Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu — J3 League
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Ishin Me-Life Stadium·Yamaguchi·Japan·15,115
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Renofa Yamaguchi and Kitakyushu meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Renofa Yamaguchi have recorded 15 wins from 34 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Kitakyushu have won 26% of their 39 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 0.99 for Kitakyushu. The models give Renofa Yamaguchi a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Kitakyushu win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Renofa Yamaguchi—
Kitakyushu4º
Position
16º
1.92
PPG
1.08
58%
Win %
25%
1.42
Goals / game
1.33
0.75
Conceded / game
1.75
53%
BTTS %
67%
29%
Clean sheet %
15%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Renofa Yamaguchi
Home (5)
—
Kitakyushu
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
0.67
60%
Win %
17%
1.40
Goals / game
1.17
0.40
Conceded / game
2.33
33%
BTTS %
62%
47%
Clean sheet %
10%
27%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 67% | 85% | 80% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 53% | 40% | 35% | 37% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 33% | 15% | 20% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 53% | 80% | 85% | 79% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 13% | 45% | 55% | 47% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 15% | 28% | 26% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 47% | 20% | 15% | 21% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 18% |
| BTTS | 51% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 16% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Renofa Yamaguchi (H)W
Kochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0D
Sagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2W
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0L
Fujieda MYFC0–2
Fujieda MYFC0–2D
Osaka0–0
Osaka0–0W
FC Ryukyu1–0
FC Ryukyu1–0Kitakyushu (A)L
Fukushima United1–2
Fukushima United1–2L
Nara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WSagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1LFC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3L
Ehime FC2–4
Ehime FC2–4D
Tochigi SC2–2
Tochigi SC2–2Head to Head · 10 matches
5
Renofa Yamaguchi
50%
2
Draws
20%
3
Kitakyushu
30%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
25/04/26Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
2–2Renofa Yamaguchi22/03/26Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1Kitakyushu03/06/24Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–1Kitakyushu25/02/24Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
3–1Kitakyushu13/11/21Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1Kitakyushu21/04/21Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
0–0Renofa Yamaguchi06/12/20Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
4–1Kitakyushu25/07/20Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
2–0Renofa Yamaguchi10/07/16Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
5–1Kitakyushu06/03/16Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
0–1Renofa Yamaguchi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Renofa Yamaguchi- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Kitakyushu- ●Kitakyushu have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Kitakyushu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Kitakyushu's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Renofa YamaguchiWAMatsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0LAEhime FC1–2
Ehime FC1–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0WATochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WAFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0DHSagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2–HKitakyushu31/10
Kitakyushu31/10–HKagoshima United03/11
Kagoshima United03/11–ARoasso Kumamoto08/11
Roasso Kumamoto08/11KitakyushuWHParceiro Nagano3–1
Parceiro Nagano3–1LAFukushima United1–2
Fukushima United1–2WHOsaka3–1
Osaka3–1LANara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0DHKagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1–ARenofa Yamaguchi31/10
Renofa Yamaguchi31/10–HBiwako Shiga03/11
Biwako Shiga03/11–AFC Gifu07/11
FC Gifu07/11Top Scorers
Renofa YamaguchiS. Yamamoto10 ⚽
D. Furukawa5 ⚽
S. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Tanabe4 ⚽
K. Fujioka3 ⚽
S. Kobayashi3 ⚽
KitakyushuD. Takahashi6 ⚽
S. Koh4 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
S. Watanabe3 ⚽
K. Yoshida3 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Cards Given
Renofa YamaguchiY. Wakasa6 🟨
R. Ozawa6 🟨
K. Oiwa4 🟨
T. Itakura3 🟨
K. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Yoshioka2 🟨
KitakyushuR. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