Nice vs Estac Troyes — Ligue 1
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Allianz Riviera·Nice·France·35,624
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Nice and Estac Troyes meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Nice have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Estac Troyes have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Nice and 1.15 for Estac Troyes. The models give Nice a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Estac Troyes win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Nice—
Estac Troyes9º
Position
17º
1.38
PPG
0.57
38%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
0.71
1.25
Conceded / game
2.29
38%
BTTS %
57%
38%
Clean sheet %
21%
54%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.6
Avg corners
7.0
11.0
Avg shots
14.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
9.5
Avg fouls
11.9
54.0%
Avg possession
39.3%
Home vs Away
Nice
Home (4)
—
Estac Troyes
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
0.67
0.75
Conceded / game
1.67
60%
BTTS %
57%
40%
Clean sheet %
14%
60%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.6
Avg corners
7.0
11.0
Avg shots
14.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
54.0%
Avg possession
39.3%
Goals Scored
| Nice | Home | Away | Estac Troyes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 54% | 80% | 38% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 60% | 25% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 20% | 13% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 46% | 20% | 63% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Nice | Home | Away | Estac Troyes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 60% | 63% | 79% | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 38% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nice | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nice | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Nice (H)W
Strasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1W
Lille2–1
Lille2–1D
Le Mans1–1
Le Mans1–1D
Lorient0–0
Lorient0–0W
Nimes4–0
Nimes4–0W
Saint Etienne4–1
Saint Etienne4–1Estac Troyes (A)D
Dijon2–2
Dijon2–2L
Angers0–2
Angers0–2LLille0–2
Lille0–2WLorient2–1
Lorient2–1D
Auxerre1–1
Auxerre1–1W
Grenoble3–0
Grenoble3–0Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
8.9
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Nice | Estac Troyes | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 86% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 57% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 43% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 14% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 14% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nice | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 13% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 13% | 0% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
6
Nice
60%
2
Draws
20%
2
Estac Troyes
20%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
30/04/23Nice
Estac Troyes
0–1Nice09/10/22Estac Troyes
Nice
3–2Estac Troyes24/04/22Estac Troyes
Nice
1–0Estac Troyes17/10/21Nice
Estac Troyes
1–0Nice01/04/18Nice
Estac Troyes
0–2Nice11/08/17Estac Troyes
Nice
1–2Estac Troyes05/03/16Estac Troyes
Nice
2–1Estac Troyes15/08/15Nice
Estac Troyes
3–3Nice28/04/13Estac Troyes
Nice
3–1Estac Troyes08/12/12Nice
Estac Troyes
1–1Nice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nice- ●Nice failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nice have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●63% of Nice's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Nice's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nice have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Estac Troyes- ●Estac Troyes have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Estac Troyes's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
NiceWAStade Brestois 292–1
Stade Brestois 292–1LALyon1–2
Lyon1–2WHStrasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1WHLille2–1
Lille2–1LAAuxerre0–1
Auxerre0–1DHLe Mans1–1
Le Mans1–1–HRennes31/10
Rennes31/10–AAngers08/11
Angers08/11–HParis Saint Germain21/11
Paris Saint Germain21/11Estac TroyesLHLens1–3
Lens1–3LHMarseille0–2
Marseille0–2LAAngers0–2
Angers0–2LALille0–2
Lille0–2LHStrasbourg2–6
Strasbourg2–6WALorient2–1
Lorient2–1–AToulouse25/10
Toulouse25/10–HLe Mans31/10
Le Mans31/10–AParis Saint Germain07/11
Paris Saint Germain07/11Top Scorers
NiceSepe Elye Wahi4 ⚽
S. Diop2 ⚽
I. Jansson1 ⚽
Jonathan Clauss1 ⚽
Mohamed Amoura1 ⚽
Sofiane Diop1 ⚽
Estac TroyesR. Ripart3 ⚽
Christ Batola1 ⚽
E. Carneiro1 ⚽
Jérémy Le Douaron1 ⚽
L. Maronnier1 ⚽
T. Nkada1 ⚽
Cards Given
NiceSepe Elye Wahi2 🟨
Niels Nkounkou2 🟨
Mohamed Abdelmoneim2 🟨
Mohamed Amoura2 🟨
Isak Jansson1 🟨
Hamza Koutoune1 🟨
Estac TroyesAntoine Mille2 🟨
Junior Diaz2 🟨
2 🟨
J. M. Diaz1 🟨
Renaud Ripart1 🟨
Lucas Maronnier1 🟨