Lens vs Toulouse — Ligue 1
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Stade Bollaert-Delelis·Lens·France·41,233
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Lens and Toulouse meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Lens have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Toulouse have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Lens and 1.63 for Toulouse. The models give Lens a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Toulouse win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Lens—
Toulouse6º
Position
12º
1.63
PPG
1.29
50%
Win %
29%
2.00
Goals / game
1.71
1.50
Conceded / game
1.57
60%
BTTS %
73%
20%
Clean sheet %
9%
70%
Over 2.5 %
73%
6.2
Avg corners
4.1
15.4
Avg shots
13.6
5.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
11.1
Avg fouls
15.0
50.8%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Lens
Home (4)
—
Toulouse
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
1.50
75%
Win %
25%
2.25
Goals / game
2.25
1.25
Conceded / game
1.50
58%
BTTS %
75%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
58%
Over 2.5 %
100%
6.2
Avg corners
4.1
15.4
Avg shots
13.6
5.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
50.8%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Lens | Home | Away | Toulouse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 88% | 82% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 58% | 63% | 64% | 43% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 38% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 13% | 18% | 29% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Lens | Home | Away | Toulouse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 83% | 75% | 91% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 63% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lens | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS | 60% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lens | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Lens (H)W
Paris FC2–1
Paris FC2–1L
Sporting CP0–2
Sporting CP0–2W
Lyon2–1
Lyon2–1L
Lorient0–1
Lorient0–1W
Auxerre5–2
Auxerre5–2W
Paris Saint Germain1–0
Paris Saint Germain1–0Toulouse (A)W
Le Mans3–0
Le Mans3–0D
Monaco2–2
Monaco2–2DLorient2–2
Lorient2–2D
Stade Brestois 292–2
Stade Brestois 292–2W
Strasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1LLens1–4
Lens1–4Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
8.4
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Lens | Toulouse | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 86% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 29% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 14% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 14% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lens | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.2 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 29% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
9
Lens
69%
2
Draws
15%
2
Toulouse
15%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
21/04/26Toulouse
Lens
4–1Toulouse17/04/26Toulouse
Lens
3–2Toulouse02/01/26Lens
Toulouse
0–3Lens10/05/25Lens
Toulouse
1–1Lens05/01/25Toulouse
Lens
0–1Toulouse28/01/24Lens
Toulouse
0–2Lens24/09/23Toulouse
Lens
2–1Toulouse02/05/23Lens
Toulouse
0–1Lens28/10/22Toulouse
Lens
3–0Toulouse14/03/15Toulouse
Lens
1–0Toulouse24/10/14Lens
Toulouse
0–2Lens12/03/11Toulouse
Lens
0–1Toulouse30/10/10Lens
Toulouse
1–1Lens| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lens- ●Lens have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Lens failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lens have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lens have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lens have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lens have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Toulouse- ●Toulouse have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Toulouse have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Toulouse have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Toulouse have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Toulouse have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Toulouse's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Toulouse's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
LensWHParis FC2–1
Paris FC2–1WAEstac Troyes3–1
Estac Troyes3–1WHLyon2–1
Lyon2–1LAMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALe Mans2–2
Le Mans2–2LHLorient0–1
Lorient0–1–ALille30/10
Lille30/10–HMarseille08/11
Marseille08/11–HToulouse21/11
Toulouse21/11ToulouseWALe Mans3–0
Le Mans3–0DAMonaco2–2
Monaco2–2WHLe Havre3–2
Le Havre3–2DALorient2–2
Lorient2–2LHLille0–1
Lille0–1DAStade Brestois 292–2
Stade Brestois 292–2–HEstac Troyes25/10
Estac Troyes25/10–AMarseille01/11
Marseille01/11–HStrasbourg06/11
Strasbourg06/11Top Scorers
LensF. Thauvin6 ⚽
Abdallah Sima2 ⚽
Florian Thauvin2 ⚽
M. Soares2 ⚽
Matthieu Udol2 ⚽
O. Edouard2 ⚽
ToulouseCasper Tengstedt5 ⚽
S. Hidalgo2 ⚽
Thomas Jorgensen2 ⚽
J. Russell-Rowe1 ⚽
Aron Dønnum1 ⚽
Jacen Russell-Rowe1 ⚽
Cards Given
LensFlorian Thauvin4 🟨
Michał Skóraś3 🟨
A. Bulatovic2 🟨
Matthieu Udol2 🟨
Michaël Cuisance2 🟨
Samson Baidoo2 🟨
ToulouseC. Casseres2 🟨
N. Schmidt2 🟨
2 🟨
Jacen Russell-Rowe1 🟨
Sion Oppong1 🟨
Niko Sigur1 🟨