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Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma — J3 League

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Japan · J3 League · Regular Season - 17
Kitakyushu
Kitakyushu
16º · 1.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 20d 0h
vs
–
–
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Thespakusatsu Gunma
17º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 0h
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Kitakyushu and Thespakusatsu Gunma meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Kitakyushu have recorded 11 wins from 40 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Thespakusatsu Gunma have won 30% of their 37 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Kitakyushu and 1.11 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The models give Kitakyushu a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Thespakusatsu Gunma win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Kitakyushu
—
Thespakusatsu Gunma
16º
Position
17º
1.08
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
31%
1.33
Goals / game
0.92
1.75
Conceded / game
1.69
68%
BTTS %
65%
15%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Kitakyushu
Home (6)
—
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
1.17
Conceded / game
1.67
74%
BTTS %
68%
21%
Clean sheet %
5%
63%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

KitakyushuHomeAwayThespakusatsu GunmaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored80%89%71%73%72%74%
Over 1.5 Scored35%37%33%30%28%32%
Over 2.5 Scored8%11%5%14%17%11%
Failed To Score20%11%29%27%28%26%

Goals Conceded

KitakyushuHomeAwayThespakusatsu GunmaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded85%79%90%89%83%95%
Over 1.5 Conceded55%47%62%54%50%58%
Over 2.5 Conceded28%26%29%35%28%42%
Clean Sheets15%21%10%11%17%5%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

KitakyushuThespakusatsu Gunma
Over 0.598%97%
Over 1.583%78%
Over 2.563%62%
Over 3.535%46%
Over 4.518%24%
BTTS68%65%
BTTS & Win15%22%
BTTS & Draw15%14%
BTTS & Over 2.557%57%
BTTS No & Over 2.55%5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

KitakyushuThespakusatsu Gunma
Win 1st Half16%19%
Draw 1st Half41%33%
Loss 1st Half43%47%
Scored 1st Half35%39%
Conceded 1st Half54%64%
Win 2nd Half30%33%
Draw 2nd Half38%25%
Loss 2nd Half32%42%
Scored 2nd Half62%50%
Conceded 2nd Half62%53%
Over 0.5 HT65%81%
Over 1.5 HT32%47%

Recent Venue Form

Kitakyushu (H)
WParceiro Nagano3–1
WOsaka3–1
WKochi United2–0
LNagoya Grampus1–3
DKagoshima United1–1
LGainare Tottori2–4
Thespakusatsu Gunma (A)
LMatsumoto Yamaga0–2
DGainare Tottori1–1
LEhime FC1–3
LRenofa Yamaguchi0–2
WParceiro Nagano2–1
LTokyo Verdy1–4

Head to Head · 20 matches

10
Kitakyushu
50%
5
Draws
25%
5
Thespakusatsu Gunma
25%
50%
Over 1.5
10/20
35%
Over 2.5
7/20
15%
Over 3.5
3/20
30%
BTTS
6/20
13/09/25
Kitakyushu
1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
30/03/25
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–2
Kitakyushu
03/10/21
Kitakyushu
2–2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28/03/21
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–2
Kitakyushu
10/10/20
Kitakyushu
0–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
09/08/20
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
Kitakyushu
17/11/19
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1
Kitakyushu
05/05/19
Kitakyushu
1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
18/11/18
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–0
Kitakyushu
29/04/18
Kitakyushu
0–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
20/07/16
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–2
Kitakyushu
08/06/16
Kitakyushu
0–3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
14/11/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
Kitakyushu
29/03/15
Kitakyushu
0–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
30/07/14
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0
Kitakyushu
18/05/14
Kitakyushu
2–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
03/11/13
Kitakyushu
3–2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26/05/13
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0
Kitakyushu
15/07/12
Kitakyushu
0–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
27/04/12
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–2
Kitakyushu
J3 League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Kagoshima United13922+1129
2Ehime FC12822+1326
3Osaka13652+1023
4Renofa Yamaguchi12723+823
5Nara Club13724+223
6FC Gifu12714+1222
7Sagamihara13643+722
8Roasso Kumamoto12552+720
9FC Ryukyu13625+120
10Parceiro Nagano12525017
11Kanazawa12426014
12Matsumoto Yamaga12354-114
13Biwako Shiga12426-314
14Tochigi SC13355-414
15Gainare Tottori12426-1014
16Kitakyushu12345-513
17Thespakusatsu Gunma13418-1013
18Fukushima United12327-511
19Kamatamare Sanuki13229-108
20Kochi United12129-235

Team Insights

Kitakyushu
  • ●Kitakyushu have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●63% of Kitakyushu's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Kitakyushu's points have been earned at home.
Thespakusatsu Gunma
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Thespakusatsu Gunma's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
KitakyushuKitakyushu
WHParceiro Nagano10º3–1
LAFukushima United18º1–2
WHOsaka3º3–1
LANara Club5º0–2
WHKochi United20º2–0
LHNagoya Grampus1–3
DHKagoshima United1º1–1
WASagamihara7º2–1
LHGainare Tottori15º2–4
LAFC Ryukyu9º0–3
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma
WHKamatamare Sanuki19º1–0
LAMatsumoto Yamaga12º0–2
DAGainare Tottori15º1–1
WHFC Ryukyu9º2–1
LAEhime FC2º1–3
LHRoasso Kumamoto8º0–1
WHKochi United20º1–0
LARenofa Yamaguchi4º0–2
LHFukushima United18º1–3
LHAlbirex Niigata1–2

Season Schedule

Kitakyushu
WHParceiro Nagano3–1
LAFukushima United1–2
WHOsaka3–1
LANara Club0–2
WHKochi United2–0
DHKagoshima United1–1
–ARenofa Yamaguchi31/10
–HBiwako Shiga03/11
–AFC Gifu07/11
Thespakusatsu Gunma
WHKamatamare Sanuki1–0
LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–2
DAGainare Tottori1–1
WHFC Ryukyu2–1
LAEhime FC1–3
LHRoasso Kumamoto0–1
–AKanazawa31/10
–ANara Club03/11
–HOsaka07/11

Top Scorers

Kitakyushu
D. Takahashi6 ⚽
S. Koh4 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
S. Watanabe3 ⚽
K. Yoshida3 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Thespakusatsu Gunma
T. Nakashima9 ⚽
M. Hyakuda7 ⚽
S. Izuma3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
R. Ohata2 ⚽
H. Konishi2 ⚽

Cards Given

Kitakyushu
R. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨
Thespakusatsu Gunma
S. Nose4 🟨
R. Fujimura4 🟨
T. Tamashiro3 🟨
T. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Kikuchi2 🟨
H. Konishi2 🟨