JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki — J1 League
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JEF United Chiba and V-varen Nagasaki meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 11 October 2026. JEF United Chiba have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. V-varen Nagasaki have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for JEF United Chiba and 1.32 for V-varen Nagasaki. The models give JEF United Chiba a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an V-varen Nagasaki win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
JEF United Chiba—
V-varen Nagasaki20º
Position
14º
0.57
PPG
1.00
14%
Win %
29%
0.86
Goals / game
1.29
2.29
Conceded / game
2.00
43%
BTTS %
57%
14%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
71%
2.3
Avg corners
3.7
9.9
Avg shots
10.7
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.9
Avg fouls
10.4
45.0%
Avg possession
43.1%
Home vs Away
JEF United Chiba
Home (3)
—
V-varen Nagasaki
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.00
33%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
2.67
33%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
2.3
Avg corners
3.7
9.9
Avg shots
10.7
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.3
45.0%
Avg possession
43.1%
Goals Scored
| JEF United | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| JEF United | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 100% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| JEF United | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| JEF United | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
JEF United (H)W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0L
Fagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama1–2D
Azul Claro Numazu1–1
Azul Claro Numazu1–1L
Machida Zelvia0–4
Machida Zelvia0–4D
Kashiwa Reysol0–0
Kashiwa Reysol0–0L
Avispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2V-varen Nagasaki (A)W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0L
Vissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3LKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4LFagiano Okayama0–1
Fagiano Okayama0–1L
Utrecht2–3
Utrecht2–3L
NEC Nijmegen1–3
NEC Nijmegen1–3Number of Corners
7.7
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
69 games
8.1
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | JEF United | V-varen Nagasaki | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 71% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 57% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 57% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 57% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 14% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | JEF United | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 43% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 43% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 43% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
8
JEF United
31%
5
Draws
19%
13
V-varen Nagasaki
50%
69%
Over 1.5
18/26
35%
Over 2.5
9/26
15%
Over 3.5
4/26
42%
BTTS
11/26
04/10/25V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
0–2V-varen Nagasaki25/05/25JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0JEF United Chiba03/11/24V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
1–2V-varen Nagasaki25/05/24JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0JEF United Chiba12/11/23V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
1–3V-varen Nagasaki18/02/23JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
0–1JEF United Chiba03/09/22V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
0–1V-varen Nagasaki25/05/22JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
0–2JEF United Chiba28/08/21V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
2–0V-varen Nagasaki15/05/21JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
2–2JEF United Chiba21/11/20V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
0–1V-varen Nagasaki19/08/20JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
2–0JEF United Chiba12/10/19JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
0–2JEF United Chiba02/06/19V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
1–4V-varen Nagasaki24/09/17JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1JEF United Chiba13/05/17V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
5–0V-varen Nagasaki30/10/16V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
0–0V-varen Nagasaki28/05/16JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1JEF United Chiba15/08/15V-varen Nagasaki
JEF United Chiba
1–1V-varen Nagasaki08/03/15JEF United Chiba
V-varen Nagasaki
0–1JEF United Chiba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 14 |
| 5 |  FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Urawa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Kyoto Sanga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
JEF United—
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
JEF UnitedDATokyo Verdy1–1
Tokyo Verdy1–1WHGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0LHFagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama1–2LAKawasaki Frontale2–4
Kawasaki Frontale2–4LAFC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2LHMachida Zelvia0–4
Machida Zelvia0–4–AShimizu S-pulse19/09
Shimizu S-pulse19/09–HV-varen Nagasaki11/10
V-varen Nagasaki11/10–HYokohama F. Marinos17/10
Yokohama F. Marinos17/10V-varen NagasakiWHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0LAVissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3DHGamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2LHFC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3LAKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4LAFagiano Okayama0–1
Fagiano Okayama0–1–HCerezo Osaka19/09
Cerezo Osaka19/09–AJEF United Chiba11/10
JEF United Chiba11/10–AKashima17/10
Kashima17/10Top Scorers
JEF UnitedK. Tanaka2 ⚽
Erison Danilo de Souza1 ⚽
Kazuki Tanaka1 ⚽
Ken Yamura1 ⚽
Takumi Tsukui1 ⚽
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus2 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Iwasaki Yuto1 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda1 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Cards Given
JEF UnitedErison3 🟨
Hiroto Goya1 🟨
Erison Danilo de Souza1 🟨
H. Kida1 🟨
Daichi Ishikawa1 🟨
D. Hall1 🟨
V-varen NagasakiH. Onaga1 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Motoki Hasegawa1 🟨
N. Campbell1 🟨
Norman Campbell1 🟨