Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi — J3 League
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Egao Kenko Stadium·Kumamoto·Japan·30,504
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Roasso Kumamoto and Renofa Yamaguchi meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Roasso Kumamoto have recorded 17 wins from 40 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Renofa Yamaguchi have won 44% of their 34 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.19 for Renofa Yamaguchi. The models give Roasso Kumamoto a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Renofa Yamaguchi win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Roasso Kumamoto—
Renofa Yamaguchi8º
Position
4º
1.67
PPG
1.92
42%
Win %
58%
1.08
Goals / game
1.42
0.50
Conceded / game
0.75
35%
BTTS %
53%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
38%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Roasso Kumamoto
Home (6)
—
Renofa Yamaguchi
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
1.71
17%
Win %
57%
0.83
Goals / game
1.43
0.83
Conceded / game
1.00
32%
BTTS %
68%
26%
Clean sheet %
16%
42%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 47% | 76% | 77% | 67% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 42% | 33% | 46% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 16% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 53% | 24% | 23% | 33% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 74% | 52% | 69% | 53% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 26% | 19% | 31% | 13% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 26% | 48% | 31% | 47% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Roasso Kumamoto | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 9% |
| BTTS | 35% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Roasso Kumamoto | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Roasso Kumamoto (H)W
FC Gifu2–1
FC Gifu2–1W
Gainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0L
Ehime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2L
Kawasaki Frontale0–1
Kawasaki Frontale0–1D
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0D
Nara Club2–2
Nara Club2–2Renofa Yamaguchi (A)WMatsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0LEhime FC1–2
Ehime FC1–2W
Tochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0W
Kanazawa2–1
Kanazawa2–1WGainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Roasso Kumamoto
50%
4
Draws
25%
4
Renofa Yamaguchi
25%
81%
Over 1.5
13/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
69%
BTTS
11/16
23/05/26Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–1Roasso Kumamoto08/02/26Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
2–1Renofa Yamaguchi02/11/25Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
0–1Renofa Yamaguchi23/03/25Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1Roasso Kumamoto20/10/24Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
1–1Renofa Yamaguchi03/04/24Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2Roasso Kumamoto12/11/23Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
3–1Renofa Yamaguchi11/03/23Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–3Roasso Kumamoto18/07/22Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
1–0Renofa Yamaguchi20/02/22Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–1Roasso Kumamoto25/07/18Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
2–2Renofa Yamaguchi25/02/18Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
4–1Roasso Kumamoto05/08/17Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2Roasso Kumamoto25/06/17Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
0–2Renofa Yamaguchi02/10/16Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2Roasso Kumamoto09/04/16Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
1–2Renofa Yamaguchi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Roasso Kumamoto- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●61% of Roasso Kumamoto's points have been earned away.
Renofa Yamaguchi- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Roasso KumamotoWHFC Gifu2–1
FC Gifu2–1WHGainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0WAKamatamare Sanuki3–0
Kamatamare Sanuki3–0LHEhime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2DABiwako Shiga0–0
Biwako Shiga0–0WAThespakusatsu Gunma1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0–AKagoshima United31/10
Kagoshima United31/10–AOsaka04/11
Osaka04/11–HRenofa Yamaguchi08/11
Renofa Yamaguchi08/11Renofa YamaguchiWAMatsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0LAEhime FC1–2
Ehime FC1–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0WATochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WAFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0DHSagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2–HKitakyushu31/10
Kitakyushu31/10–HKagoshima United03/11
Kagoshima United03/11–ARoasso Kumamoto08/11
Roasso Kumamoto08/11Top Scorers
Roasso KumamotoBae Jeong-Min6 ⚽
Y. Katori6 ⚽
5 ⚽
T. Nakayama3 ⚽
A. Iihoshi3 ⚽
K. Fujii3 ⚽
Renofa YamaguchiS. Yamamoto10 ⚽
D. Furukawa5 ⚽
S. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Tanabe4 ⚽
K. Fujioka3 ⚽
S. Kobayashi3 ⚽
Cards Given
Roasso KumamotoK. Nasu7 🟨
T. Ri4 🟨
W. Iwashita3 🟨
Bae Jeong-Min3 🟨
O. Ishihara3 🟨
Y. Omoto3 🟨
Renofa YamaguchiY. Wakasa6 🟨
R. Ozawa6 🟨
K. Oiwa4 🟨
T. Itakura3 🟨
K. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Yoshioka2 🟨