Jong Ajax vs Heracles — Eerste Divisie
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Jong Ajax and Heracles meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Jong Ajax have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 2.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Heracles have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 2.93 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Jong Ajax and 2.38 for Heracles. The models give Jong Ajax a 25% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Heracles win at 54%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Jong Ajax—
Heracles18º
Position
1º
0.80
PPG
2.50
20%
Win %
80%
1.30
Goals / game
3.10
2.50
Conceded / game
1.20
62%
BTTS %
67%
15%
Clean sheet %
27%
69%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.8
Avg corners
8.0
15.6
Avg shots
21.4
6.1
Avg shots on target
8.5
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
14.9
Avg fouls
13.6
51.3%
Avg possession
55.8%
Home vs Away
Jong Ajax
Home (5)
—
Heracles
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
60%
1.40
Goals / game
3.00
2.60
Conceded / game
1.60
50%
BTTS %
86%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.8
Avg corners
8.0
15.6
Avg shots
21.4
6.1
Avg shots on target
8.5
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
51.3%
Avg possession
55.8%
Goals Scored
| Jong Ajax | Home | Away | Heracles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 50% | 86% | 93% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 29% | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 33% | 14% | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 50% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Jong Ajax | Home | Away | Heracles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jong Ajax | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 47% |
| BTTS | 62% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 47% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jong Ajax | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 80% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Jong Ajax (H)W
De Graafschap2–1
De Graafschap2–1L
VVV Venlo0–3
VVV Venlo0–3D
Roda0–0
Roda0–0L
Waalwijk0–2
Waalwijk0–2W
Helmond Sport3–2
Helmond Sport3–2L
Emmen4–6
Emmen4–6Heracles (A)D
NAC Breda1–1
NAC Breda1–1W
MVV5–1
MVV5–1DHelmond Sport2–2
Helmond Sport2–2L
Almere City FC0–1
Almere City FC0–1W
FC Eindhoven3–1
FC Eindhoven3–1W
Jong Utrecht6–1
Jong Utrecht6–1Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.5
120 games
11.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Jong Ajax | Heracles | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 92% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 92% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 58% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 50% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Jong Ajax | Heracles |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 8.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.7 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 42% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Jong Ajax
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Heracles
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
19/05/23Jong Ajax
Heracles
2–0Jong Ajax05/09/22Heracles
Jong Ajax
4–0Heracles| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 | Emmen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 22 |
| 5 | Roda | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 |  Jong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | MVV | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Den Bosch | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 |  FC OSS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
Jong Ajax- ●Jong Ajax have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jong Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Heracles- ●Heracles have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Heracles have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Heracles have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heracles have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Heracles have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Heracles have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Heracles failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Heracles have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Heracles failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Heracles have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Heracles have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Heracles's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Jong AjaxDAFC OSS3–3
FC OSS3–3WHDe Graafschap2–1
De Graafschap2–1LHVVV Venlo0–3
VVV Venlo0–3DHRoda0–0
Roda0–0LAJong Utrecht1–6
Jong Utrecht1–6LHWaalwijk0–2
Waalwijk0–2–HVitesse02/11
Vitesse02/11–AFC Eindhoven06/11
FC Eindhoven06/11–AFC Volendam20/11
FC Volendam20/11HeraclesDANAC Breda1–1
NAC Breda1–1WAMVV5–1
MVV5–1WHWaalwijk3–0
Waalwijk3–0DAHelmond Sport2–2
Helmond Sport2–2WHVitesse2–0
Vitesse2–0LAAlmere City FC0–1
Almere City FC0–1–HFC OSS02/11
FC OSS02/11–HRoda06/11
Roda06/11–ADordrecht14/11
Dordrecht14/11Top Scorers
Jong AjaxE. Unuvar4 ⚽
D. Pugno4 ⚽
Jano Monserrate2 ⚽
P. Nash2 ⚽
emre unuvar2 ⚽
Emre Ünüvar1 ⚽
HeraclesJean-Paul N'djoli7 ⚽
J. N'djoli6 ⚽
T. van Gilst6 ⚽
Manny Rodriguez Baldera3 ⚽
Tristan Van Gilst3 ⚽
Chafik Abbas2 ⚽
Cards Given
Jong AjaxRyan van de Pavert3 🟨
Marvyn Muzungu3 🟨
Levi Acheampong2 🟨
J. Monserrate2 🟨
Diego Pugno2 🟨
D. Pugno2 🟨
HeraclesManny Rodriguez Baldera2 🟨
Sem Scheperman2 🟨
David Vicente2 🟨
J. N'djoli2 🟨
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde2 🟨
Djevencio van der Kust1 🟨