Fukushima United vs Matsumoto Yamaga — J3 League
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Fukushima United and Matsumoto Yamaga meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Fukushima United have recorded 10 wins from 36 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Matsumoto Yamaga have won 32% of their 37 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Fukushima United and 1.43 for Matsumoto Yamaga. The models give Fukushima United a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Matsumoto Yamaga win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Fukushima United—
Matsumoto Yamaga18º
Position
12º
0.92
PPG
1.17
25%
Win %
25%
1.83
Goals / game
1.00
2.25
Conceded / game
1.08
72%
BTTS %
49%
11%
Clean sheet %
30%
78%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Fukushima United
Home (6)
—
Matsumoto Yamaga
Away (5)
1.33
PPG
1.20
33%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
0.80
2.00
Conceded / game
0.80
79%
BTTS %
60%
5%
Clean sheet %
27%
89%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Fukushima United | Home | Away | Matsumoto Yamaga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 84% | 76% | 68% | 64% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 53% | 35% | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 32% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 36% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Fukushima United | Home | Away | Matsumoto Yamaga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 95% | 82% | 70% | 68% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 79% | 53% | 35% | 41% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 37% | 41% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 5% | 18% | 30% | 32% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fukushima United | Matsumoto Yamaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 14% |
| BTTS | 72% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fukushima United | Matsumoto Yamaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Fukushima United (H)W
Kitakyushu2–1
Kitakyushu2–1D
Biwako Shiga2–2
Biwako Shiga2–2L
Mito Hollyhock0–7
Mito Hollyhock0–7W
Parceiro Nagano4–3
Parceiro Nagano4–3L
Roasso Kumamoto1–2
Roasso Kumamoto1–2W
Vegalta Sendai4–3
Vegalta Sendai4–3Matsumoto Yamaga (A)LParceiro Nagano1–2
Parceiro Nagano1–2W
Tochigi SC2–1
Tochigi SC2–1DRoasso Kumamoto0–0
Roasso Kumamoto0–0DKitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1D
Kochi United0–0
Kochi United0–0W
Montedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata2–1Head to Head · 11 matches
4
Fukushima United
36%
4
Draws
36%
3
Matsumoto Yamaga
27%
64%
Over 1.5
7/11
36%
Over 2.5
4/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
64%
BTTS
7/11
24/05/26Fukushima United
Matsumoto Yamaga
3–3Fukushima United29/03/26Matsumoto Yamaga
Fukushima United
1–3Matsumoto Yamaga05/10/25Matsumoto Yamaga
Fukushima United
1–0Matsumoto Yamaga07/06/25Fukushima United
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2Fukushima United01/12/24Fukushima United
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–1Fukushima United27/07/24Fukushima United
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–1Fukushima United17/03/24Matsumoto Yamaga
Fukushima United
1–0Matsumoto Yamaga12/11/23Matsumoto Yamaga
Fukushima United
1–1Matsumoto Yamaga16/07/23Fukushima United
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2Fukushima United10/09/22Matsumoto Yamaga
Fukushima United
0–1Matsumoto Yamaga17/07/22Fukushima United
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0Fukushima United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Fukushima United- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Matsumoto Yamaga- ●Matsumoto Yamaga have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●67% of Matsumoto Yamaga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Matsumoto Yamaga's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Fukushima UnitedWHKitakyushu2–1
Kitakyushu2–1LAFC Gifu0–1
FC Gifu0–1DHBiwako Shiga2–2
Biwako Shiga2–2LAKagoshima United2–3
Kagoshima United2–3WHParceiro Nagano4–3
Parceiro Nagano4–3LAOsaka1–4
Osaka1–4–HMatsumoto Yamaga31/10
Matsumoto Yamaga31/10–ATochigi SC03/11
Tochigi SC03/11–HFC Ryukyu07/11
FC Ryukyu07/11Matsumoto YamagaLHRenofa Yamaguchi0–2
Renofa Yamaguchi0–2WHThespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0LAParceiro Nagano1–2
Parceiro Nagano1–2WHKagoshima United1–0
Kagoshima United1–0LHGainare Tottori0–1
Gainare Tottori0–1WATochigi SC2–1
Tochigi SC2–1–AFukushima United31/10
Fukushima United31/10–AKamatamare Sanuki03/11
Kamatamare Sanuki03/11–HKanazawa07/11
Kanazawa07/11Top Scorers
Fukushima UnitedY. Okada16 ⚽
K. Shimizu12 ⚽
K. Ashibe5 ⚽
H. Higuchi4 ⚽
U. Uehata4 ⚽
K. Kano3 ⚽
Matsumoto YamagaK. Fujieda7 ⚽
K. Murakoshi6 ⚽
K. Kaneko5 ⚽
I. Oda4 ⚽
A. Inoue4 ⚽
T. Kato4 ⚽
Cards Given
Fukushima UnitedK. Shimizu5 🟨
K. Ashibe4 🟨
T. Nakamura3 🟨
T. Anzai3 🟨
Jung Sung-Ryong2 🟨
H. Higuchi2 🟨
Matsumoto YamagaT. Shirai5 🟨
T. Kato4 🟨
K. Murakoshi4 🟨
R. Yasunaga3 🟨
K. Kawakami2 🟨
D. Higuchi2 🟨