Lens vs Marseille — Ligue 1
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Stade Bollaert-Delelis·Lens·France·41,233
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Lens and Marseille meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Lens have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Marseille have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Lens and 1.42 for Marseille. The models give Lens a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Marseille win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Lens—
Marseille6º
Position
10º
1.63
PPG
1.29
50%
Win %
43%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.43
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
14%
70%
Over 2.5 %
64%
6.2
Avg corners
4.7
15.4
Avg shots
13.1
5.7
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.1
Avg fouls
11.1
50.8%
Avg possession
57.6%
Home vs Away
Lens
Home (4)
—
Marseille
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
1.50
75%
Win %
50%
2.25
Goals / game
1.75
1.25
Conceded / game
1.25
58%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Clean sheet %
17%
58%
Over 2.5 %
33%
6.2
Avg corners
4.7
15.4
Avg shots
13.1
5.7
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
50.8%
Avg possession
57.6%
Goals Scored
| Lens | Home | Away | Marseille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 88% | 64% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 58% | 63% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 38% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 13% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lens | Home | Away | Marseille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 83% | 75% | 86% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 63% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lens | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lens | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Lens (H)W
Paris FC2–1
Paris FC2–1L
Sporting CP0–2
Sporting CP0–2W
Lyon2–1
Lyon2–1L
Lorient0–1
Lorient0–1W
Auxerre5–2
Auxerre5–2W
Paris Saint Germain1–0
Paris Saint Germain1–0Marseille (A)L
Sturm Graz0–1
Sturm Graz0–1W
Angers5–2
Angers5–2W
Estac Troyes2–0
Estac Troyes2–0L
Beşiktaş1–4
Beşiktaş1–4L
Rennes0–1
Rennes0–1L
Monaco0–2
Monaco0–2Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
8.4
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Lens | Marseille | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 60% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 30% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 10% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 10% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lens | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.2 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 30% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
7
Lens
41%
2
Draws
12%
8
Marseille
47%
71%
Over 1.5
12/17
59%
Over 2.5
10/17
35%
Over 3.5
6/17
53%
BTTS
9/17
24/01/26Lens
Marseille
3–1Lens25/10/25Marseille
Lens
2–1Marseille08/03/25Lens
Marseille
0–1Lens23/11/24Marseille
Lens
1–3Marseille28/04/24Lens
Marseille
2–1Lens12/11/23Marseille
Lens
1–0Marseille06/05/23Marseille
Lens
2–1Marseille22/10/22Lens
Marseille
0–1Lens22/01/22Marseille
Lens
0–2Marseille26/09/21Lens
Marseille
2–3Lens03/02/21Marseille
Lens
2–2Marseille20/01/21Lens
Marseille
0–1Lens22/03/15Marseille
Lens
0–4Marseille02/11/14Lens
Marseille
2–1Lens25/10/11Lens
Marseille
4–0Lens03/04/11Marseille
Lens
0–1Marseille13/11/10Lens
Marseille
1–1Lens| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lens- ●Lens have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Lens failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lens have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lens have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lens have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lens have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Marseille- ●Marseille have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Marseille have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Marseille's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
LensWHParis FC2–1
Paris FC2–1WAEstac Troyes3–1
Estac Troyes3–1WHLyon2–1
Lyon2–1LAMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALe Mans2–2
Le Mans2–2LHLorient0–1
Lorient0–1–ALille30/10
Lille30/10–HMarseille08/11
Marseille08/11–HToulouse21/11
Toulouse21/11MarseilleWAAngers5–2
Angers5–2WAEstac Troyes2–0
Estac Troyes2–0LHParis Saint Germain1–2
Paris Saint Germain1–2LARennes0–1
Rennes0–1LHParis FC2–3
Paris FC2–3LAMonaco0–2
Monaco0–2–HLe Havre25/10
Le Havre25/10–HToulouse01/11
Toulouse01/11–ALens08/11
Lens08/11Top Scorers
LensF. Thauvin6 ⚽
Abdallah Sima2 ⚽
Florian Thauvin2 ⚽
M. Soares2 ⚽
Matthieu Udol2 ⚽
O. Edouard2 ⚽
MarseilleAmine Gouiri3 ⚽
I. Paixao3 ⚽
Himad Abdelli2 ⚽
A. Gouiri2 ⚽
Amine Harit2 ⚽
Angel Gomes1 ⚽
Cards Given
LensFlorian Thauvin4 🟨
Michał Skóraś3 🟨
A. Bulatovic2 🟨
Matthieu Udol2 🟨
Michaël Cuisance2 🟨
Samson Baidoo2 🟨
MarseilleAngel Gomes3 🟨
Timothy Weah3 🟨
Bamo Meite2 🟨
Amine Harit2 🟨
Keyliane Abdallah2 🟨
Himad Abdelli1 🟨