Jong Ajax vs Vitesse — Eerste Divisie
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Jong Ajax and Vitesse meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Jong Ajax have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 2.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Vitesse have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.19 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Jong Ajax and 1.72 for Vitesse. The models give Jong Ajax a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vitesse win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Jong Ajax—
Vitesse18º
Position
10º
0.80
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.30
Goals / game
1.50
2.50
Conceded / game
1.50
62%
BTTS %
50%
15%
Clean sheet %
19%
69%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.8
Avg corners
5.8
15.6
Avg shots
14.8
6.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
14.9
Avg fouls
13.1
51.3%
Avg possession
46.8%
Home vs Away
Jong Ajax
Home (5)
—
Vitesse
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
1.20
20%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.40
2.60
Conceded / game
1.40
50%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.8
Avg corners
5.8
15.6
Avg shots
14.8
6.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
51.3%
Avg possession
46.8%
Goals Scored
| Jong Ajax | Home | Away | Vitesse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 50% | 86% | 63% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 29% | 31% | 30% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 33% | 14% | 19% | 10% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 50% | 14% | 38% | 30% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Jong Ajax | Home | Away | Vitesse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jong Ajax | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 6% |
| BTTS | 62% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jong Ajax | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Jong Ajax (H)W
De Graafschap2–1
De Graafschap2–1L
VVV Venlo0–3
VVV Venlo0–3D
Roda0–0
Roda0–0L
Waalwijk0–2
Waalwijk0–2W
Helmond Sport3–2
Helmond Sport3–2L
Emmen4–6
Emmen4–6Vitesse (A)W
FC Eindhoven1–0
FC Eindhoven1–0L
FC Volendam0–2
FC Volendam0–2L
Heracles0–2
Heracles0–2LRoda0–1
Roda0–1W
Den Bosch4–1
Den Bosch4–1W
Jong Utrecht3–1
Jong Utrecht3–1Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.5
120 games
10.3
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Jong Ajax | Vitesse | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 58% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 25% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 17% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 17% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Jong Ajax | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 25% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Jong Ajax
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Vitesse
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
06/04/26Jong Ajax
Vitesse
6–1Jong Ajax01/12/25Vitesse
Jong Ajax
2–0Vitesse14/04/25Vitesse
Jong Ajax
1–1Vitesse21/09/24Jong Ajax
Vitesse
2–2Jong Ajax| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 | Emmen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Almere City FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 22 |
| 5 | Roda | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 6 |  NAC Breda | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 |  Jong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  MVV | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 |  FC OSS | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
Jong Ajax- ●Jong Ajax have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jong Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Vitesse- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vitesse have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Jong AjaxDAFC OSS3–3
FC OSS3–3WHDe Graafschap2–1
De Graafschap2–1LHVVV Venlo0–3
VVV Venlo0–3DHRoda0–0
Roda0–0LAJong Utrecht1–6
Jong Utrecht1–6LHWaalwijk0–2
Waalwijk0–2–HVitesse02/11
Vitesse02/11–AFC Eindhoven06/11
FC Eindhoven06/11–AFC Volendam20/11
FC Volendam20/11VitesseLHEmmen0–2
Emmen0–2WAFC Eindhoven1–0
FC Eindhoven1–0LAFC Volendam0–2
FC Volendam0–2DHNAC Breda2–2
NAC Breda2–2LAHeracles0–2
Heracles0–2WHJong PSV U213–1
Jong PSV U213–1–AJong Ajax02/11
Jong Ajax02/11–HDe Graafschap08/11
De Graafschap08/11–AMVV15/11
MVV15/11Top Scorers
Jong AjaxE. Unuvar4 ⚽
D. Pugno4 ⚽
Jano Monserrate2 ⚽
P. Nash2 ⚽
emre unuvar2 ⚽
Emre Ünüvar1 ⚽
VitesseNaoufal Bannis5 ⚽
N. Bannis5 ⚽
E. Probst1 ⚽
F. de Carvalho1 ⚽
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira1 ⚽
A. Sellouf1 ⚽
Cards Given
Jong AjaxRyan van de Pavert3 🟨
Marvyn Muzungu3 🟨
Levi Acheampong2 🟨
J. Monserrate2 🟨
Diego Pugno2 🟨
D. Pugno2 🟨
VitesseNaoufal Bannis2 🟨
Pontus Dahbo2 🟨
C. Olde Keizer2 🟨
M. Steffen2 🟨
Aymen·Sellouf2 🟨
Chiel Olde Keizer1 🟨