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MVV vs Vitesse — Eerste Divisie

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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
MVV
MVV
7º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 19h
vs
–
–
Vitesse
Vitesse
10º · 1.40 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 19h
De Geusselt·Maastricht·Netherlands·10,000
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MVV and Vitesse meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 15 November 2026. MVV have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Vitesse have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for MVV and 1.46 for Vitesse. The models give MVV a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Vitesse win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

MVV
—
Vitesse
7º
Position
10º
1.60
PPG
1.40
50%
Win %
40%
1.30
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
62%
BTTS %
50%
19%
Clean sheet %
19%
62%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.1
Avg corners
5.8
9.8
Avg shots
14.8
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
11.2
Avg fouls
13.1
53.7%
Avg possession
46.8%

Home vs Away

MVV
Home (5)
—
Vitesse
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.20
60%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.40
1.20
Conceded / game
1.40
56%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
44%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.1
Avg corners
5.8
9.8
Avg shots
14.8
3.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
53.7%
Avg possession
46.8%

Goals Scored

MVVHomeAwayVitesseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%78%67%63%70%50%
Over 1.5 Scored38%33%42%31%30%33%
Over 2.5 Scored14%11%17%19%10%33%
Failed To Score29%22%33%38%30%50%

Goals Conceded

MVVHomeAwayVitesseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%67%92%81%80%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded48%33%58%38%40%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%33%25%6%10%0%
Clean Sheets19%33%8%19%20%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MVVVitesse
Over 0.590%94%
Over 1.576%75%
Over 2.562%44%
Over 3.548%25%
Over 4.533%6%
BTTS62%50%
BTTS & Win19%25%
BTTS & Draw19%19%
BTTS & Over 2.552%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.510%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MVVVitesse
Win 1st Half20%25%
Draw 1st Half45%44%
Loss 1st Half35%31%
Scored 1st Half50%50%
Conceded 1st Half60%50%
Win 2nd Half35%25%
Draw 2nd Half30%50%
Loss 2nd Half35%25%
Scored 2nd Half50%38%
Conceded 2nd Half55%44%
Over 0.5 HT75%75%
Over 1.5 HT45%38%

Recent Venue Form

MVV (H)
LHeracles1–5
WHelmond Sport2–0
LAlmere City FC0–4
DRoda1–1
WFC Volendam1–0
WJong Utrecht2–1
Vitesse (A)
WFC Eindhoven1–0
LFC Volendam0–2
LHeracles0–2
LRoda0–1
WDen Bosch4–1
WJong Utrecht3–1

Number of Corners

9.0
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.5
120 games
10.3
Corners / Match
12 games
Match CornersMVVVitesseLeague Avg
Over 6100%92%93%
Over 783%83%83%
Over 858%75%75%
Over 925%58%57%
Over 1017%33%43%
Over 1117%25%32%
Over 120%17%23%
Over 130%17%17%

Team Corners

Team CornersMVVVitesse
Corners Earned / Match4.15.8
Corners Against / Match4.94.5
Over 2.5 Corners For92%92%
Over 3.5 Corners For50%83%
Over 4.5 Corners For42%75%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against67%33%
Over 4.5 Corners Against58%25%

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
MVV
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Vitesse
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
17/04/26
Vitesse
0–0
MVV
21/10/25
MVV
3–2
Vitesse
01/03/25
Vitesse
1–0
MVV
06/12/24
MVV
2–2
Vitesse
Eerste Divisie
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Heracles12921+2329
2VVV Venlo12813+1425
3Emmen12813+725
4Almere City FC12714+1322
5Roda12642+422
6NAC Breda12633+321
7FC Volendam12615+919
8Jong AZ12525+517
9Vitesse12525-117
10MVV12525-1117
11Waalwijk12372+416
12Jong PSV U2112444-216
13Den Bosch12435-315
14FC OSS12417-113
15Jong Ajax12336-1112
16De Graafschap12336-1112
17FC Eindhoven12327-911
18Dordrecht12327-1511
19Helmond Sport12237-69
20Jong Utrecht12219-127

Team Insights

MVV
  • ●MVV have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●MVV have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Vitesse
  • ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Vitesse have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
MVVMVV
DADen Bosch14º2–2
DADen Bosch7º2–2
DADen Bosch3º2–2
DADen Bosch3º2–2
DADen Bosch13º2–2
LHHeracles1º1–5
LHHeracles4º1–5
LHHeracles16º1–5
LHHeracles16º1–5
LHHeracles1º1–5
VitesseVitesse
LHEmmen4º0–2
LHEmmen1º0–2
LHEmmen6º0–2
LHEmmen6º0–2
LHEmmen3º0–2
WAFC Eindhoven15º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven17º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven5º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven5º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven17º1–0

Season Schedule

MVV
DADen Bosch2–2
LHHeracles1–5
LANAC Breda0–1
LAFC OSS1–4
WHHelmond Sport2–0
LAWaalwijk1–6
–HVVV Venlo31/10
–AEmmen08/11
–HVitesse15/11
Vitesse
LHEmmen0–2
WAFC Eindhoven1–0
LAFC Volendam0–2
DHNAC Breda2–2
LAHeracles0–2
WHJong PSV U213–1
–AJong Ajax02/11
–HDe Graafschap08/11
–AMVV15/11

Top Scorers

MVV
8 ⚽
Olivier·Dumont3 ⚽
O. Dumont2 ⚽
Finn Dicke1 ⚽
N. El Hamdaoui1 ⚽
J. Pawirodihardjo1 ⚽
Vitesse
Naoufal Bannis5 ⚽
N. Bannis5 ⚽
E. Probst1 ⚽
F. de Carvalho1 ⚽
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira1 ⚽
A. Sellouf1 ⚽

Cards Given

MVV
Robert Klaasen2 🟨
Hugo Wentges1 🟨
L. Daneels1 🟨
Lars Schenk1 🟨
Lennerd Daneels1 🟨
Elias Sierra1 🟨
Vitesse
Naoufal Bannis2 🟨
Pontus Dahbo2 🟨
C. Olde Keizer2 🟨
M. Steffen2 🟨
Aymen·Sellouf2 🟨
Chiel Olde Keizer1 🟨