Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient — Ligue 1
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Parc des Princes·Paris·France·47,929
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Paris Saint Germain and Lorient meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Paris Saint Germain have recorded 10 wins from 16 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Lorient have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.10 for Lorient. The models give Paris Saint Germain a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lorient win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Paris Saint Germain—
Lorient1º
Position
11º
2.22
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
0.78
1.11
Conceded / game
0.89
75%
BTTS %
47%
13%
Clean sheet %
47%
75%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.8
Avg corners
3.6
20.3
Avg shots
10.0
8.6
Avg shots on target
2.8
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
7.9
Avg fouls
9.2
64.9%
Avg possession
46.9%
Home vs Away
Paris Saint Germain
Home (3)
—
Lorient
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
1.25
67%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
86%
BTTS %
50%
14%
Clean sheet %
50%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.8
Avg corners
3.6
20.3
Avg shots
10.0
8.6
Avg shots on target
2.8
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
64.9%
Avg possession
46.9%
Goals Scored
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Lorient | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 80% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 71% | 70% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 41% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Lorient | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 86% | 80% | 53% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 14% | 20% | 47% | 43% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paris Saint | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS | 71% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 47% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paris Saint | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 65% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Paris Saint (H)W
Lyon2–0
Lyon2–0W
Barcelona4–2
Barcelona4–2W
Le Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1W
Slovan Bratislava6–1
Slovan Bratislava6–1L
Monaco1–2
Monaco1–2W
Aston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1Lorient (A)D
Angers0–0
Angers0–0LLe Mans1–2
Le Mans1–2W
Lens1–0
Lens1–0D
Nice0–0
Nice0–0L
SV Elversberg1–4
SV Elversberg1–4LAngers1–2
Angers1–2Number of Corners
7.8
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
9.0
81 games
8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Paris Saint | Lorient | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 44% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 22% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 7% | 22% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 11% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paris Saint | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 29% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 14% | 56% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
16
Paris Saint
62%
7
Draws
27%
3
Lorient
12%
77%
Over 1.5
20/26
62%
Over 2.5
16/26
42%
Over 3.5
11/26
65%
BTTS
17/26
02/05/26Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2–2Lorient29/10/25Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–1Paris Saint Germain24/04/24Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–4Paris Saint Germain12/08/23Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
0–0Lorient30/04/23Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
1–3Lorient06/11/22Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain03/04/22Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
5–1Lorient22/12/21Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–1Paris Saint Germain31/01/21Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
3–2Paris Saint Germain16/12/20Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2–0Lorient19/01/20Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
0–1Paris Saint Germain12/03/17Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain21/12/16Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
5–0Lorient19/04/16Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
0–1Paris Saint Germain03/02/16Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
3–1Lorient21/11/15Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain20/03/15Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
3–1Lorient01/11/14Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain21/03/14Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
0–1Paris Saint Germain01/11/13Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
4–0Lorient| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Team Insights
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Paris Saint Germain's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Paris Saint Germain's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●70% of Paris Saint Germain's points have been earned away.
Lorient- ●75% of Lorient's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Paris SaintWALe Havre5–1
Le Havre5–1WHLyon2–0
Lyon2–0WAStrasbourg3–1
Strasbourg3–1WHLe Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1WAMarseille2–1
Marseille2–1WAStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0–HEstac Troyes07/11
Estac Troyes07/11–ANice21/11
Nice21/11–HLorient28/11
Lorient28/11LorientLHStade Brestois 290–2
Stade Brestois 290–2DAAngers0–0
Angers0–0WHMonaco1–0
Monaco1–0WHParis FC1–0
Paris FC1–0LALe Mans1–2
Le Mans1–2DHToulouse2–2
Toulouse2–2–ALe Havre08/11
Le Havre08/11–HRennes22/11
Rennes22/11–AParis Saint Germain28/11
Paris Saint Germain28/11Top Scorers
Paris SaintFerrán Torres5 ⚽
Fabián Ruiz4 ⚽
Désiré Doue4 ⚽
Ousmane Dembélé4 ⚽
Achraf Hakimi3 ⚽
Senny Mayulu3 ⚽
LorientGabin Bernardeau1 ⚽
Ibrahima Balde1 ⚽
Isak Jensen1 ⚽
J. Makengo1 ⚽
M. Kone1 ⚽
A. Tosin1 ⚽
Cards Given
Paris SaintVitinha2 🟨
A. Hakimi2 🟨
F. Ruiz2 🟨
Dro Fernández1 🟨
Luis Enrique1 🟨
Lucas Hernández1 🟨
LorientNathaniel Adjei2 🟨
Arsène Kouassi2 🟨
Isaak Touré1 🟨
Jean-Victor Makengo1 🟨
Montassar Talbi1 🟨
Noah Cadiou1 🟨