ⚽
Lucao1 ⚽
Léo Gaúcho1 ⚽
FC TokyoSoma Anzai5 ⚽
Motoki Nagakura4 ⚽
M. Nagakura3 ⚽
Marcelo Ryan2 ⚽
Teruhito Nakagawa2 ⚽
Dani Gómez2 ⚽
Cards Given
Fagiano OkayamaLucas Marcos Meireles4 🟨
Yoshitake Suzuki3 🟨
Eiji Miyamoto3 🟨
Oberdan Alionço de Lima2 🟨
Haruka Motoyama2 🟨
Leo Gaucho1 🟨
FC TokyoTakahiro Ko2 🟨
Hirokazu Ishihara2 🟨
Kein Sato2 🟨
Marcelo2 🟨
Kashif Bangnagande1 🟨
K. Sato1 🟨