Excelsior vs Twente — Eredivisie
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Excelsior and Twente meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Excelsior have recorded 8 wins from 11 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 91%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Twente have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Excelsior and 2.22 for Twente. The models give Excelsior a 27% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Twente win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Excelsior—
Twente6º
Position
4º
1.67
PPG
2.17
50%
Win %
67%
2.17
Goals / game
2.00
1.17
Conceded / game
0.83
73%
BTTS %
58%
27%
Clean sheet %
32%
91%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.0
Avg corners
7.5
12.3
Avg shots
22.2
5.0
Avg shots on target
8.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.0
Avg fouls
11.3
44.2%
Avg possession
61.7%
Home vs Away
Excelsior
Home (3)
—
Twente
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.33
100%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
100%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.0
Avg corners
7.5
12.3
Avg shots
22.2
5.0
Avg shots on target
8.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
44.2%
Avg possession
61.7%
Goals Scored
| Excelsior | Home | Away | Twente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 82% | 50% | 100% | 63% | 56% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 55% | 25% | 71% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Excelsior | Home | Away | Twente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 100% | 57% | 68% | 56% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 75% | 29% | 37% | 22% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 0% | 43% | 32% | 44% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Excelsior | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 91% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 26% |
| BTTS | 73% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 45% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Excelsior | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 70% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 10% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 58% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 100% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Excelsior (H)L
Utrecht1–2
Utrecht1–2W
Sparta Rotterdam2–1
Sparta Rotterdam2–1L
PSV Eindhoven1–2
PSV Eindhoven1–2W
Cambuur3–2
Cambuur3–2D
FC Volendam1–1
FC Volendam1–1WUtrecht5–0
Utrecht5–0Twente (A)D
Groningen2–2
Groningen2–2WCambuur4–1
Cambuur4–1W
Qarabag4–1
Qarabag4–1D
Dunajska Streda3–3
Dunajska Streda3–3L
Heerenveen0–1
Heerenveen0–1L
Genk1–2
Genk1–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.4
53 games
10.8
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Excelsior | Twente | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 100% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 82% | 72% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 64% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 55% | 55% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 36% | 49% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 18% | 34% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Excelsior | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 7.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 18% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
5
Excelsior
28%
6
Draws
33%
7
Twente
39%
72%
Over 1.5
13/18
50%
Over 2.5
9/18
28%
Over 3.5
5/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
24/01/26Excelsior
Twente
0–0Excelsior30/08/25Twente
Excelsior
1–0Twente10/02/24Twente
Excelsior
0–3Twente08/12/23Excelsior
Twente
4–2Excelsior01/04/23Twente
Excelsior
0–0Twente31/08/22Excelsior
Twente
4–0Excelsior23/12/17Twente
Excelsior
0–0Twente27/10/17Excelsior
Twente
1–3Excelsior12/02/17Twente
Excelsior
1–1Twente06/08/16Excelsior
Twente
1–2Excelsior20/04/16Excelsior
Twente
2–0Excelsior05/12/15Twente
Excelsior
1–1Twente07/02/15Excelsior
Twente
1–3Excelsior26/10/14Twente
Excelsior
2–1Twente21/04/12Twente
Excelsior
0–1Twente02/10/11Excelsior
Twente
2–2Excelsior20/03/11Twente
Excelsior
0–2Twente06/11/10Excelsior
Twente
2–1Excelsior| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 16 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 14 |
| 4 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 6 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 2 |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Excelsior- ●Excelsior have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Excelsior have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Excelsior's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Excelsior's points have been earned away.
Twente- ●Twente have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Twente have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Twente have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Twente have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Twente have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
ExcelsiorLHUtrecht1–2
Utrecht1–2DANEC Nijmegen2–2
NEC Nijmegen2–2WAWillem II3–0
Willem II3–0WHSparta Rotterdam2–1
Sparta Rotterdam2–1LHPSV Eindhoven1–2
PSV Eindhoven1–2WACambuur4–0
Cambuur4–0–AAjax19/09
Ajax19/09–HGroningen11/10
Groningen11/10–AHeerenveen16/10
Heerenveen16/10TwenteWHADO Den Haag2–0
ADO Den Haag2–0WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DAGroningen2–2
Groningen2–2WACambuur4–1
Cambuur4–1WHPEC Zwolle3–1
PEC Zwolle3–1LAHeerenveen0–1
Heerenveen0–1–HPSV Eindhoven20/09
PSV Eindhoven20/09–AFortuna Sittard10/10
Fortuna Sittard10/10–HUtrecht18/10
Utrecht18/10Top Scorers
ExcelsiorG. de Regt5 ⚽
I. Yegoian4 ⚽
D. Garden3 ⚽
N. El Hamdaoui2 ⚽
David Garden2 ⚽
N. Groen2 ⚽
TwenteM. Pjaca5 ⚽
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink4 ⚽
W. Weghorst4 ⚽
D. Weidmann3 ⚽
M. Bruns3 ⚽
S. Lammers3 ⚽
Cards Given
ExcelsiorValentin Sulzbacher2 🟨
J. Plug1 🟨
Lennard Hartjes1 🟨
Mario Domínguez Franco1 🟨
A. Thorsteinsson1 🟨
Rick Meissen1 🟨
TwenteY. Taha2 🟨
2 🟨
D. Rots2 🟨
R. Propper2 🟨
R. Zerrouki2 🟨
D. Weidmann1 🟨