Jong PSV U21 vs NAC Breda — Eerste Divisie
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Jong PSV U21 and NAC Breda meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Jong PSV U21 have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. NAC Breda have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.72 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Jong PSV U21 and 1.70 for NAC Breda. The models give Jong PSV U21 a 39% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an NAC Breda win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Jong PSV U21—
NAC Breda12º
Position
5º
1.30
PPG
1.70
30%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
1.70
Conceded / game
1.90
86%
BTTS %
72%
7%
Clean sheet %
11%
57%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.0
Avg corners
6.2
13.8
Avg shots
19.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
6.1
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.4
Avg fouls
11.2
55.1%
Avg possession
56.2%
Home vs Away
Jong PSV U21
Home (5)
—
NAC Breda
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
1.60
60%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
78%
14%
Clean sheet %
11%
43%
Over 2.5 %
78%
5.0
Avg corners
6.2
13.8
Avg shots
19.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
6.1
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.8
55.1%
Avg possession
56.2%
Goals Scored
| Jong PSV | Home | Away | NAC Breda | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 86% | 100% | 83% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 43% | 29% | 67% | 44% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 29% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 14% | 0% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Jong PSV | Home | Away | NAC Breda | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 86% | 100% | 89% | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 29% | 57% | 56% | 78% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 14% | 43% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 14% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jong PSV | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS | 86% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jong PSV | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Jong PSV (H)L
Dordrecht0–1
Dordrecht0–1D
Jong AZ1–1
Jong AZ1–1W
Den Bosch3–1
Den Bosch3–1D
Jong Ajax1–1
Jong Ajax1–1W
FC OSS1–0
FC OSS1–0W
FC Volendam3–2
FC Volendam3–2NAC Breda (A)W
Helmond Sport2–0
Helmond Sport2–0D
Vitesse2–2
Vitesse2–2W
De Graafschap2–1
De Graafschap2–1L
Waalwijk2–4
Waalwijk2–4D
Roda2–2
Roda2–2WFC OSS2–1
FC OSS2–1Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.5
120 games
9.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Jong PSV | NAC Breda | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 92% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 58% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 8% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 8% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 8% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Jong PSV | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 6.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 25% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
1
Jong PSV
9%
3
Draws
27%
7
NAC Breda
64%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
64%
BTTS
7/11
28/04/24Jong PSV U21
NAC Breda
2–0Jong PSV U2104/12/23NAC Breda
Jong PSV U21
0–5NAC Breda06/03/23NAC Breda
Jong PSV U21
1–2NAC Breda06/01/23Jong PSV U21
NAC Breda
2–1Jong PSV U2125/02/22Jong PSV U21
NAC Breda
3–1Jong PSV U2122/11/21NAC Breda
Jong PSV U21
0–0NAC Breda18/01/21NAC Breda
Jong PSV U21
1–1NAC Breda26/09/20Jong PSV U21
NAC Breda
2–1Jong PSV U2125/11/19NAC Breda
Jong PSV U21
1–3NAC Breda20/02/17NAC Breda
Jong PSV U21
2–0NAC Breda09/09/16Jong PSV U21
NAC Breda
1–1Jong PSV U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Emmen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Almere City FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 22 |
| 5 | Roda | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Jong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  MVV | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | FC OSS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  FC Eindhoven | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 20 |  Jong Utrecht | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
Jong PSV- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jong PSV U21 have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Jong PSV U21's goals conceded were conceded away.
NAC Breda- ●NAC Breda have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●NAC Breda have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●NAC Breda have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●NAC Breda have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●NAC Breda have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●NAC Breda have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●NAC Breda have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●NAC Breda failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●NAC Breda failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●NAC Breda have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●NAC Breda have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Jong PSVWAFC Eindhoven2–1
FC Eindhoven2–1LHDordrecht0–1
Dordrecht0–1DARoda1–1
Roda1–1LAVitesse1–3
Vitesse1–3DHJong AZ1–1
Jong AZ1–1LAHelmond Sport1–3
Helmond Sport1–3–HNAC Breda02/11
NAC Breda02/11–AVVV Venlo06/11
VVV Venlo06/11–AHeracles20/11
Heracles20/11NAC BredaDHHeracles1–1
Heracles1–1WAHelmond Sport2–0
Helmond Sport2–0WHMVV1–0
MVV1–0DAVitesse2–2
Vitesse2–2WHFC Eindhoven4–2
FC Eindhoven4–2WADe Graafschap2–1
De Graafschap2–1–AJong PSV U2102/11
Jong PSV U2102/11–ADordrecht06/11
Dordrecht06/11–HEmmen14/11
Emmen14/11Top Scorers
Jong PSVAustyn Jones5 ⚽
J. van den Berg2 ⚽
Samuel Dumbili2 ⚽
F. Kluit2 ⚽
S. Cornecion1 ⚽
S. Sidibe1 ⚽
NAC BredaCharles-Andreas Brym7 ⚽
P. Reulen4 ⚽
P. Gladon4 ⚽
Moussa Soumano2 ⚽
M. Soumano2 ⚽
Mohamed Nassoh2 ⚽
Cards Given
Jong PSVAustyn Jones2 🟨
Boet Mulders1 🟨
J. Beerens1 🟨
J. van den Berg1 🟨
M. Bahaty1 🟨
Madi Monamay1 🟨
NAC BredaJan Van den Bergh2 🟨
Rio·Hillen2 🟨
F. Jensen2 🟨
J. Van den Bergh2 🟨
Mohamed Nassoh2 🟨
Imran Nazih1 🟨