AZ Alkmaar vs Twente — Eredivisie
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AFAS Stadion·Alkmaar·Netherlands·19,500
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AZ Alkmaar and Twente meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 25 October 2026. AZ Alkmaar have recorded 11 wins from 18 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Twente have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.36 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.90 for Twente. The models give AZ Alkmaar a 43% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Twente win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
AZ Alkmaar—
Twente2º
Position
5º
2.22
PPG
1.89
67%
Win %
56%
2.22
Goals / game
1.89
1.11
Conceded / game
1.11
56%
BTTS %
60%
28%
Clean sheet %
32%
56%
Over 2.5 %
68%
7.3
Avg corners
7.1
16.5
Avg shots
21.8
6.4
Avg shots on target
7.6
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.4
Avg fouls
11.8
59.1%
Avg possession
61.4%
Home vs Away
AZ Alkmaar
Home (4)
—
Twente
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
1.25
75%
Win %
25%
2.25
Goals / game
1.75
0.75
Conceded / game
1.25
60%
BTTS %
75%
30%
Clean sheet %
17%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
7.3
Avg corners
7.1
16.5
Avg shots
21.8
6.4
Avg shots on target
7.6
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.4
59.1%
Avg possession
61.4%
Goals Scored
| AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | Twente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 75% | 92% | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 70% | 63% | 60% | 54% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 40% | 38% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 25% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | Twente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 70% | 75% | 68% | 54% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 30% | 38% | 36% | 31% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 10% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 46% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AZ Alkmaar | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 32% |
| BTTS | 56% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AZ Alkmaar | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 61% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
AZ Alkmaar (H)W
Hapoel Beer Sheva2–1
Hapoel Beer Sheva2–1W
Telstar1–0
Telstar1–0D
Willem II1–1
Willem II1–1W
GO Ahead Eagles5–2
GO Ahead Eagles5–2W
ADO Den Haag2–0
ADO Den Haag2–0W
Olympiakos Piraeus3–2
Olympiakos Piraeus3–2Twente (A)W
Lincoln Red Imps FC4–1
Lincoln Red Imps FC4–1D
Fortuna Sittard1–1
Fortuna Sittard1–1D
Groningen2–2
Groningen2–2W
Cambuur4–1
Cambuur4–1W
Qarabag4–1
Qarabag4–1D
Dunajska Streda3–3
Dunajska Streda3–3Number of Corners
11.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.3
84 games
10.3
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | AZ Alkmaar | Twente | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 56% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 50% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 58% | 31% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 13% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 13% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | AZ Alkmaar | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.3 | 7.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 94% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 92% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 25% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
18
AZ Alkmaar
53%
5
Draws
15%
11
Twente
32%
91%
Over 1.5
31/34
76%
Over 2.5
26/34
35%
Over 3.5
12/34
65%
BTTS
22/34
03/05/26Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–2Twente03/02/26Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Twente30/11/25AZ Alkmaar
Twente
1–0AZ Alkmaar25/05/25Twente
AZ Alkmaar
3–2Twente14/05/25AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–3AZ Alkmaar21/12/24Twente
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Twente05/05/24Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Twente13/01/24AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–1AZ Alkmaar19/03/23AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–1AZ Alkmaar11/09/22Twente
AZ Alkmaar
1–1Twente13/03/22Twente
AZ Alkmaar
0–1Twente19/01/22AZ Alkmaar
Twente
1–2AZ Alkmaar23/09/21AZ Alkmaar
Twente
3–1AZ Alkmaar13/03/21Twente
AZ Alkmaar
4–1Twente13/12/20AZ Alkmaar
Twente
1–3AZ Alkmaar15/02/20AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–0AZ Alkmaar02/11/19Twente
AZ Alkmaar
3–0Twente28/02/18Twente
AZ Alkmaar
4–0Twente07/02/18AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0–4AZ Alkmaar24/11/17Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–0Twente| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |
Team Insights
AZ Alkmaar- ●AZ Alkmaar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of AZ Alkmaar's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Twente- ●Twente have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Twente have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Twente have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Twente have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AZ AlkmaarDACambuur2–2
Cambuur2–2LAFeyenoord0–2
Feyenoord0–2WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DHWillem II1–1
Willem II1–1WAHeerenveen3–2
Heerenveen3–2WHGO Ahead Eagles5–2
GO Ahead Eagles5–2–HTwente25/10
Twente25/10–AAjax31/10
Ajax31/10–HGroningen08/11
Groningen08/11TwenteLHUtrecht1–2
Utrecht1–2DAFortuna Sittard1–1
Fortuna Sittard1–1WHPSV Eindhoven3–2
PSV Eindhoven3–2WHADO Den Haag2–0
ADO Den Haag2–0WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DAGroningen2–2
Groningen2–2–AAZ Alkmaar25/10
AZ Alkmaar25/10–AExcelsior01/11
Excelsior01/11–HAjax08/11
Ajax08/11Top Scorers
AZ AlkmaarMexx Meerdink5 ⚽
R. Daal4 ⚽
Weslley Patati3 ⚽
M. Meerdink3 ⚽
J. Hornkamp2 ⚽
Ro Zangelo Daal2 ⚽
TwenteM. Pjaca7 ⚽
W. Weghorst5 ⚽
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink5 ⚽
D. Weidmann4 ⚽
M. Bruns3 ⚽
D. Rots3 ⚽
Cards Given
AZ AlkmaarA. Oufkir3 🟨
Ayoub Oufkir3 🟨
Lewis Schouten2 🟨
Ro Zangelo Daal2 🟨
Weslley Patati2 🟨
Wouter Goes2 🟨
TwenteY. Taha3 🟨
D. Rots2 🟨
A. Adelgaard2 🟨
R. Propper2 🟨
R. Zerrouki2 🟨
2 🟨