De Graafschap vs MVV — Eerste Divisie
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
De Graafschap and MVV meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 20 November 2026. De Graafschap have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 2.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 89% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. MVV have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for De Graafschap and 1.74 for MVV. The models give De Graafschap a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an MVV win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
De Graafschap—
MVV16º
Position
7º
1.10
PPG
1.60
30%
Win %
50%
1.30
Goals / game
1.30
2.30
Conceded / game
2.00
89%
BTTS %
62%
6%
Clean sheet %
19%
83%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.7
Avg corners
4.1
13.9
Avg shots
9.8
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.1
Avg fouls
11.2
52.4%
Avg possession
53.7%
Home vs Away
De Graafschap
Home (5)
—
MVV
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
1.20
40%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.40
2.40
Conceded / game
2.80
90%
BTTS %
67%
10%
Clean sheet %
8%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.7
Avg corners
4.1
13.9
Avg shots
9.8
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.4
52.4%
Avg possession
53.7%
Goals Scored
| De Graafschap | Home | Away | MVV | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 88% | 71% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 40% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 13% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| De Graafschap | Home | Away | MVV | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 90% | 100% | 81% | 67% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 70% | 63% | 48% | 33% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 10% | 0% | 19% | 33% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| De Graafschap | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 33% |
| BTTS | 89% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| De Graafschap | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 76% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
De Graafschap (H)D
Waalwijk1–1
Waalwijk1–1W
Jong Utrecht2–1
Jong Utrecht2–1W
Den Bosch1–0
Den Bosch1–0L
NAC Breda1–2
NAC Breda1–2L
Almere City FC1–4
Almere City FC1–4L
Jong AZ2–5
Jong AZ2–5MVV (A)DDen Bosch2–2
Den Bosch2–2LNAC Breda0–1
NAC Breda0–1L
FC OSS1–4
FC OSS1–4LWaalwijk1–6
Waalwijk1–6WJong AZ2–1
Jong AZ2–1L
KRC Genk II0–6
KRC Genk II0–6Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.5
120 games
9.0
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | De Graafschap | MVV | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 58% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 25% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 17% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | De Graafschap | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 83% | 58% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
10
De Graafschap
56%
4
Draws
22%
4
MVV
22%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
67%
Over 2.5
12/18
39%
Over 3.5
7/18
56%
BTTS
10/18
27/02/26De Graafschap
MVV
3–3De Graafschap22/08/25MVV
De Graafschap
0–1MVV22/03/25MVV
De Graafschap
0–0MVV08/11/24De Graafschap
MVV
0–0De Graafschap26/04/24MVV
De Graafschap
3–0MVV24/09/23De Graafschap
MVV
1–2De Graafschap05/05/23MVV
De Graafschap
2–1MVV06/01/23De Graafschap
MVV
2–2De Graafschap18/03/22MVV
De Graafschap
1–3MVV13/08/21De Graafschap
MVV
1–3De Graafschap13/02/21MVV
De Graafschap
1–0MVV04/12/20De Graafschap
MVV
2–3De Graafschap24/01/20MVV
De Graafschap
3–2MVV16/08/19De Graafschap
MVV
0–3De Graafschap26/01/18De Graafschap
MVV
1–3De Graafschap08/09/17MVV
De Graafschap
1–2MVV17/04/17MVV
De Graafschap
2–0MVV09/12/16De Graafschap
MVV
2–0De Graafschap| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Emmen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 22 |
| 5 |  Roda | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Jong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | MVV | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | FC OSS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  FC Eindhoven | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 19 |  Helmond Sport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
De Graafschap- ●De Graafschap have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●De Graafschap have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●De Graafschap have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●De Graafschap failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●De Graafschap failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●De Graafschap have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●De Graafschap failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●De Graafschap have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●De Graafschap have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
MVV- ●MVV have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●MVV have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
De GraafschapDHWaalwijk1–1
Waalwijk1–1LAJong Ajax1–2
Jong Ajax1–2WHJong Utrecht2–1
Jong Utrecht2–1DAFC Eindhoven2–2
FC Eindhoven2–2WHDen Bosch1–0
Den Bosch1–0LHNAC Breda1–2
NAC Breda1–2–AFC Volendam30/10
FC Volendam30/10–AVitesse08/11
Vitesse08/11–HFC OSS14/11
FC OSS14/11MVVDADen Bosch2–2
Den Bosch2–2LHHeracles1–5
Heracles1–5LANAC Breda0–1
NAC Breda0–1LAFC OSS1–4
FC OSS1–4WHHelmond Sport2–0
Helmond Sport2–0LAWaalwijk1–6
Waalwijk1–6–HVVV Venlo31/10
VVV Venlo31/10–AEmmen08/11
Emmen08/11–HVitesse15/11
Vitesse15/11Top Scorers
De GraafschapF. de Jong5 ⚽
Julian kania3 ⚽
D. Warmerdam2 ⚽
D. Eijken2 ⚽
Bjorn van Zijl2 ⚽
Donny Warmerdam2 ⚽
MVV8 ⚽
Olivier·Dumont3 ⚽
O. Dumont2 ⚽
Finn Dicke1 ⚽
N. El Hamdaoui1 ⚽
J. Pawirodihardjo1 ⚽
Cards Given
De Graafschap4 🟨
Thomas Kok3 🟨
gijs bolk2 🟨
Nolan Martens2 🟨
D. Warmerdam2 🟨
Rowan Besselink2 🟨
MVVRobert Klaasen2 🟨
Hugo Wentges1 🟨
L. Daneels1 🟨
Lars Schenk1 🟨
Lennerd Daneels1 🟨
Elias Sierra1 🟨