Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka — J1 League
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Machida Zelvia and Gamba Osaka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 1 November 2026. Machida Zelvia have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Gamba Osaka have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Machida Zelvia and 1.29 for Gamba Osaka. The models give Machida Zelvia a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Gamba Osaka win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Machida Zelvia—
Gamba Osaka1º
Position
15º
2.25
PPG
0.92
67%
Win %
17%
2.50
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
1.75
58%
BTTS %
58%
42%
Clean sheet %
8%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.3
Avg corners
4.6
14.4
Avg shots
13.1
6.0
Avg shots on target
4.3
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
11.0
Avg fouls
11.7
51.0%
Avg possession
55.1%
Home vs Away
Machida Zelvia
Home (5)
—
Gamba Osaka
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
0.86
60%
Win %
14%
2.20
Goals / game
1.14
1.40
Conceded / game
1.86
80%
BTTS %
71%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.3
Avg corners
4.6
14.4
Avg shots
13.1
6.0
Avg shots on target
4.3
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
51.0%
Avg possession
55.1%
Goals Scored
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 57% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 57% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 80% | 43% | 92% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 20% | 57% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Machida Zelvia | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Machida Zelvia | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Machida Zelvia (H)W
Avispa Fukuoka3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–0D
Kyoto Sanga0–0
Kyoto Sanga0–0W
Tochigi City2–1
Tochigi City2–1L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4W
Svay Rieng2–0
Svay Rieng2–0D
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1Gamba Osaka (A)WAvispa Fukuoka2–1
Avispa Fukuoka2–1D
Shimizu S-pulse2–2
Shimizu S-pulse2–2W
Newcastle Jets3–1
Newcastle Jets3–1L
Kashima0–2
Kashima0–2LKashiwa Reysol4–5
Kashiwa Reysol4–5L
JEF United Chiba0–2
JEF United Chiba0–2Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
10.3
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Machida Zelvia | Gamba Osaka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 58% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 50% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 25% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 17% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Machida Zelvia | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 58% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Machida Zelvia
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Gamba Osaka
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
15/01/26Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
3–2Machida Zelvia20/08/25Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
3–1Gamba Osaka02/04/25Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
0–1Machida Zelvia30/06/24Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
1–3Machida Zelvia24/02/24Gamba Osaka
Machida Zelvia
1–1Gamba Osaka15/12/12Machida Zelvia
Gamba Osaka
3–2Machida Zelvia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Machida Zelvia- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●63% of Machida Zelvia's points have been earned away.
Gamba Osaka- ●Gamba Osaka have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Machida ZelviaDAVissel Kobe0–0
Vissel Kobe0–0WAShimizu S-pulse5–0
Shimizu S-pulse5–0WHAvispa Fukuoka3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–0WAKyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0LHKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1–HGamba Osaka01/11
Gamba Osaka01/11–HSanfrecce Hiroshima08/11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima08/11–HV-varen Nagasaki21/11
V-varen Nagasaki21/11Gamba OsakaDHKyoto Sanga2–2
Kyoto Sanga2–2WAAvispa Fukuoka2–1
Avispa Fukuoka2–1DAShimizu S-pulse2–2
Shimizu S-pulse2–2LAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2LHVissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1LHFC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2–AMachida Zelvia01/11
Machida Zelvia01/11–HCerezo Osaka08/11
Cerezo Osaka08/11–HFagiano Okayama21/11
Fagiano Okayama21/11Top Scorers
Machida ZelviaKoki Ogawa4 ⚽
Takuma Nishimura3 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
Henry Heroki Mochizuki2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
Gamba OsakaIssam Jebali3 ⚽
Takashi Usami2 ⚽
Welton2 ⚽
I. Jebali1 ⚽
A. Uenaka1 ⚽
Ryotaro Meshino1 ⚽
Cards Given
Machida ZelviaTakahiro Akimoto3 🟨
Daihachi Okamura1 🟨
Gen Shoji1 🟨
Hiroyuki Mae1 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
Gamba OsakaRyo Hatsuse2 🟨
T. Kishimoto2 🟨
Ryoya Yamashita2 🟨
Jun Ichimori1 🟨
Rin Mito1 🟨
S. Abe1 🟨