Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kagoshima United — J3 League
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Ishin Me-Life Stadium·Yamaguchi·Japan·15,115
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Renofa Yamaguchi and Kagoshima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Renofa Yamaguchi have recorded 16 wins from 35 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Kagoshima United have won 55% of their 38 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.16 for Kagoshima United. The models give Renofa Yamaguchi a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Kagoshima United win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Renofa Yamaguchi—
Kagoshima United4º
Position
1º
1.92
PPG
2.23
58%
Win %
69%
1.42
Goals / game
2.08
0.75
Conceded / game
1.23
51%
BTTS %
53%
31%
Clean sheet %
29%
49%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Renofa Yamaguchi
Home (5)
—
Kagoshima United
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
1.67
60%
Win %
50%
1.40
Goals / game
1.83
0.40
Conceded / game
1.50
33%
BTTS %
42%
47%
Clean sheet %
37%
27%
Over 2.5 %
37%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 67% | 85% | 74% | 79% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 53% | 40% | 42% | 53% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 32% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 33% | 15% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 53% | 80% | 71% | 79% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 13% | 45% | 18% | 16% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 47% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 13% |
| BTTS | 51% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 34% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Renofa Yamaguchi (H)W
Kochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0D
Sagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2W
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0L
Fujieda MYFC0–2
Fujieda MYFC0–2D
Osaka0–0
Osaka0–0W
FC Ryukyu1–0
FC Ryukyu1–0Kagoshima United (A)LOsaka1–2
Osaka1–2L
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1L
Cerezo Osaka0–2
Cerezo Osaka0–2D
Kitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1W
Biwako Shiga2–1
Biwako Shiga2–1W
Kamatamare Sanuki4–3
Kamatamare Sanuki4–3Head to Head · 9 matches
5
Renofa Yamaguchi
56%
1
Draws
11%
3
Kagoshima United
33%
44%
Over 1.5
4/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
0%
Over 3.5
0/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
19/08/26Renofa Yamaguchi
Kagoshima United
2–1Renofa Yamaguchi18/04/26Kagoshima United
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–1Kagoshima United22/02/26Renofa Yamaguchi
Kagoshima United
1–0Renofa Yamaguchi06/07/24Kagoshima United
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0Kagoshima United28/04/24Renofa Yamaguchi
Kagoshima United
0–1Renofa Yamaguchi20/10/19Renofa Yamaguchi
Kagoshima United
0–0Renofa Yamaguchi14/04/19Kagoshima United
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0Kagoshima United26/07/14Renofa Yamaguchi
Kagoshima United
0–3Renofa Yamaguchi10/05/14Kagoshima United
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2Kagoshima United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Renofa Yamaguchi- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Kagoshima United- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Renofa YamaguchiWAMatsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0LAEhime FC1–2
Ehime FC1–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0WATochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WAFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0DHSagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2–HKitakyushu31/10
Kitakyushu31/10–HKagoshima United03/11
Kagoshima United03/11–ARoasso Kumamoto08/11
Roasso Kumamoto08/11Kagoshima UnitedLAOsaka1–2
Osaka1–2WHKochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1WHEhime FC4–2
Ehime FC4–2LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–1
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1WHFukushima United3–2
Fukushima United3–2DAKitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1–HRoasso Kumamoto31/10
Roasso Kumamoto31/10–ARenofa Yamaguchi03/11
Renofa Yamaguchi03/11–ASagamihara08/11
Sagamihara08/11Top Scorers
Renofa YamaguchiS. Yamamoto10 ⚽
D. Furukawa5 ⚽
S. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Tanabe4 ⚽
K. Fujioka3 ⚽
S. Kobayashi3 ⚽
Kagoshima UnitedR. Arita9 ⚽
A. Takahashi8 ⚽
K. Kawamura7 ⚽
R. Saga6 ⚽
M. Fukuda4 ⚽
K. Yoshio3 ⚽
Cards Given
Renofa YamaguchiY. Wakasa6 🟨
R. Ozawa6 🟨
K. Oiwa4 🟨
T. Itakura3 🟨
K. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Yoshioka2 🟨
Kagoshima UnitedS. Inaba4 🟨
M. Fukuda3 🟨
G. Egawa3 🟨
K. Fujimura3 🟨
K. Nakayama3 🟨
K. Kawamura3 🟨