Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka — J1 League
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Kashima and Cerezo Osaka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 31 October 2026. Kashima have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Cerezo Osaka have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Kashima and 1.00 for Cerezo Osaka. The models give Kashima a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Cerezo Osaka win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Kashima—
Cerezo Osaka6º
Position
13º
1.67
PPG
1.18
50%
Win %
27%
2.08
Goals / game
0.91
1.75
Conceded / game
1.55
67%
BTTS %
45%
25%
Clean sheet %
36%
67%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.1
Avg corners
5.2
16.2
Avg shots
11.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.6
Avg fouls
9.5
58.7%
Avg possession
53.5%
Home vs Away
Kashima
Home (6)
—
Cerezo Osaka
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.40
67%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
0.60
1.17
Conceded / game
2.40
50%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.1
Avg corners
5.2
16.2
Avg shots
11.6
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
58.7%
Avg possession
53.5%
Goals Scored
| Kashima | Home | Away | Cerezo Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 33% | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Kashima | Home | Away | Cerezo Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 83% | 67% | 43% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 33% | 83% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 25% | 14% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 57% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kashima | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 17% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kashima | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Kashima (H)L
Kashiwa Reysol2–3
Kashiwa Reysol2–3W
V-varen Nagasaki2–0
V-varen Nagasaki2–0W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0W
Ventforet Kofu3–1
Ventforet Kofu3–1W
Newcastle Jets7–1
Newcastle Jets7–1L
Urawa0–1
Urawa0–1Cerezo Osaka (A)D
Nagoya Grampus1–1
Nagoya Grampus1–1W
Gainare Tottori3–2
Gainare Tottori3–2W
Fujieda MYFC2–1
Fujieda MYFC2–1DV-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Kashima | Cerezo Osaka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 73% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 42% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 64% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 64% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 55% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 55% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 9% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kashima | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 45% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
21
Kashima
72%
3
Draws
10%
5
Cerezo Osaka
17%
62%
Over 1.5
18/29
41%
Over 2.5
12/29
17%
Over 3.5
5/29
41%
BTTS
12/29
23/09/25Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
3–1Cerezo Osaka12/04/25Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
1–0Kashima30/11/24Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
0–2Kashima02/03/24Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
1–1Cerezo Osaka16/09/23Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
1–0Cerezo Osaka07/05/23Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
0–1Kashima06/07/22Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
3–3Cerezo Osaka29/04/22Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
0–3Kashima13/04/22Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
1–3Kashima02/03/22Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
0–1Cerezo Osaka26/09/21Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
1–2Kashima26/05/21Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
1–0Cerezo Osaka19/12/20Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
1–1Cerezo Osaka19/09/20Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
1–2Kashima06/10/19Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
0–1Kashima14/06/19Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
2–0Cerezo Osaka31/10/18Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
1–0Cerezo Osaka25/07/18Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
0–2Kashima26/08/17Kashima
Cerezo Osaka
0–1Kashima08/04/17Cerezo Osaka
Kashima
0–1Cerezo Osaka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Kashima- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kashima have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kashima have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kashima failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kashima failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Kashima's goals conceded were conceded away.
Cerezo Osaka- ●Cerezo Osaka have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Cerezo Osaka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Cerezo Osaka's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KashimaLHKashiwa Reysol2–3
Kashiwa Reysol2–3DAKyoto Sanga2–2
Kyoto Sanga2–2WHV-varen Nagasaki2–0
V-varen Nagasaki2–0WHGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0DAKawasaki Frontale3–3
Kawasaki Frontale3–3LAVissel Kobe1–2
Vissel Kobe1–2–HCerezo Osaka31/10
Cerezo Osaka31/10–AFC Tokyo07/11
FC Tokyo07/11–HShimizu S-pulse20/11
Shimizu S-pulse20/11Cerezo OsakaDHJEF United Chiba2–2
JEF United Chiba2–2DANagoya Grampus1–1
Nagoya Grampus1–1LHKawasaki Frontale2–4
Kawasaki Frontale2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos0–0
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0DAV-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1LASanfrecce Hiroshima1–6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6–AKashima31/10
Kashima31/10–AGamba Osaka08/11
Gamba Osaka08/11–HFC Tokyo21/11
FC Tokyo21/11Top Scorers
KashimaLéo Ceará6 ⚽
Leo Ceara6 ⚽
A. Cavric3 ⚽
Aleksandar Čavrić3 ⚽
Yuta Matsumura2 ⚽
José Élber Pimentel da Silva1 ⚽
Cerezo OsakaSolomon Sakuragawa3 ⚽
Lucas Fernandes2 ⚽
S. Sakuragawa1 ⚽
Satoki Uejo1 ⚽
Pablo Sabbag1 ⚽
Thiago Andrade1 ⚽
Cards Given
KashimaKento Misao2 🟨
Y. Suzuki2 🟨
I. Sekigawa1 🟨
Keisuke Tsukui1 🟨
K. Misao1 🟨
Elber1 🟨
Cerezo OsakaJackson Irvine4 🟨
Dion Cools3 🟨
Pablo Sabbag2 🟨
Ayumu Ohata2 🟨
Lucas Fernandes2 🟨
Shinji Kagawa2 🟨