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Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna — First League

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Bulgaria · First League · Regular Season - 17
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
3º · 2.42 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 4h
vs
–
–
Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
9º · 0.92 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 1h
Huvepharma Arena·Razgrad·Bulgaria·10,422
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Ludogorets and Cherno More Varna meet in the First League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Ludogorets have recorded 17 wins from 24 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Cherno More Varna have won 41% of their 29 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 34%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.17 for Ludogorets and 1.20 for Cherno More Varna. The models give Ludogorets a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Cherno More Varna win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Ludogorets
—
Cherno More Varna
3º
Position
9º
2.42
PPG
0.92
75%
Win %
23%
2.00
Goals / game
1.08
0.75
Conceded / game
1.69
50%
BTTS %
34%
42%
Clean sheet %
38%
63%
Over 2.5 %
41%
6.4
Avg corners
3.8
14.6
Avg shots
9.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
3.1
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
59.4%
Avg possession
47.3%

Home vs Away

Ludogorets
Home (6)
—
Cherno More Varna
Away (6)
2.67
PPG
0.33
83%
Win %
0%
2.17
Goals / game
0.67
0.50
Conceded / game
1.83
50%
BTTS %
42%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
64%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.4
Avg corners
3.8
14.6
Avg shots
9.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
3.1
59.4%
Avg possession
47.3%

Goals Scored

LudogoretsHomeAwayCherno MoreHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored92%100%80%69%65%75%
Over 1.5 Scored71%71%70%31%35%25%
Over 2.5 Scored38%36%40%14%12%17%
Failed To Score8%0%20%31%35%25%

Goals Conceded

LudogoretsHomeAwayCherno MoreHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded58%50%70%62%59%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%29%50%28%29%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded4%7%0%17%12%25%
Clean Sheets42%50%30%38%41%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LudogoretsCherno More
Over 0.5100%97%
Over 1.588%59%
Over 2.563%41%
Over 3.538%28%
Over 4.525%14%
BTTS50%34%
BTTS & Win29%7%
BTTS & Draw21%17%
BTTS & Over 2.542%24%
BTTS No & Over 2.521%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LudogoretsCherno More
Win 1st Half50%31%
Draw 1st Half25%28%
Loss 1st Half25%41%
Scored 1st Half63%38%
Conceded 1st Half46%45%
Win 2nd Half54%34%
Draw 2nd Half29%41%
Loss 2nd Half17%24%
Scored 2nd Half71%45%
Conceded 2nd Half42%34%
Over 0.5 HT83%76%
Over 1.5 HT50%28%

Recent Venue Form

Ludogorets (H)
WArda Kardzhali5–0
WCherno More Varna5–0
WCSM Ramnicu Valcea3–0
WSeptemvri Sofia2–1
DSlavia Sofia1–1
WBotev Plovdiv2–0
Cherno More (A)
WMarek3–0
LLudogorets0–5
DArda Kardzhali1–1
LLokomotiv Plovdiv0–1
LCSKA Sofia1–3
LCSKA 19481–4

Number of Corners

9.6
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
9.2
43 games
7.8
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersLudogoretsCherno MoreLeague Avg
Over 6100%50%79%
Over 7100%33%72%
Over 880%17%56%
Over 940%17%42%
Over 1020%17%35%
Over 1120%17%26%
Over 120%17%14%
Over 130%17%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersLudogoretsCherno More
Corners Earned / Match6.43.8
Corners Against / Match3.24.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%67%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%33%
Over 4.5 Corners For100%17%
Over 2.5 Corners Against40%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against40%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against40%33%

