Toulouse vs Strasbourg — Ligue 1
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Stadium de Toulouse·Toulouse·France·33,150
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Toulouse and Strasbourg meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Toulouse have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Strasbourg have won 15% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 2.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Toulouse and 1.75 for Strasbourg. The models give Toulouse a 38% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Strasbourg win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Toulouse—
Strasbourg12º
Position
14º
1.29
PPG
1.00
29%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.71
1.57
Conceded / game
2.14
73%
BTTS %
69%
9%
Clean sheet %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.1
Avg corners
2.1
13.6
Avg shots
12.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.6
15.0
Avg fouls
11.3
50.0%
Avg possession
44.9%
Home vs Away
Toulouse
Home (3)
—
Strasbourg
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
0.75
33%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
2.50
71%
BTTS %
63%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.1
Avg corners
2.1
13.6
Avg shots
12.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.6
50.0%
Avg possession
44.9%
Goals Scored
| Toulouse | Home | Away | Strasbourg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 71% | 100% | 69% | 80% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 43% | 100% | 31% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 14% | 25% | 15% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 29% | 0% | 31% | 20% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Toulouse | Home | Away | Strasbourg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 57% | 75% | 77% | 60% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 14% | 0% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Toulouse | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 31% |
| BTTS | 73% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Toulouse | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 77% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 62% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 85% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Toulouse (H)L
PAU2–3
PAU2–3W
Le Havre3–2
Le Havre3–2L
Lille0–1
Lille0–1L
Lyon0–2
Lyon0–2L
Hamburger SV1–2
Hamburger SV1–2W
Real Sociedad2–1
Real Sociedad2–1Strasbourg (A)L
Nice1–2
Nice1–2L
Paris FC1–2
Paris FC1–2W
Estac Troyes6–2
Estac Troyes6–2L
Marseille0–4
Marseille0–4D
Newcastle1–1
Newcastle1–1L
SC Freiburg0–2
SC Freiburg0–2Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
7.6
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Toulouse | Strasbourg | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 71% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 57% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 57% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 14% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Toulouse | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 57% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
3
Toulouse
21%
4
Draws
29%
7
Strasbourg
50%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
64%
Over 2.5
9/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
71%
BTTS
10/14
03/05/26Toulouse
Strasbourg
1–2Toulouse06/12/25Strasbourg
Toulouse
1–0Strasbourg16/03/25Toulouse
Strasbourg
2–1Toulouse12/01/25Strasbourg
Toulouse
1–2Strasbourg07/04/24Strasbourg
Toulouse
0–0Strasbourg27/08/23Toulouse
Strasbourg
2–0Toulouse29/01/23Toulouse
Strasbourg
1–2Toulouse23/10/22Strasbourg
Toulouse
2–2Strasbourg05/02/20Strasbourg
Toulouse
0–1Strasbourg07/12/19Toulouse
Strasbourg
4–2Toulouse13/01/19Strasbourg
Toulouse
1–2Strasbourg03/11/18Toulouse
Strasbourg
1–1Toulouse17/03/18Strasbourg
Toulouse
2–2Strasbourg16/12/17Toulouse
Strasbourg
2–1Toulouse| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Toulouse- ●Toulouse have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Toulouse have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Toulouse have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Toulouse have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Toulouse have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Toulouse's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Toulouse's points have been earned away.
Strasbourg- ●Strasbourg have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Strasbourg have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Strasbourg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Strasbourg have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Strasbourg have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Strasbourg have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Strasbourg have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Strasbourg's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Strasbourg's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ToulouseWALe Mans3–0
Le Mans3–0DAMonaco2–2
Monaco2–2WHLe Havre3–2
Le Havre3–2DALorient2–2
Lorient2–2LHLille0–1
Lille0–1DAStade Brestois 292–2
Stade Brestois 292–2–AMarseille01/11
Marseille01/11–HStrasbourg06/11
Strasbourg06/11–ALens21/11
Lens21/11StrasbourgLHParis Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3LANice1–2
Nice1–2LAParis FC1–2
Paris FC1–2DHMonaco1–1
Monaco1–1WAEstac Troyes6–2
Estac Troyes6–2WHLens2–1
Lens2–1–HAuxerre01/11
Auxerre01/11–AToulouse06/11
Toulouse06/11–HStade Brestois 2921/11
Stade Brestois 2921/11Top Scorers
ToulouseCasper Tengstedt5 ⚽
S. Hidalgo2 ⚽
Thomas Jorgensen2 ⚽
J. Russell-Rowe1 ⚽
Aron Dønnum1 ⚽
Jacen Russell-Rowe1 ⚽
StrasbourgG. Yassine4 ⚽
M. Godo3 ⚽
Giovanni Reyna2 ⚽
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw2 ⚽
Conrad Harder1 ⚽
M. Amougou1 ⚽
Cards Given
Toulouse2 🟨
N. Schmidt2 🟨
Cristian Casseres2 🟨
C. Casseres2 🟨
Christ Tape1 🟨
Jacen Russell-Rowe1 🟨
StrasbourgPape Demba Diop2 🟨
Gessime Yassine2 🟨
Diogo Sousa1 🟨
G. Yassine1 🟨
J. Mitchell1 🟨
Joaquín Martínez Gauna1 🟨