HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad — 1. Division
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Capelli Sport Stadion·Køge·Denmark·10,000
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HB Koge and Aarhus Fremad meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 28 November 2026. HB Koge have recorded 5 wins from 23 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Aarhus Fremad have won 31% of their 26 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for HB Koge and 1.25 for Aarhus Fremad. The models give HB Koge a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Aarhus Fremad win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
HB Koge—
Aarhus Fremad10º
Position
5º
0.92
PPG
1.25
17%
Win %
25%
1.42
Goals / game
0.83
1.83
Conceded / game
0.92
52%
BTTS %
46%
22%
Clean sheet %
42%
52%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
HB Koge
Home (6)
—
Aarhus Fremad
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.17
17%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
0.50
2.00
Conceded / game
0.67
60%
BTTS %
33%
20%
Clean sheet %
47%
60%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| HB Koge | Home | Away | Aarhus Fremad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 80% | 54% | 65% | 82% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 60% | 38% | 38% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 30% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 20% | 46% | 35% | 18% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| HB Koge | Home | Away | Aarhus Fremad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 77% | 58% | 64% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 70% | 54% | 35% | 45% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 18% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 23% | 42% | 36% | 47% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HB Koge | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 12% |
| BTTS | 52% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HB Koge | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
HB Koge (H)L
AB Copenhagen2–3
AB Copenhagen2–3W
Hobro5–2
Hobro5–2D
Hillerød1–1
Hillerød1–1D
Kolding IF2–2
Kolding IF2–2L
Hvidovre0–2
Hvidovre0–2L
Vejle0–2
Vejle0–2Aarhus Fremad (A)DVejle0–0
Vejle0–0LAB Copenhagen0–2
AB Copenhagen0–2D
Hørsholm-Usserød1–1
Hørsholm-Usserød1–1D
Vendsyssel FF0–0
Vendsyssel FF0–0W
SGI1–0
SGI1–0D
FC Fredericia0–0
FC Fredericia0–0Head to Head · 5 matches
2
HB Koge
40%
2
Draws
40%
1
Aarhus Fremad
20%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
08/08/26HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
3–1HB Koge09/05/26HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
0–0HB Koge06/04/26Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
2–0Aarhus Fremad23/11/25HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2–2HB Koge25/07/25Aarhus Fremad
HB Koge
2–1Aarhus Fremad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 | Vejle | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Hobro | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 7 |  Aalborg | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | HB Koge | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Vendsyssel FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Esbjerg | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
Team Insights
HB Koge- ●HB Koge have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●HB Koge have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●HB Koge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●HB Koge have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●HB Koge have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●HB Koge have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●HB Koge failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
Aarhus Fremad- ●Aarhus Fremad have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Aarhus Fremad have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Aarhus Fremad's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
HB KogeDAHvidovre2–2
Hvidovre2–2LHAB Copenhagen2–3
AB Copenhagen2–3WAVendsyssel FF2–0
Vendsyssel FF2–0WHHobro5–2
Hobro5–2DAEsbjerg2–2
Esbjerg2–2DHHillerød1–1
Hillerød1–1–AKolding IF31/10
Kolding IF31/10–HAalborg06/11
Aalborg06/11–AVejle21/11
Vejle21/11Aarhus FremadDAVejle0–0
Vejle0–0DHEsbjerg0–0
Esbjerg0–0LAAB Copenhagen0–2
AB Copenhagen0–2LHHvidovre1–3
Hvidovre1–3DAVendsyssel FF0–0
Vendsyssel FF0–0WHKolding IF2–1
Kolding IF2–1–HHillerød01/11
Hillerød01/11–AHvidovre09/11
Hvidovre09/11–HHobro20/11
Hobro20/11Top Scorers
HB KogeT. Thomsen4 ⚽
M. Warming3 ⚽
3 ⚽
F. Isaki3 ⚽
Mudi2 ⚽
E. Semovski2 ⚽
Aarhus FremadM. Kaastrup8 ⚽
Y. Abdullahi3 ⚽
M. de Claville3 ⚽
A. Ludwig2 ⚽
A. Pisani2 ⚽
C. Nygaard2 ⚽
Cards Given
HB KogeT. Thomsen3 🟨
G. Larsen2 🟨
M. Romer2 🟨
L. Bust1 🟨
M. Jakobsen1 🟨
C. Jensen Tue1 🟨
Aarhus FremadM. Kirchheiner5 🟨
A. Pisani3 🟨
S. Baekgard2 🟨
M. de Claville2 🟨
S. Andreasen2 🟨
A. Ludwig2 🟨