Bulgaria · First League · Regular Season - 14

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

12º · 0.73 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 17d 0h

–

Ludogorets

3º · 2.60 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h

Stadion Lokomotiv·Plovdiv·Bulgaria·13,800

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 10%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Ludogorets have won 73% of their 22 matches, with 2.41 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 41%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.63 for Ludogorets. The models give Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 27% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ludogorets win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

—

Ludogorets

12º

Position

3º

0.73

PPG

2.60

18%

Win %

80%

0.55

Goals / game

2.10

1.27

Conceded / game

0.70

25%

BTTS %

55%

45%

Clean sheet %

41%

10%

Over 2.5 %

64%

3.3

Avg corners

6.3

8.0

Avg shots

15.0

3.0

Avg shots on target

6.7

2.7

Avg yellow cards

2.0

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

42.3%

Avg possession

60.3%

Home vs Away

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Home (5)

—

Ludogorets

Away (4)

1.40

PPG

2.50

40%

Win %

75%

1.00

Goals / game

2.00

1.00

Conceded / game

1.00

40%

BTTS %

63%

50%

Clean sheet %

25%

20%

Over 2.5 %

63%

3.3

Avg corners

6.3

8.0

Avg shots

15.0

3.0

Avg shots on target

6.7

2.7

Avg yellow cards

2.0

42.3%

Avg possession

60.3%

Goals Scored

	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Home	Away	Ludogorets	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	65%	80%	50%	95%	100%	88%
Over 1.5 Scored	25%	30%	20%	73%	71%	75%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	36%	36%	38%
Failed To Score	35%	20%	50%	5%	0%	13%

Goals Conceded

	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Home	Away	Ludogorets	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	55%	50%	60%	59%	50%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	20%	10%	30%	36%	29%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	5%	7%	0%
Clean Sheets	45%	50%	40%	41%	50%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Ludogorets
Over 0.5	95%	100%
Over 1.5	60%	86%
Over 2.5	10%	64%
Over 3.5	0%	41%
Over 4.5	0%	27%
BTTS	25%	55%
BTTS & Win	5%	32%
BTTS & Draw	15%	23%
BTTS & Over 2.5	10%	45%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Ludogorets
Win 1st Half	35%	50%
Draw 1st Half	35%	27%
Loss 1st Half	30%	23%
Scored 1st Half	50%	64%
Conceded 1st Half	45%	45%
Win 2nd Half	35%	55%
Draw 2nd Half	45%	32%
Loss 2nd Half	20%	14%
Scored 2nd Half	35%	73%
Conceded 2nd Half	20%	41%
Over 0.5 HT	80%	82%
Over 1.5 HT	20%	55%

Recent Venue Form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv (H)

Arda Kardzhali2–0

CSKA Sofia1–1

Cherno More Varna1–0

Arda Kardzhali0–1

Dunav Ruse1–2

Septemvri Sofia2–1

Ludogorets (A)

Beroe3–0

Lokomotiv Sofia2–1

Spartak Varna1–1

Cherno More Varna3–2

Dunav Ruse2–0

Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2

Number of Corners

10.0

Corners / Match

4 games

League Avg

9.4

32 games

9.3

Corners / Match

3 games

Match Corners	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Ludogorets	League Avg
Over 6	75%	100%	78%
Over 7	75%	100%	72%
Over 8	75%	100%	63%
Over 9	50%	33%	47%
Over 10	50%	0%	38%
Over 11	50%	0%	28%
Over 12	25%	0%	16%
Over 13	0%	0%	13%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Ludogorets
Corners Earned / Match	3.3	6.3
Corners Against / Match	6.8	3.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	50%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	25%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners For	25%	100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	75%	33%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	50%	33%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	33%

Head to Head · 26 matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

19%

Draws

19%

Ludogorets

62%

65%

Over 1.5

17/26

46%

Over 2.5

12/26

23%

Over 3.5

6/26

50%

BTTS

13/26

18/07/26

Ludogorets

1–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

29/05/26

Ludogorets

0–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

02/03/26

Ludogorets

1–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

14/09/25

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1–1

Ludogorets

30/03/25

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1–0

Ludogorets

06/10/24

Ludogorets

1–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

22/05/24

Ludogorets

3–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

30/03/24

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1–2

Ludogorets

06/12/23

Ludogorets

4–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

27/09/23

Ludogorets

1–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

26/06/23

Ludogorets

3–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

15/05/23

Ludogorets

1–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

08/11/22

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2–3

Ludogorets

15/07/22

Ludogorets

2–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

07/11/21

Ludogorets

1–0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

25/07/21

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1–3

Ludogorets

08/05/21

Ludogorets

1–2

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

16/03/21

Ludogorets

2–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

20/02/21

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

3–2

Ludogorets

12/09/20

Ludogorets

3–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

First League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	CSKA Sofia	11	8	3	0	+18	27
3	Ludogorets	10	8	2	0	+14	26
4	CSKA 1948	12	8	1	3	+12	25
5	Botev Plovdiv	12	6	1	5	-1	19
6	Arda Kardzhali	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Spartak Varna	12	3	4	5	-6	13
8	Slavia Sofia	11	2	5	4	0	11
9	Dunav Ruse	12	3	2	7	-6	11
10	Botev Vratsa	12	2	4	6	-11	10
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	12	1	6	5	-7	9
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	11	2	2	7	-8	8
13	Septemvri Sofia	11	2	2	7	-11	8
14	Cherno More Varna	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Team Insights

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
●87% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's points have been earned at home.
●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.