Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa — Ekstraklasa
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Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Legia Warszawa have recorded 16 wins from 27 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.04 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Raków Częstochowa have won 35% of their 31 matches, with 1.84 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Legia Warszawa and 1.30 for Raków Częstochowa. The models give Legia Warszawa a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Raków Częstochowa win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Legia Warszawa—
Raków Częstochowa4º
Position
18º
2.09
PPG
0.50
55%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
1.33
0.82
Conceded / game
2.33
67%
BTTS %
81%
26%
Clean sheet %
16%
52%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.5
Avg corners
4.6
15.1
Avg shots
16.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.8
Avg fouls
10.3
49.4%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Legia Warszawa
Home (5)
—
Raków Częstochowa
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
0.50
60%
Win %
17%
2.40
Goals / game
1.17
0.60
Conceded / game
1.83
65%
BTTS %
77%
29%
Clean sheet %
15%
53%
Over 2.5 %
77%
4.5
Avg corners
4.6
15.1
Avg shots
16.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.4%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Legia Warszawa | Home | Away | Raków Częstochowa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 88% | 90% | 94% | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 59% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 41% | 47% | 30% | 19% | 22% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Legia Warszawa | Home | Away | Raków Częstochowa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 71% | 80% | 84% | 83% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 18% | 40% | 48% | 39% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 10% | 23% | 22% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 29% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Legia Warszawa | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 29% |
| BTTS | 67% | 81% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Legia Warszawa | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Legia Warszawa (H)W
Wisla Krakow2–0
Wisla Krakow2–0W
Korona Kielce5–1
Korona Kielce5–1D
Widzew Łódź1–1
Widzew Łódź1–1D
Slask Wroclaw1–1
Slask Wroclaw1–1W
Radomiak Radom5–0
Radomiak Radom5–0W
Zaglebie Lubin3–1
Zaglebie Lubin3–1Raków Częstochowa (A)LWisla Krakow1–2
Wisla Krakow1–2W
Wieczysta Kraków2–1
Wieczysta Kraków2–1LKorona Kielce2–3
Korona Kielce2–3L
Lech Poznan0–1
Lech Poznan0–1D
HNK Hajduk Split2–2
HNK Hajduk Split2–2L
Cracovia Krakow1–2
Cracovia Krakow1–2Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.9
101 games
9.6
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Legia Warszawa | Raków Częstochowa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 94% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 81% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 18% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 31% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 9% | 31% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Legia Warszawa | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 50% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
4
Legia Warszawa
22%
8
Draws
44%
6
Raków Częstochowa
33%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
44%
Over 2.5
8/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
67%
BTTS
12/18
22/03/26Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
1–1Raków Częstochowa20/09/25Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1–1Legia Warszawa16/03/25Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
3–2Legia Warszawa15/09/24Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
0–1Raków Częstochowa13/04/24Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1–1Legia Warszawa08/10/23Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
1–2Raków Częstochowa15/07/23Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
0–0Legia Warszawa02/05/23Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
0–0Raków Częstochowa01/04/23Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
3–1Raków Częstochowa11/09/22Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
4–0Legia Warszawa06/04/22Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1–0Legia Warszawa19/03/22Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1–1Legia Warszawa25/09/21Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
2–3Raków Częstochowa17/07/21Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
1–1Raków Częstochowa06/02/21Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
2–0Raków Częstochowa22/08/20Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1–2Legia Warszawa15/02/20Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
2–2Legia Warszawa01/09/19Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
3–1Raków Częstochowa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +13 | 23 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 |  Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 |  GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Wisla Plock | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Legia Warszawa- ●Legia Warszawa have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Legia Warszawa's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Legia Warszawa have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Raków Częstochowa- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Legia WarszawaDACracovia Krakow1–1
Cracovia Krakow1–1WHWisla Krakow2–0
Wisla Krakow2–0WAJagiellonia3–1
Jagiellonia3–1DHWidzew Łódź1–1
Widzew Łódź1–1WAMotor Lublin3–2
Motor Lublin3–2DHSlask Wroclaw1–1
Slask Wroclaw1–1–HLech Poznan25/10
Lech Poznan25/10–AGornik Zabrze31/10
Gornik Zabrze31/10–HRaków Częstochowa07/11
Raków Częstochowa07/11Raków CzęstochowaLAWisla Krakow1–2
Wisla Krakow1–2WAWieczysta Kraków2–1
Wieczysta Kraków2–1LHGKS Katowice1–4
GKS Katowice1–4LAKorona Kielce2–3
Korona Kielce2–3LHZaglebie Lubin2–3
Zaglebie Lubin2–3WHMotor Lublin2–1
Motor Lublin2–1–HPogon Szczecin31/10
Pogon Szczecin31/10–ALegia Warszawa07/11
Legia Warszawa07/11–HWidzew Łódź21/11
Widzew Łódź21/11Top Scorers
Legia WarszawaL. Zjawinski6 ⚽
R. Adamski4 ⚽
M. Rajovic4 ⚽
B. Kapustka3 ⚽
J. Zewlakow3 ⚽
Rafał Augustyniak3 ⚽
Raków CzęstochowaP. Makuch7 ⚽
M. Emreli6 ⚽
Lamine Diaby Fadiga4 ⚽
J. Brunes4 ⚽
A. Basse4 ⚽
Patryk Makuch4 ⚽
Cards Given
Legia Warszawa7 🟨
Rafal Adamski2 🟨
A. Jedrzejczyk2 🟨
B. Kapustka1 🟨
Jakub Zewlakow1 🟨
E. Krasniqi1 🟨
Raków CzęstochowaFran Tudor4 🟨
D. G. Debohi3 🟨
Karol Struski2 🟨
Jerzy Napieraj2 🟨
F. Tudor2 🟨
M. Ameyaw2 🟨