Nice vs Paris Saint Germain — Ligue 1
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Allianz Riviera·Nice·France·35,624
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Nice and Paris Saint Germain meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Nice have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Paris Saint Germain have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Nice and 1.53 for Paris Saint Germain. The models give Nice a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Paris Saint Germain win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Nice—
Paris Saint Germain9º
Position
2º
1.38
PPG
2.00
38%
Win %
57%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.25
Conceded / game
1.29
38%
BTTS %
79%
38%
Clean sheet %
7%
54%
Over 2.5 %
79%
5.6
Avg corners
4.8
11.0
Avg shots
21.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
8.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
0.9
9.5
Avg fouls
7.7
54.0%
Avg possession
64.2%
Home vs Away
Nice
Home (4)
—
Paris Saint Germain
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
2.20
50%
Win %
60%
1.25
Goals / game
2.00
0.75
Conceded / game
1.20
60%
BTTS %
63%
40%
Clean sheet %
13%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.6
Avg corners
4.8
11.0
Avg shots
21.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
8.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
0.9
54.0%
Avg possession
64.2%
Goals Scored
| Nice | Home | Away | Paris Saint | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 54% | 80% | 38% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 60% | 25% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 20% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 46% | 20% | 63% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Nice | Home | Away | Paris Saint | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 60% | 63% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 0% | 38% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 38% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nice | Paris Saint | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS | 38% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nice | Paris Saint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Nice (H)W
Strasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1W
Lille2–1
Lille2–1D
Le Mans1–1
Le Mans1–1D
Lorient0–0
Lorient0–0W
Nimes4–0
Nimes4–0W
Saint Etienne4–1
Saint Etienne4–1Paris Saint (A)WStrasbourg3–1
Strasbourg3–1W
Manchester City4–2
Manchester City4–2W
Marseille2–1
Marseille2–1W
Stade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0DLille2–2
Lille2–2D
Rennes2–2
Rennes2–2Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
7.5
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Nice | Paris Saint | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 58% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 58% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 42% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 25% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 8% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 8% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 8% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nice | Paris Saint |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 13% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 13% | 8% |
Head to Head · 33 matches
5
Nice
15%
7
Draws
21%
21
Paris Saint
64%
76%
Over 1.5
25/33
67%
Over 2.5
22/33
30%
Over 3.5
10/33
52%
BTTS
17/33
21/03/26Paris Saint Germain
Nice
0–4Paris Saint Germain01/11/25Nice
Paris Saint Germain
1–0Nice25/04/25Nice
Paris Saint Germain
1–3Nice06/10/24Paris Saint Germain
Nice
1–1Paris Saint Germain15/05/24Paris Saint Germain
Nice
1–2Paris Saint Germain13/03/24Nice
Paris Saint Germain
3–1Nice15/09/23Nice
Paris Saint Germain
2–3Nice08/04/23Paris Saint Germain
Nice
0–2Paris Saint Germain01/10/22Nice
Paris Saint Germain
2–1Nice05/03/22Paris Saint Germain
Nice
1–0Paris Saint Germain31/01/22Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0–0Nice01/12/21Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0–0Nice13/02/21Nice
Paris Saint Germain
2–1Nice20/09/20Paris Saint Germain
Nice
0–3Paris Saint Germain18/10/19Paris Saint Germain
Nice
1–4Paris Saint Germain04/05/19Nice
Paris Saint Germain
1–1Nice29/09/18Paris Saint Germain
Nice
0–3Paris Saint Germain18/03/18Paris Saint Germain
Nice
1–2Paris Saint Germain27/10/17Nice
Paris Saint Germain
3–0Nice30/04/17Paris Saint Germain
Nice
3–1Paris Saint Germain| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Nice- ●Nice failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nice have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●63% of Nice's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Nice's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nice have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Paris Saint Germain's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Paris Saint Germain's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Paris Saint Germain's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
NiceWAStade Brestois 292–1
Stade Brestois 292–1LALyon1–2
Lyon1–2WHStrasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1WHLille2–1
Lille2–1LAAuxerre0–1
Auxerre0–1DHLe Mans1–1
Le Mans1–1–HRennes31/10
Rennes31/10–AAngers08/11
Angers08/11–HParis Saint Germain21/11
Paris Saint Germain21/11Paris SaintWAStrasbourg3–1
Strasbourg3–1WHLe Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1WAMarseille2–1
Marseille2–1WAStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0LHMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALille2–2
Lille2–2–HLyon26/10
Lyon26/10–ALe Havre30/10
Le Havre30/10–HEstac Troyes07/11
Estac Troyes07/11Top Scorers
NiceSepe Elye Wahi4 ⚽
S. Diop2 ⚽
I. Jansson1 ⚽
Jonathan Clauss1 ⚽
Mohamed Amoura1 ⚽
Sofiane Diop1 ⚽
Paris SaintFerrán Torres5 ⚽
Ousmane Dembélé4 ⚽
Vitinha3 ⚽
Désiré Doue3 ⚽
F. Torres2 ⚽
Maghnes Akliouche2 ⚽
Cards Given
NiceSepe Elye Wahi2 🟨
Niels Nkounkou2 🟨
Mohamed Abdelmoneim2 🟨
Mohamed Amoura2 🟨
Isak Jansson1 🟨
Hamza Koutoune1 🟨
Paris SaintF. Ruiz2 🟨
A. Hakimi2 🟨
Dro Fernández1 🟨
Lucas Hernández1 🟨
Luis Enrique1 🟨
Marquinhos1 🟨