Lille vs Lens — Ligue 1
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Lille and Lens meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Lille have recorded 7 wins from 16 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Lens have won 55% of their 20 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Lille and 1.43 for Lens. The models give Lille a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lens win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lille | Home | Away | Lens | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 88% | 75% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 38% | 60% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 30% | 25% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Lille | Home | Away | Lens | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 63% | 75% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 38% | 63% | 45% | 33% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 38% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS | 63% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Lille | Lens | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 92% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 83% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 40% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 17% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 8% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lille | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.1 | 6.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 33% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Lille have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lille have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lille have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lens have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Lens failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lens have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lens have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lens have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lens have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.

