Paris FC vs Le Mans — Ligue 1
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Stade Jean Bouin·Paris·France·20,000
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Paris FC and Le Mans meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Paris FC have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Le Mans have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Paris FC and 1.43 for Le Mans. The models give Paris FC a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Le Mans win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Paris FC—
Le Mans4º
Position
16º
1.75
PPG
0.86
50%
Win %
14%
1.63
Goals / game
1.43
1.13
Conceded / game
2.14
54%
BTTS %
73%
31%
Clean sheet %
13%
69%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.3
Avg corners
2.6
13.0
Avg shots
10.6
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.5
Avg fouls
14.4
51.0%
Avg possession
44.7%
Home vs Away
Paris FC
Home (4)
—
Le Mans
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
0.33
75%
Win %
0%
2.25
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
2.33
40%
BTTS %
83%
60%
Clean sheet %
17%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.3
Avg corners
2.6
13.0
Avg shots
10.6
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.4
51.0%
Avg possession
44.7%
Goals Scored
| Paris FC | Home | Away | Le Mans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 80% | 63% | 80% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 60% | 50% | 47% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 40% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 20% | 38% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Paris FC | Home | Away | Le Mans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 40% | 88% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 20% | 75% | 53% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 20% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 60% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paris FC | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS | 54% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paris FC | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Paris FC (H)W
Rennes4–3
Rennes4–3W
Strasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1D
Lyon0–0
Lyon0–0W
Nice3–0
Nice3–0W
Reims1–0
Reims1–0W
Paris Saint Germain2–1
Paris Saint Germain2–1Le Mans (A)LParis Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3L
Guingamp1–2
Guingamp1–2DNice1–1
Nice1–1LRennes2–3
Rennes2–3D
Saumur0–0
Saumur0–0W
Angers3–2
Angers3–2Number of Corners
7.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
7.6
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Paris FC | Le Mans | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 63% | 57% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 25% | 43% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 25% | 29% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 13% | 29% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 29% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 14% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paris FC | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 13% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 43% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Paris FC
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Le Mans
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
15/07/20Paris FC
Le Mans
1–3Paris FC21/12/19Le Mans
Paris FC
0–3Le Mans| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Paris FC- ●Paris FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paris FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Paris FC's goals have been scored at home.
Le Mans- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●83% of Le Mans's points have been earned at home.
- ●Le Mans have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Paris FCLALens1–2
Lens1–2WHRennes4–3
Rennes4–3LALorient0–1
Lorient0–1WHStrasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1DHLyon0–0
Lyon0–0WAMarseille3–2
Marseille3–2–HMonaco01/11
Monaco01/11–AAuxerre07/11
Auxerre07/11–HAngers22/11
Angers22/11Le MansLHToulouse0–3
Toulouse0–3LAParis Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3WHLorient2–1
Lorient2–1DHLens2–2
Lens2–2DANice1–1
Nice1–1LARennes2–3
Rennes2–3–AAuxerre25/10
Auxerre25/10–AEstac Troyes31/10
Estac Troyes31/10–HMonaco08/11
Monaco08/11Top Scorers
Paris FCLassine Sinayoko5 ⚽
P. Pagis4 ⚽
Maxime López2 ⚽
Luca Koleosho1 ⚽
Pablo Pagis1 ⚽
S. Chergui1 ⚽
Le MansL. Mafouta5 ⚽
D. Gueye3 ⚽
Adil Bourabaa3 ⚽
W. Harhouz2 ⚽
L. Buades1 ⚽
Habib Diallo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Paris FC3 🟨
Hamari Traore3 🟨
Samir Chergui2 🟨
Lassine Sinayoko2 🟨
Maxime López2 🟨
Otavio2 🟨
Le MansNoa Boissé3 🟨
2 🟨
A. Lauray2 🟨
Djibril Sidibé2 🟨
Dame Gueye1 🟨
Alexandre Lauray1 🟨