MVV vs Jong PSV U21 — Eerste Divisie
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De Geusselt·Maastricht·Netherlands·10,000
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MVV and Jong PSV U21 meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 27 November 2026. MVV have recorded 6 wins from 23 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Jong PSV U21 have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for MVV and 1.50 for Jong PSV U21. The models give MVV a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Jong PSV U21 win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
MVV—
Jong PSV U217º
Position
12º
1.60
PPG
1.30
50%
Win %
30%
1.30
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
1.70
61%
BTTS %
75%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
65%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.4
Avg corners
4.6
10.1
Avg shots
13.2
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.0
10.9
Avg fouls
11.2
55.1%
Avg possession
53.5%
Home vs Away
MVV
Home (5)
—
Jong PSV U21
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.40
60%
Win %
0%
1.20
Goals / game
1.20
1.20
Conceded / game
2.40
55%
BTTS %
88%
27%
Clean sheet %
13%
55%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.4
Avg corners
4.6
10.1
Avg shots
13.2
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.0
55.1%
Avg possession
53.5%
Goals Scored
| MVV | Home | Away | Jong PSV | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 73% | 67% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 27% | 42% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 27% | 33% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| MVV | Home | Away | Jong PSV | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 73% | 92% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 45% | 58% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 36% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 27% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| MVV | Jong PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 19% |
| BTTS | 61% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| MVV | Jong PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
MVV (H)L
VVV Venlo1–2
VVV Venlo1–2L
Excelsior0–3
Excelsior0–3L
Heracles1–5
Heracles1–5W
Helmond Sport2–0
Helmond Sport2–0L
Almere City FC0–4
Almere City FC0–4D
Roda1–1
Roda1–1Jong PSV (A)W
Ipswich Town U217–0
Ipswich Town U217–0W
FC Eindhoven2–1
FC Eindhoven2–1DRoda1–1
Roda1–1L
Vitesse1–3
Vitesse1–3LHelmond Sport1–3
Helmond Sport1–3D
Waalwijk2–2
Waalwijk2–2Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.5
130 games
9.9
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | MVV | Jong PSV | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 85% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 85% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 54% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 21% | 46% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 23% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 8% | 22% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | MVV | Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 62% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
6
MVV
30%
10
Draws
50%
4
Jong PSV
20%
75%
Over 1.5
15/20
70%
Over 2.5
14/20
60%
Over 3.5
12/20
75%
BTTS
15/20
06/02/26Jong PSV U21
MVV
2–1Jong PSV U2129/09/25MVV
Jong PSV U21
2–2MVV14/04/25MVV
Jong PSV U21
3–2MVV30/08/24Jong PSV U21
MVV
3–2Jong PSV U2119/02/24Jong PSV U21
MVV
3–3Jong PSV U2106/10/23MVV
Jong PSV U21
2–3MVV24/04/23MVV
Jong PSV U21
0–1MVV14/10/22Jong PSV U21
MVV
1–1Jong PSV U2125/04/22MVV
Jong PSV U21
2–2MVV26/11/21Jong PSV U21
MVV
1–2Jong PSV U2105/04/21MVV
Jong PSV U21
3–1MVV20/11/20Jong PSV U21
MVV
3–3Jong PSV U2131/01/20Jong PSV U21
MVV
3–1Jong PSV U2126/08/19MVV
Jong PSV U21
0–1MVV21/01/19MVV
Jong PSV U21
2–2MVV19/10/18Jong PSV U21
MVV
2–2Jong PSV U2105/02/18MVV
Jong PSV U21
1–0MVV15/09/17Jong PSV U21
MVV
0–0Jong PSV U2121/04/17Jong PSV U21
MVV
2–2Jong PSV U2119/12/16MVV
Jong PSV U21
0–0MVV| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +25 | 32 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 25 |
| 6 |  NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 8 |  Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +4 | 17 |
| 11 | MVV | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV U21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 |  De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  FC OSS | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 |  Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Eindhoven | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 11 |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 10 |
Team Insights
MVV- ●MVV have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●MVV have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●MVV have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●MVV have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Jong PSV- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
MVVLHVVV Venlo1–2
VVV Venlo1–2DADen Bosch2–2
Den Bosch2–2LHHeracles1–5
Heracles1–5LANAC Breda0–1
NAC Breda0–1LAFC OSS1–4
FC OSS1–4WHHelmond Sport2–0
Helmond Sport2–0–AEmmen08/11
Emmen08/11–HVitesse15/11
Vitesse15/11–ADe Graafschap20/11
De Graafschap20/11Jong PSVLHNAC Breda0–2
NAC Breda0–2WAFC Eindhoven2–1
FC Eindhoven2–1LHDordrecht0–1
Dordrecht0–1DARoda1–1
Roda1–1LAVitesse1–3
Vitesse1–3DHJong AZ1–1
Jong AZ1–1–AVVV Venlo06/11
VVV Venlo06/11–AHeracles20/11
Heracles20/11–HJong Utrecht23/11
Jong Utrecht23/11Top Scorers
MVV8 ⚽
Olivier·Dumont3 ⚽
O. Dumont2 ⚽
Finn Dicke1 ⚽
Lennerd Daneels1 ⚽
J. Pawirodihardjo1 ⚽
Jong PSVAustyn Jones5 ⚽
S. Cornecion3 ⚽
J. van den Berg2 ⚽
F. Kluit2 ⚽
A. Santos2 ⚽
M. Bro Hansen2 ⚽
Cards Given
MVVRobert Klaasen2 🟨
Elias Sierra1 🟨
Hugo Wentges1 🟨
L. Daneels1 🟨
Lars Schenk1 🟨
E. Sierra1 🟨
Jong PSVAustyn Jones2 🟨
Madi Monamay2 🟨
Boet Mulders1 🟨
J. Beerens1 🟨
J. van den Berg1 🟨
M. Bahaty1 🟨