Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — Eredivisie
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Johan Cruijff ArenA·Amsterdam·Netherlands·55,885
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Ajax and AZ Alkmaar meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Ajax have recorded 16 wins from 26 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.58 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. AZ Alkmaar have won 61% of their 18 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Ajax and 1.99 for AZ Alkmaar. The models give Ajax a 44% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an AZ Alkmaar win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Ajax—
AZ Alkmaar4º
Position
2º
2.00
PPG
2.22
56%
Win %
67%
3.00
Goals / game
2.22
1.33
Conceded / game
1.11
73%
BTTS %
56%
23%
Clean sheet %
28%
73%
Over 2.5 %
56%
7.7
Avg corners
7.3
21.9
Avg shots
16.5
8.6
Avg shots on target
6.4
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
9.7
Avg fouls
12.4
61.8%
Avg possession
59.1%
Home vs Away
Ajax
Home (5)
—
AZ Alkmaar
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
60%
2.20
Goals / game
2.20
1.80
Conceded / game
1.40
71%
BTTS %
50%
24%
Clean sheet %
25%
65%
Over 2.5 %
50%
7.7
Avg corners
7.3
21.9
Avg shots
16.5
8.6
Avg shots on target
6.4
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
61.8%
Avg possession
59.1%
Goals Scored
| Ajax | Home | Away | AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 94% | 100% | 83% | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 59% | 89% | 67% | 70% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 29% | 67% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 6% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Ajax | Home | Away | AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 76% | 78% | 72% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 35% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 18% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 24% | 22% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 28% |
| BTTS | 73% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 61% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Ajax (H)W
Atalanta2–0
Atalanta2–0D
NEC Nijmegen1–1
NEC Nijmegen1–1D
Excelsior2–2
Excelsior2–2W
Willem II5–1
Willem II5–1L
PSV Eindhoven1–3
PSV Eindhoven1–3W
FC Sion5–3
FC Sion5–3AZ Alkmaar (A)W
Ararat-Armenia4–0
Ararat-Armenia4–0D
Cambuur2–2
Cambuur2–2L
Feyenoord0–2
Feyenoord0–2L
Sunderland0–1
Sunderland0–1W
Heerenveen3–2
Heerenveen3–2W
Fortuna Sittard2–0
Fortuna Sittard2–0Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.3
84 games
11.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 92% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 81% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 67% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 58% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 42% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 25% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.7 | 7.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 94% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 94% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 44% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 33% |
Head to Head · 36 matches
14
Ajax
39%
8
Draws
22%
14
AZ Alkmaar
39%
86%
Over 1.5
31/36
61%
Over 2.5
22/36
39%
Over 3.5
14/36
47%
BTTS
17/36
08/02/26Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1–1Ajax14/01/26Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
6–0Ajax18/10/25AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0–2AZ Alkmaar16/03/25AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2–2AZ Alkmaar14/01/25Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–0Ajax08/12/24Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Ajax25/02/24Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–0Ajax08/10/23AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1–2AZ Alkmaar06/05/23AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0–0AZ Alkmaar18/09/22Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Ajax08/05/22Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–2Ajax03/03/22Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0–2Ajax12/12/21AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1–2AZ Alkmaar25/04/21AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2–0AZ Alkmaar31/01/21Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0–3Ajax20/01/21Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0–1Ajax01/03/20AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0–2AZ Alkmaar15/12/19Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Ajax17/03/19Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Ajax07/10/18AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
5–0AZ Alkmaar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 |  Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |
Team Insights
Ajax- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Ajax's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Ajax's points have been earned away.
AZ Alkmaar- ●AZ Alkmaar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of AZ Alkmaar's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AjaxWAGroningen5–2
Groningen5–2DHNEC Nijmegen1–1
NEC Nijmegen1–1DHExcelsior2–2
Excelsior2–2WHWillem II5–1
Willem II5–1WAFortuna Sittard5–1
Fortuna Sittard5–1LHPSV Eindhoven1–3
PSV Eindhoven1–3–ASparta Rotterdam25/10
Sparta Rotterdam25/10–HAZ Alkmaar31/10
AZ Alkmaar31/10–ATwente08/11
Twente08/11AZ AlkmaarDACambuur2–2
Cambuur2–2LAFeyenoord0–2
Feyenoord0–2WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DHWillem II1–1
Willem II1–1WAHeerenveen3–2
Heerenveen3–2WHGO Ahead Eagles5–2
GO Ahead Eagles5–2–HTwente25/10
Twente25/10–AAjax31/10
Ajax31/10–HGroningen08/11
Groningen08/11Top Scorers
AjaxT. Arokodare6 ⚽
D. Klaassen6 ⚽
Julian Brandt5 ⚽
A. Ouazane4 ⚽
O. Gloukh4 ⚽
J. Brandt3 ⚽
AZ AlkmaarMexx Meerdink5 ⚽
R. Daal4 ⚽
Weslley Patati3 ⚽
M. Meerdink3 ⚽
J. Hornkamp2 ⚽
Ro Zangelo Daal2 ⚽
Cards Given
AjaxA. Bouwman2 🟨
J. Mokio2 🟨
Abdellah Ouazane2 🟨
A. Gaaei2 🟨
A. Ouazane2 🟨
Jorthy Mokio2 🟨
AZ AlkmaarA. Oufkir3 🟨
Ayoub Oufkir3 🟨
Lewis Schouten2 🟨
Ro Zangelo Daal2 🟨
Weslley Patati2 🟨
Wouter Goes2 🟨