Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad — 1. Division
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Blue Water Arena·Esbjerg·Denmark·18,000
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Esbjerg and Aarhus Fremad meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 20 February 2027. Esbjerg have recorded 7 wins from 27 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.74 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Aarhus Fremad have won 32% of their 28 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Esbjerg and 1.18 for Aarhus Fremad. The models give Esbjerg a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Aarhus Fremad win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Esbjerg—
Aarhus Fremad12º
Position
5º
0.85
PPG
1.38
15%
Win %
31%
1.23
Goals / game
0.92
1.85
Conceded / game
0.85
59%
BTTS %
43%
15%
Clean sheet %
43%
59%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Esbjerg
Home (7)
—
Aarhus Fremad
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.17
14%
Win %
17%
1.43
Goals / game
0.50
1.71
Conceded / game
0.67
63%
BTTS %
33%
6%
Clean sheet %
47%
44%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Esbjerg | Home | Away | Aarhus Fremad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 69% | 73% | 64% | 77% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 38% | 55% | 39% | 46% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 19% | 45% | 18% | 15% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 31% | 27% | 36% | 23% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Esbjerg | Home | Away | Aarhus Fremad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 94% | 73% | 57% | 62% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 50% | 45% | 36% | 46% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 19% | 18% | 18% | 23% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 6% | 27% | 43% | 38% | 47% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Esbjerg | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 11% |
| BTTS | 59% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Esbjerg | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Esbjerg (H)D
Hvidovre1–1
Hvidovre1–1L
FC Nordsjaelland0–1
FC Nordsjaelland0–1W
FC Fredericia2–1
FC Fredericia2–1D
Aalborg3–3
Aalborg3–3D
HB Koge2–2
HB Koge2–2L
Vendsyssel FF0–2
Vendsyssel FF0–2Aarhus Fremad (A)D
Vejle0–0
Vejle0–0L
AB Copenhagen0–2
AB Copenhagen0–2D
Hørsholm-Usserød1–1
Hørsholm-Usserød1–1DVendsyssel FF0–0
Vendsyssel FF0–0W
SGI1–0
SGI1–0DFC Fredericia0–0
FC Fredericia0–0Head to Head · 14 matches
7
Esbjerg
50%
3
Draws
21%
4
Aarhus Fremad
29%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
43%
Over 2.5
6/14
29%
Over 3.5
4/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
16/10/26Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
0–0Esbjerg04/07/26Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
2–0Aarhus Fremad25/10/25Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
0–1Esbjerg28/09/25Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
1–1Aarhus Fremad18/05/24Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
2–0Esbjerg26/04/24Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
0–1Aarhus Fremad24/03/24Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
2–2Aarhus Fremad14/10/23Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
2–4Esbjerg21/05/23Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
3–1Aarhus Fremad14/05/23Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
1–3Esbjerg05/03/23Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
0–2Aarhus Fremad26/08/22Esbjerg
Aarhus Fremad
0–1Esbjerg17/07/21Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
1–2Aarhus Fremad10/08/20Aarhus Fremad
Esbjerg
2–1Aarhus Fremad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 | Vejle | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 6 |  Hobro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 16 |
| 7 |  Kolding IF | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Hillerød | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 | Vendsyssel FF | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | HB Koge | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
Team Insights
Esbjerg- ●Esbjerg have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Esbjerg have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Esbjerg failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Esbjerg have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Esbjerg failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Esbjerg have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Esbjerg failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Esbjerg have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Esbjerg's goals have been scored at home.
Aarhus Fremad- ●Aarhus Fremad have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Aarhus Fremad's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
EsbjergDHHvidovre1–1
Hvidovre1–1WHFC Fredericia2–1
FC Fredericia2–1DAAarhus Fremad0–0
Aarhus Fremad0–0DHAalborg3–3
Aalborg3–3LAAB Copenhagen0–3
AB Copenhagen0–3DHHB Koge2–2
HB Koge2–2–AHobro07/11
Hobro07/11–HAB Copenhagen21/11
AB Copenhagen21/11–AAalborg26/11
Aalborg26/11Aarhus FremadWHHillerød2–0
Hillerød2–0DAVejle0–0
Vejle0–0DHEsbjerg0–0
Esbjerg0–0LAAB Copenhagen0–2
AB Copenhagen0–2LHHvidovre1–3
Hvidovre1–3DAVendsyssel FF0–0
Vendsyssel FF0–0–AHvidovre09/11
Hvidovre09/11–HHobro20/11
Hobro20/11–AHB Koge28/11
HB Koge28/11Top Scorers
EsbjergM. Brajanac7 ⚽
J. Ampofo5 ⚽
M. Hansen4 ⚽
J. Kolawole3 ⚽
J. Lucena3 ⚽
L. From3 ⚽
Aarhus FremadM. Kaastrup8 ⚽
Y. Abdullahi3 ⚽
M. de Claville3 ⚽
A. Ludwig2 ⚽
A. Pisani2 ⚽
C. Nygaard2 ⚽
Cards Given
Esbjerg3 🟨
S. Strand3 🟨
J. Ampofo3 🟨
M. Maden2 🟨
M. Brajanac2 🟨
G. Madsen1 🟨
Aarhus FremadM. Kirchheiner7 🟨
A. Pisani4 🟨
A. Ludwig3 🟨
S. Baekgard2 🟨
F. Grube2 🟨
M. Damgaard2 🟨