Shkendija vs Aresimi — First League
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Shkendija and Aresimi meet in the First League 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Shkendija have recorded 14 wins from 28 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Aresimi have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.39 for Shkendija and 0.98 for Aresimi. The models give Shkendija a 68% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Aresimi win at 12%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Shkendija | Home | Away | Aresimi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 73% | 88% | 70% | 86% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 55% | 53% | 25% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 45% | 24% | 15% | 14% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 27% | 12% | 30% | 14% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Shkendija | Home | Away | Aresimi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 55% | 76% | 70% | 43% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 18% | 35% | 55% | 14% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 18% | 0% | 35% | 0% | 54% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 45% | 24% | 30% | 57% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shkendija | Aresimi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 35% |
| BTTS | 57% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shkendija | Aresimi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shkendija | Aresimi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +13 | 17 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 | |
| 8 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -13 | 10 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 7 | |
| 10 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Shkendija have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Shkendija have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Shkendija have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Shkendija failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Shkendija have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Shkendija have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aresimi have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Aresimi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aresimi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aresimi have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aresimi failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aresimi have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Aresimi's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Aresimi's goals conceded were conceded away.

