Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain — Ligue 1
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Stade Océane·Le Havre·France·25,178
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Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Le Havre have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Paris Saint Germain have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Le Havre and 1.67 for Paris Saint Germain. The models give Le Havre a 27% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Paris Saint Germain win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Le Havre—
Paris Saint Germain18º
Position
2º
0.29
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
57%
0.71
Goals / game
2.00
1.57
Conceded / game
1.29
64%
BTTS %
79%
14%
Clean sheet %
7%
50%
Over 2.5 %
79%
5.7
Avg corners
4.8
15.6
Avg shots
21.0
4.7
Avg shots on target
8.4
1.6
Avg yellow cards
0.9
14.6
Avg fouls
7.7
49.6%
Avg possession
64.2%
Home vs Away
Le Havre
Home (4)
—
Paris Saint Germain
Away (5)
0.25
PPG
2.20
0%
Win %
60%
0.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.20
75%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
63%
Over 2.5 %
75%
5.7
Avg corners
4.8
15.6
Avg shots
21.0
4.7
Avg shots on target
8.4
1.6
Avg yellow cards
0.9
49.6%
Avg possession
64.2%
Goals Scored
| Le Havre | Home | Away | Paris Saint | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 13% | 0% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Havre | Home | Away | Paris Saint | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 83% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 13% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 13% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Havre | Paris Saint | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS | 64% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Havre | Paris Saint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 7% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 64% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Havre (H)L
Auxerre1–3
Auxerre1–3W
Boulogne6–1
Boulogne6–1D
Angers0–0
Angers0–0L
Stade Brestois 291–2
Stade Brestois 291–2L
Monaco0–1
Monaco0–1D
Laval1–1
Laval1–1Paris Saint (A)W
Strasbourg3–1
Strasbourg3–1W
Manchester City4–2
Manchester City4–2W
Marseille2–1
Marseille2–1WStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0D
Lille2–2
Lille2–2D
Rennes2–2
Rennes2–2Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
7.5
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Le Havre | Paris Saint | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 58% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 58% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 42% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 86% | 25% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 8% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 8% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 8% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Le Havre | Paris Saint |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 86% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 8% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
0
Le Havre
0%
1
Draws
13%
7
Paris Saint
88%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
28/02/26Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
0–1Paris Saint Germain22/11/25Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
3–0Le Havre19/04/25Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
2–1Le Havre16/08/24Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
1–4Paris Saint Germain27/04/24Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
3–3Le Havre03/12/23Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
0–2Paris Saint Germain21/07/23Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain
2–0Le Havre12/07/20Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre
0–9Paris Saint Germain| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Le Havre- ●Le Havre have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Le Havre have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Le Havre have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Le Havre have lost their last 2 away matches.
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Paris Saint Germain's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Paris Saint Germain's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Paris Saint Germain's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Le HavreLHAuxerre1–3
Auxerre1–3LALille0–1
Lille0–1LAToulouse2–3
Toulouse2–3DHAngers0–0
Angers0–0LHStade Brestois 291–2
Stade Brestois 291–2DALyon1–1
Lyon1–1–AMarseille25/10
Marseille25/10–HParis Saint Germain30/10
Paris Saint Germain30/10–HLorient08/11
Lorient08/11Paris SaintWAStrasbourg3–1
Strasbourg3–1WHLe Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1WAMarseille2–1
Marseille2–1WAStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0LHMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALille2–2
Lille2–2–HLyon26/10
Lyon26/10–ALe Havre30/10
Le Havre30/10–HEstac Troyes07/11
Estac Troyes07/11Top Scorers
Le HavreRayan Fofana2 ⚽
A. Samatta2 ⚽
Josh Maja1 ⚽
Marco Esteban1 ⚽
Mbwana Ally Samatta1 ⚽
R. Ndiaye1 ⚽
Paris SaintFerrán Torres5 ⚽
Ousmane Dembélé4 ⚽
Vitinha3 ⚽
Désiré Doue3 ⚽
F. Torres2 ⚽
Maghnes Akliouche2 ⚽
Cards Given
Le HavreF. Doucoure2 🟨
Ahmed Touba1 🟨
Ayumu Seko1 🟨
Didier Digard1 🟨
Djibril Ouziad1 🟨
A. Seko1 🟨
Paris SaintF. Ruiz2 🟨
A. Hakimi2 🟨
Dro Fernández1 🟨
Lucas Hernández1 🟨
Luis Enrique1 🟨
Marquinhos1 🟨