Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia — First League
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Arena Arda·Kardzhali·Bulgaria·15,000
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Arda Kardzhali and Septemvri Sofia meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Arda Kardzhali have recorded 10 wins from 23 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Septemvri Sofia have won 27% of their 22 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Arda Kardzhali and 1.00 for Septemvri Sofia. The models give Arda Kardzhali a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Septemvri Sofia win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Arda Kardzhali—
Septemvri Sofia6º
Position
13º
1.55
PPG
0.73
45%
Win %
18%
1.36
Goals / game
0.91
1.55
Conceded / game
1.91
48%
BTTS %
50%
35%
Clean sheet %
23%
43%
Over 2.5 %
64%
3.5
Avg corners
5.8
10.3
Avg shots
10.3
5.3
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.7
Avg yellow cards
3.1
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
45.8%
Avg possession
56.3%
Home vs Away
Arda Kardzhali
Home (5)
—
Septemvri Sofia
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.80
60%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
0.80
1.00
Conceded / game
1.60
44%
BTTS %
50%
56%
Clean sheet %
25%
44%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.5
Avg corners
5.8
10.3
Avg shots
10.3
5.3
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.7
Avg yellow cards
3.1
45.8%
Avg possession
56.3%
Goals Scored
| Arda Kardzhali | Home | Away | Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 89% | 71% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 56% | 29% | 27% | 43% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 22% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 11% | 29% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arda Kardzhali | Home | Away | Septemvri Sofia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 44% | 79% | 77% | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 11% | 50% | 59% | 64% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 11% | 14% | 36% | 50% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 56% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Arda Kardzhali (H)D
Cherno More Varna1–1
Cherno More Varna1–1L
Botev Plovdiv2–3
Botev Plovdiv2–3W
Botev Vratsa2–0
Botev Vratsa2–0W
Lokomotiv Sofia3–1
Lokomotiv Sofia3–1W
Slavia Sofia1–0
Slavia Sofia1–0D
Beitar Jerusalem0–0
Beitar Jerusalem0–0Septemvri Sofia (A)L
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–2
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1–2L
Ludogorets1–2
Ludogorets1–2DSlavia Sofia1–1
Slavia Sofia1–1W
Spartak Varna1–0
Spartak Varna1–0L
Levski Sofia0–3
Levski Sofia0–3L
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2Number of Corners
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.4
32 games
9.5
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 75% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 0% | 75% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 25% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 25% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
6
Arda Kardzhali
67%
1
Draws
11%
2
Septemvri Sofia
22%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
18/07/26Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1–1Arda Kardzhali21/03/26Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
1–4Arda Kardzhali20/10/25Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0–1Septemvri Sofia08/07/25Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1–2Septemvri Sofia07/04/25Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
0–4Arda Kardzhali25/10/24Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
2–1Septemvri Sofia12/02/23Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
0–1Arda Kardzhali01/08/22Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
3–2Septemvri Sofia22/06/22Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
2–0Septemvri Sofia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Arda Kardzhali- ●Arda Kardzhali have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Arda Kardzhali have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arda Kardzhali have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arda Kardzhali have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Arda Kardzhali's goals conceded were conceded away.
Septemvri Sofia- ●Septemvri Sofia have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Sofia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Arda KardzhaliLALudogorets0–5
Ludogorets0–5DHCherno More Varna1–1
Cherno More Varna1–1LACSKA Sofia1–4
CSKA Sofia1–4LHBotev Plovdiv2–3
Botev Plovdiv2–3WHBotev Vratsa2–0
Botev Vratsa2–0WALokomotiv Plovdiv1–0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0–HLevski Sofia27/10
Levski Sofia27/10–ASpartak Varna31/10
Spartak Varna31/10–HSeptemvri Sofia07/11
Septemvri Sofia07/11Septemvri SofiaLHDunav Ruse2–3
Dunav Ruse2–3LHBotev Plovdiv0–3
Botev Plovdiv0–3LALudogorets1–2
Ludogorets1–2LHBotev Vratsa2–3
Botev Vratsa2–3DASlavia Sofia1–1
Slavia Sofia1–1WHCSKA 19481–0
CSKA 19481–0–ACherno More Varna27/10
Cherno More Varna27/10–HLokomotiv Sofia31/10
Lokomotiv Sofia31/10–AArda Kardzhali07/11
Arda Kardzhali07/11Top Scorers
Arda KardzhaliB. Karagaren5 ⚽
Antonio Vutov3 ⚽
S. Ivanov3 ⚽
S. Kovachev2 ⚽
A. Kabov2 ⚽
Birsent Karagaren1 ⚽
Septemvri SofiaV. Dobrev3 ⚽
Frantzety Herard2 ⚽
Andre Liberal1 ⚽
F. Herard1 ⚽
Galin Ivanov1 ⚽
N. Fontaine1 ⚽
Cards Given
Arda KardzhaliVyacheslav Velev4 🟨
3 🟨
B. Karagaren2 🟨
Antonio Vutov1 🟨
D. Idowu1 🟨
Atanas Kabov1 🟨
Septemvri SofiaS. Wade5 🟨
Y. Baurenski3 🟨
K. Onasci3 🟨
M. Hristov2 🟨
G. Ivanov2 🟨
E. Ribeiro2 🟨