FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge — Challenge League
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FC Winterthur and Étoile Carouge meet in the Challenge League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. FC Winterthur have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.04 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Étoile Carouge have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for FC Winterthur and 1.01 for Étoile Carouge. The models give FC Winterthur a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Étoile Carouge win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
FC WinterthurÉtoile CarougeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Winterthur | Home | Away | Étoile Carouge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 85% | 80% | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 54% | 60% | 32% | 38% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 31% | 20% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 15% | 20% | 53% | 50% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Winterthur | Home | Away | Étoile Carouge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 77% | 80% | 84% | 88% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 23% | 60% | 32% | 13% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 15% | 20% | 26% | 0% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Winterthur | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 16% |
| BTTS | 61% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Winterthur | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Winterthur (H)
Stade Nyonnais4–0
FC Luzern0–1
FC Basel 18937–3
FC Aarau2–1
Neuchatel Xamax FC4–0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1Étoile Carouge (A)FC Aarau2–1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3
SC Kriens1–4Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3Stade Nyonnais0–0
Collex-Bossy2–0Head to Head · 2 matches
FC WinterthurFC Winterthur| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Yverdon Sport | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | SC Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Aarau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Étoile Carouge | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Rapperswil | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  FC WIL 1900 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 5 |
Team Insights
FC Winterthur- ●FC Winterthur have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●78% of FC Winterthur's goals have been scored at home.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Étoile Carouge- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC WinterthurStade Nyonnais4–0Neuchatel Xamax FC0–3FC Aarau2–1Étoile Carouge1–0Neuchatel Xamax FC4–0Stade Nyonnais2–2FC WIL 190001/11Étoile Carouge07/11Yverdon Sport20/11Étoile CarougeFC Aarau2–1Yverdon Sport0–2SC Kriens1–4FC Winterthur0–1FC WIL 19001–1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3SC Kriens30/10FC Winterthur07/11Neuchatel Xamax FC20/11Top Scorers
FC WinterthurÉtoile CarougeCards Given
FC WinterthurÉtoile Carouge