Montpellier vs Nantes — Ligue 2
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Montpellier and Nantes meet in the Ligue 2 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Montpellier have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Nantes have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Montpellier and 1.17 for Nantes. The models give Montpellier a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Nantes win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Montpellier—
Nantes3º
Position
15º
2.00
PPG
0.80
56%
Win %
20%
1.22
Goals / game
1.10
0.56
Conceded / game
1.70
50%
BTTS %
47%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
43%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.4
Avg corners
5.7
13.4
Avg shots
14.1
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
16.9
Avg fouls
16.2
57.7%
Avg possession
53.8%
Home vs Away
Montpellier
Home (4)
—
Nantes
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.80
50%
Win %
20%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
0.25
Conceded / game
1.60
63%
BTTS %
38%
38%
Clean sheet %
13%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.4
Avg corners
5.7
13.4
Avg shots
14.1
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
57.7%
Avg possession
53.8%
Goals Scored
| Montpellier | Home | Away | Nantes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 88% | 100% | 60% | 71% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 63% | 17% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 13% | 0% | 40% | 29% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Montpellier | Home | Away | Nantes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 63% | 33% | 80% | 71% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 50% | 17% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 38% | 67% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montpellier | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 33% |
| BTTS | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montpellier | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 71% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 7% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Montpellier (H)W
Grenoble2–0
Grenoble2–0W
PAU1–0
PAU1–0D
Boulogne0–0
Boulogne0–0D
Dijon1–1
Dijon1–1W
Rodez4–2
Rodez4–2L
Cannes3–4
Cannes3–4Nantes (A)L
Saint Etienne0–1
Saint Etienne0–1WBoulogne2–1
Boulogne2–1L
Sochaux0–1
Sochaux0–1D
Guingamp3–3
Guingamp3–3L
Laval1–2
Laval1–2L
Le Mans0–1
Le Mans0–1Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.3
87 games
10.0
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Montpellier | Nantes | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 40% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 30% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 10% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Montpellier | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
7
Montpellier
28%
4
Draws
16%
14
Nantes
56%
84%
Over 1.5
21/25
44%
Over 2.5
11/25
16%
Over 3.5
4/25
40%
BTTS
10/25
17/05/25Montpellier
Nantes
3–0Montpellier31/08/24Nantes
Montpellier
1–3Nantes26/04/24Nantes
Montpellier
1–1Nantes22/10/23Montpellier
Nantes
2–0Montpellier20/05/23Montpellier
Nantes
0–3Montpellier15/01/23Nantes
Montpellier
0–3Nantes06/03/22Montpellier
Nantes
2–0Montpellier31/10/21Nantes
Montpellier
2–0Nantes23/05/21Montpellier
Nantes
1–2Montpellier09/01/21Nantes
Montpellier
1–1Nantes31/08/19Montpellier
Nantes
1–0Montpellier18/05/19Nantes
Montpellier
1–1Nantes08/01/19Montpellier
Nantes
2–0Montpellier30/10/18Nantes
Montpellier
0–3Nantes06/05/18Montpellier
Nantes
0–2Montpellier09/09/17Nantes
Montpellier
0–1Nantes11/03/17Nantes
Montpellier
2–3Nantes21/12/16Montpellier
Nantes
1–0Montpellier13/12/16Montpellier
Nantes
3–1Montpellier17/04/16Montpellier
Nantes
0–2Montpellier| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Reims | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Metz | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
Team Insights
Montpellier- ●Montpellier have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Montpellier have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Montpellier have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Montpellier have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Montpellier have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Montpellier have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Montpellier have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Montpellier have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Montpellier have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Montpellier's goals have been scored away.
Nantes- ●Nantes have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nantes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nantes failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
MontpellierWARodez3–0
Rodez3–0WHGrenoble2–0
Grenoble2–0DAReims1–1
Reims1–1WHPAU1–0
PAU1–0LASaint Etienne1–3
Saint Etienne1–3DHBoulogne0–0
Boulogne0–0–HRED Star FC 9326/10
RED Star FC 9326/10–AAnnecy31/10
Annecy31/10–HMetz06/11
Metz06/11NantesLASaint Etienne0–1
Saint Etienne0–1LHDunkerque2–3
Dunkerque2–3DHReims0–0
Reims0–0WABoulogne2–1
Boulogne2–1LASochaux0–1
Sochaux0–1WHNancy1–0
Nancy1–0–HClermont Foot30/10
Clermont Foot30/10–APAU06/11
PAU06/11–HGrenoble20/11
Grenoble20/11Top Scorers
MontpellierJ. Ndiaye3 ⚽
Y. Issoufou2 ⚽
L. Megnan-Pave2 ⚽
Nicolas Pays2 ⚽
K. Fayad1 ⚽
E. Junior Pereira da Silva1 ⚽
NantesK. Corredor3 ⚽
B. Deuff3 ⚽
W. Younoussa2 ⚽
I. Ganago2 ⚽
Thomas Robinet2 ⚽
Igniatius Ganago1 ⚽
Cards Given
MontpellierY. Mouanga2 🟨
Daylam Meddah2 🟨
D. Meddah2 🟨
Julien Laporte2 🟨
G. Ayem1 🟨
F. Tardieu1 🟨
Nantes4 🟨
Kelvin Amian3 🟨
Wilitty Younoussa2 🟨
Frédéric Guilbert2 🟨
M. Cafaro2 🟨
Grégory Poirier1 🟨