Marseille vs Le Mans — Ligue 1
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Marseille and Le Mans meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Marseille have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Le Mans have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Marseille and 1.55 for Le Mans. The models give Marseille a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Le Mans win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
MarseilleLe MansHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marseille | Home | Away | Le Mans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 75% | 50% | 80% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 47% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Marseille | Home | Away | Le Mans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 83% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 25% | 17% | 27% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marseille | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS | 50% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marseille | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Marseille (H)
Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Paris Saint Germain1–2
Paris FC2–3
Strasbourg4–0
Atletico Madrid1–2
Athletic Club3–1Le Mans (A)Paris Saint Germain1–3
Guingamp1–2
Nice1–1
Rennes2–3
Saumur0–0
Angers3–2Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Marseille | Le Mans | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 57% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 43% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 29% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 29% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 29% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 14% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Marseille | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 43% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Marseille- ●Marseille have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Marseille have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Marseille's points have been earned away.
Le Mans- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●83% of Le Mans's points have been earned at home.
- ●Le Mans have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MarseilleAngers5–2Estac Troyes2–0Paris Saint Germain1–2Rennes0–1Paris FC2–3Monaco0–2Le Havre25/10Toulouse01/11Lens08/11Le MansToulouse0–3Paris Saint Germain1–3Lorient2–1Lens2–2Nice1–1Rennes2–3Auxerre25/10Estac Troyes31/10Monaco08/11Top Scorers
MarseilleLe MansCards Given
MarseilleLe Mans