Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Ryukyu — J3 League
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Matsumoto Yamaga and FC Ryukyu meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Matsumoto Yamaga have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. FC Ryukyu have won 27% of their 37 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.22 for FC Ryukyu. The models give Matsumoto Yamaga a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an FC Ryukyu win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Home | Away | FC Ryukyu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 64% | 73% | 65% | 61% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 45% | 40% | 27% | 28% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 23% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 36% | 27% | 35% | 39% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Home | Away | FC Ryukyu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 68% | 73% | 78% | 72% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 41% | 27% | 49% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 18% | 0% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 32% | 27% | 22% | 28% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Matsumoto Yamaga | FC Ryukyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS | 49% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Matsumoto Yamaga | FC Ryukyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 11 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 | |
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 | |
| 20 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Matsumoto Yamaga have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●67% of Matsumoto Yamaga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Matsumoto Yamaga's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●FC Ryukyu have won their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●73% of FC Ryukyu's goals conceded were conceded away.