Pogon Szczecin vs Gornik Zabrze — Ekstraklasa
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Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera·Szczecin·Poland·21,163
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Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Pogon Szczecin have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Gornik Zabrze have won 50% of their 28 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.44 for Gornik Zabrze. The models give Pogon Szczecin a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gornik Zabrze win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Pogon Szczecin—
Gornik Zabrze3º
Position
1º
2.18
PPG
2.25
64%
Win %
67%
1.73
Goals / game
1.75
0.82
Conceded / game
0.92
48%
BTTS %
64%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
48%
Over 2.5 %
54%
3.3
Avg corners
5.6
12.5
Avg shots
14.3
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
15.2
Avg fouls
12.1
43.5%
Avg possession
45.0%
Home vs Away
Pogon Szczecin
Home (7)
—
Gornik Zabrze
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
2.43
57%
Win %
71%
2.00
Goals / game
1.71
1.14
Conceded / game
0.57
73%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
38%
55%
Over 2.5 %
44%
3.3
Avg corners
5.6
12.5
Avg shots
14.3
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
43.5%
Avg possession
45.0%
Goals Scored
| Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | Gornik Zabrze | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 91% | 50% | 82% | 92% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 73% | 30% | 50% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 36% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 9% | 50% | 18% | 8% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | Gornik Zabrze | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 82% | 50% | 75% | 92% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 27% | 30% | 21% | 25% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 18% | 50% | 25% | 8% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pogon Szczecin | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 48% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pogon Szczecin | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Pogon Szczecin (H)W
Radomiak Radom4–3
Radomiak Radom4–3W
Korona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce2–0D
Udinese1–1
Udinese1–1W
Wieczysta Kraków2–0
Wieczysta Kraków2–0D
Wisla Plock1–1
Wisla Plock1–1D
Wisla Krakow2–2
Wisla Krakow2–2Gornik Zabrze (A)D
Widzew Łódź1–1
Widzew Łódź1–1W
Jagiellonia3–1
Jagiellonia3–1D
Motor Lublin0–0
Motor Lublin0–0WKorona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce2–0W
Cracovia Krakow1–0
Cracovia Krakow1–0W
Raków Częstochowa2–1
Raków Częstochowa2–1Number of Corners
8.0
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.9
101 games
9.8
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | Pogon Szczecin | Gornik Zabrze | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 76% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 59% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 18% | 41% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 9% | 41% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 18% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 18% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Pogon Szczecin | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 27% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 18% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 29% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
7
Pogon Szczecin
41%
3
Draws
18%
7
Gornik Zabrze
41%
71%
Over 1.5
12/17
53%
Over 2.5
9/17
24%
Over 3.5
4/17
53%
BTTS
9/17
21/02/26Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
0–1Pogon Szczecin17/08/25Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
0–3Gornik Zabrze07/02/25Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
3–0Gornik Zabrze02/08/24Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1–0Pogon Szczecin25/05/24Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
1–0Gornik Zabrze05/12/23Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
2–1Gornik Zabrze01/12/23Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1–0Pogon Szczecin20/05/23Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
2–1Pogon Szczecin05/11/22Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
1–4Gornik Zabrze12/12/21Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
2–2Pogon Szczecin25/07/21Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
2–0Gornik Zabrze20/04/21Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
1–0Gornik Zabrze27/11/20Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
2–1Pogon Szczecin29/02/20Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
3–1Pogon Szczecin22/09/19Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
1–1Gornik Zabrze15/02/19Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
3–1Gornik Zabrze31/08/18Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1–1Pogon Szczecin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Lech Poznan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Legia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +13 | 23 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 |  Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 |  GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Pogon Szczecin- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●74% of Pogon Szczecin's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Pogon Szczecin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Gornik Zabrze- ●Gornik Zabrze have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gornik Zabrze have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Gornik Zabrze's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Pogon SzczecinWHRadomiak Radom4–3
Radomiak Radom4–3WAGKS Katowice1–0
GKS Katowice1–0WHKorona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce2–0WAPiast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1WHWieczysta Kraków2–0
Wieczysta Kraków2–0DHWisla Plock1–1
Wisla Plock1–1–ARaków Częstochowa31/10
Raków Częstochowa31/10–AWidzew Łódź07/11
Widzew Łódź07/11–HSlask Wroclaw21/11
Slask Wroclaw21/11Gornik ZabrzeDAWidzew Łódź1–1
Widzew Łódź1–1DHPiast Gliwice1–1
Piast Gliwice1–1WAJagiellonia3–1
Jagiellonia3–1DAMotor Lublin0–0
Motor Lublin0–0WAKorona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce2–0WHLech Poznan2–1
Lech Poznan2–1–HLegia Warszawa31/10
Legia Warszawa31/10–HWieczysta Kraków07/11
Wieczysta Kraków07/11–AZaglebie Lubin21/11
Zaglebie Lubin21/11Top Scorers
Pogon SzczecinP. Mukairu4 ⚽
Jordi Sánchez3 ⚽
Kamil Grosicki2 ⚽
Darko Churlinov2 ⚽
K. Angielski2 ⚽
K. Acosta2 ⚽
Gornik ZabrzeKacper Urbanski3 ⚽
K. Urbanski3 ⚽
E. Prekop3 ⚽
Erik Prekop2 ⚽
J. Antiste2 ⚽
M. Khlan2 ⚽
Cards Given
Pogon Szczecin2 🟨
D. Keramitsis2 🟨
Maciej Wojciechowski2 🟨
Patryk Dziczek2 🟨
Jan Bieganski1 🟨
F. Cuic1 🟨
Gornik ZabrzeS. Liseth4 🟨
Josema4 🟨
M. Dietz3 🟨
Rafał Janicki3 🟨
Erik Prekop2 🟨
Jarosław Kubicki2 🟨