Head to Head · 28 matches

16
Ludogorets
57%
5
Draws
18%
7
Cherno More
25%
68%
Over 1.5
19/28
50%
Over 2.5
14/28
32%
Over 3.5
9/28
50%
BTTS
14/28
04/10/26
Ludogorets
5–0
Cherno More Varna
09/08/26
Cherno More Varna
2–3
Ludogorets
09/04/26
Ludogorets
0–0
Cherno More Varna
02/11/25
Cherno More Varna
0–0
Ludogorets
13/05/25
Cherno More Varna
2–0
Ludogorets
27/04/25
Ludogorets
2–0
Cherno More Varna
22/02/25
Cherno More Varna
1–1
Ludogorets
01/09/24
Ludogorets
0–0
Cherno More Varna
19/05/24
Cherno More Varna
4–0
Ludogorets
19/02/24
Ludogorets
3–1
Cherno More Varna
20/08/23
Cherno More Varna
1–0
Ludogorets
07/06/23
Cherno More Varna
0–1
Ludogorets
11/05/23
Ludogorets
1–2
Cherno More Varna
25/04/23
Cherno More Varna
1–2
Ludogorets
12/03/23
Ludogorets
3–2
Cherno More Varna
29/08/22
Cherno More Varna
2–3
Ludogorets
14/05/22
Ludogorets
1–0
Cherno More Varna
20/02/22
Cherno More Varna
1–2
Ludogorets
11/09/21
Ludogorets
2–0
Cherno More Varna
13/12/20
Ludogorets
1–0
Cherno More Varna
First League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Levski Sofia121020+2032
2CSKA Sofia13940+2031
3Ludogorets12921+1529
4CSKA 194813913+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13715+222
6Arda Kardzhali13634-121
7Slavia Sofia13274013
8Spartak Varna13346-1113
9Cherno More Varna13337-812
10Dunav Ruse13328-711
11Botev Vratsa13247-1210
12Lokomotiv Sofia13166-109
13Lokomotiv Plovdiv13238-119
14Septemvri Sofia13229-148

Team Insights

Ludogorets
  • ●Ludogorets have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Ludogorets have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Ludogorets have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ludogorets have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ludogorets have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Ludogorets have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Ludogorets's goals conceded were conceded away.
Cherno More
  • ●Cherno More Varna have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Cherno More Varna have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Cherno More Varna's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●83% of Cherno More Varna's points have been earned at home.
LudogoretsLudogorets
WALokomotiv Plovdiv13º3–0
WALokomotiv Plovdiv14º3–0
LACSKA Sofia2º0–2
LACSKA Sofia3º0–2
WABeroe3–0
WHArda Kardzhali6º5–0
WHArda Kardzhali5º5–0
WHCherno More Varna5–0
WHCSM Ramnicu Valcea3–0
WHSeptemvri Sofia14º2–1
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
WHBotev Vratsa11º1–0
WHBotev Vratsa12º1–0
WHSeptemvri Sofia14º2–0
WHSeptemvri Sofia7º2–0
LHLokomotiv Plovdiv0–1
WAMarek3–0
LHLevski Sofia1º0–2
LHLevski Sofia1º0–2
LALudogorets0–5
WHDunav Ruse1–0

Season Schedule

Ludogorets
WALokomotiv Plovdiv3–0
LACSKA Sofia0–2
WHArda Kardzhali5–0
WHSeptemvri Sofia2–1
WALokomotiv Sofia2–1
DASpartak Varna1–1
–HCSKA 194807/11
–HDunav Ruse23/11
–ABotev Vratsa28/11
Cherno More
WHBotev Vratsa1–0
WHSeptemvri Sofia2–0
LHLevski Sofia0–2
DAArda Kardzhali1–1
DHLokomotiv Sofia2–2
LALokomotiv Plovdiv0–1
–ASlavia Sofia07/11
–ASpartak Varna21/11
–HBotev Plovdiv28/11

Top Scorers

Ludogorets
Rwan Cruz7 ⚽
B. Tekpetey7 ⚽
Erick Marcus6 ⚽
A. Salido Tajero5 ⚽
I. Chochev4 ⚽
Bernard Tekpetey3 ⚽
Cherno More
G. Lazarov4 ⚽
D. Teles2 ⚽
D. Zaimov2 ⚽
J. Padilla2 ⚽
P. Andreev2 ⚽
celso sidney2 ⚽

Cards Given

Ludogorets
E. Rodriguez3 🟨
Rwan Cruz3 🟨
Caio Vidal Rocha2 🟨
E. Kurtulus2 🟨
A. Nedyalkov2 🟨
Hossam Abdelmaguid2 🟨
Cherno More
L. Squadrone4 🟨
Ertan Tombak4 🟨
D. Teles3 🟨
Zhivko Atanasov3 🟨
Asen Donchev2 🟨
Christian Tomov2 🟨