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CF Pachuca vs Toluca — Liga MX

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Mexico · Liga MX · Apertura - 17
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 30d 19h
vs
–
–
Toluca
Toluca
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
Estadio Hidalgo·Pachuca de Soto·Mexico·30,000
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CF Pachuca and Toluca meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 21 November 2026. CF Pachuca have recorded 5 wins from 17 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Toluca have won 48% of their 31 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for CF Pachuca and 1.63 for Toluca. The models give CF Pachuca a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Toluca win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

CF Pachuca
—
Toluca
13º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
65%
BTTS %
58%
24%
Clean sheet %
35%
65%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.0
Avg corners
6.2
15.6
Avg shots
19.2
4.9
Avg shots on target
6.7
3.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
14.9
Avg fouls
12.6
47.7%
Avg possession
59.7%

Home vs Away

CF Pachuca
Home (1)
—
Toluca
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
2.00
Conceded / game
0.00
100%
BTTS %
62%
0%
Clean sheet %
31%
86%
Over 2.5 %
62%
5.0
Avg corners
6.2
15.6
Avg shots
19.2
4.9
Avg shots on target
6.7
3.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
47.7%
Avg possession
59.7%

Goals Scored

CF PachucaHomeAwayTolucaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored88%100%80%90%94%85%
Over 1.5 Scored41%57%30%65%72%54%
Over 2.5 Scored24%29%20%35%44%23%
Failed To Score12%0%20%10%6%15%

Goals Conceded

CF PachucaHomeAwayTolucaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded76%100%60%65%61%69%
Over 1.5 Conceded47%71%30%39%33%46%
Over 2.5 Conceded18%29%10%19%11%31%
Clean Sheets24%0%40%35%39%31%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CF PachucaToluca
Over 0.5100%97%
Over 1.582%87%
Over 2.565%65%
Over 3.529%45%
Over 4.512%23%
BTTS65%58%
BTTS & Win6%16%
BTTS & Draw24%19%
BTTS & Over 2.553%48%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%16%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CF PachucaToluca
Win 1st Half19%43%
Draw 1st Half25%43%
Loss 1st Half56%13%
Scored 1st Half44%57%
Conceded 1st Half63%33%
Win 2nd Half50%50%
Draw 2nd Half31%27%
Loss 2nd Half19%23%
Scored 2nd Half63%77%
Conceded 2nd Half38%50%
Over 0.5 HT81%67%
Over 1.5 HT56%37%

Recent Venue Form

CF Pachuca (H)
LCruz Azul1–2
DNecaxa3–3
DClub Tijuana2–2
DGuadalajara Chivas1–1
LPuebla2–3
LClub Queretaro1–2
Toluca (A)
DLeon1–1
LTigres UANL2–3
LMonterrey1–2
DCruz Azul3–3
WPuebla1–0
WClub Queretaro2–1

Number of Corners

9.3
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
11.2
113 games
10.9
Corners / Match
25 games
Match CornersCF PachucaTolucaLeague Avg
Over 680%84%88%
Over 773%80%85%
Over 860%76%75%
Over 953%56%67%
Over 1033%52%53%
Over 1120%36%43%
Over 1220%36%37%
Over 1313%24%29%

Team Corners

Team CornersCF PachucaToluca
Corners Earned / Match5.06.2
Corners Against / Match4.34.7
Over 2.5 Corners For87%92%
Over 3.5 Corners For73%84%
Over 4.5 Corners For60%72%
Over 2.5 Corners Against73%68%
Over 3.5 Corners Against53%56%
Over 4.5 Corners Against40%48%

Head to Head · 25 matches

8
CF Pachuca
32%
7
Draws
28%
10
Toluca
40%
88%
Over 1.5
22/25
68%
Over 2.5
17/25
48%
Over 3.5
12/25
64%
BTTS
16/25
10/05/26
CF Pachuca
2–0
Toluca
04/05/26
Toluca
0–1
CF Pachuca
22/03/26
CF Pachuca
1–1
Toluca
27/10/25
Toluca
2–2
CF Pachuca
29/03/25
Toluca
3–2
CF Pachuca
18/09/24
CF Pachuca
2–2
Toluca
31/03/24
CF Pachuca
2–3
Toluca
03/09/23
Toluca
5–0
CF Pachuca
20/02/23
CF Pachuca
1–2
Toluca
31/10/22
CF Pachuca
3–1
Toluca
28/10/22
Toluca
1–5
CF Pachuca
28/08/22
Toluca
1–4
CF Pachuca
13/03/22
Toluca
0–3
CF Pachuca
14/09/21
CF Pachuca
1–2
Toluca
14/03/21
Toluca
0–2
CF Pachuca
25/09/20
CF Pachuca
0–0
Toluca
19/02/20
Toluca
5–1
CF Pachuca
13/02/20
CF Pachuca
2–2
Toluca
27/10/19
Toluca
2–0
CF Pachuca
31/03/19
CF Pachuca
3–2
Toluca
Liga MX
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Club America12831+1627
2Guadalajara Chivas13652+823
3Cruz Azul13724+723
4Toluca13643+1022
5Leon13634+321
6Atlas13634-221
7Monterrey12624+620
8Club Queretaro12624+120
9Santos Laguna13616+319
10Atletico San Luis14545-319
11Club Tijuana12453+117
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas13445-316
13Puebla13445-416
14Tigres UANL13355-414
15Atlante FC14356-614
16CF Pachuca13346+213
17Necaxa14248-1110
18FC Juarez141211-245

Team Insights

CF Pachuca
  • ●CF Pachuca have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●CF Pachuca have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●72% of CF Pachuca's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●77% of CF Pachuca's points have been earned away.
  • ●CF Pachuca have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Toluca
  • ●Toluca have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Toluca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Toluca failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Toluca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Toluca have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Toluca have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●62% of Toluca's goals have been scored at home.
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
LHCruz Azul6º1–2
LHCruz Azul3º1–2
LAMonterrey5º1–2
LAMonterrey7º1–2
DHNecaxa8º3–3
DHNecaxa17º3–3
LASantos Laguna17º0–1
LASantos Laguna9º0–1
DHClub Tijuana2º2–2
DHClub Tijuana11º2–2
TolucaToluca
DALeon14º1–1
DALeon5º1–1
DHClub Tijuana2º2–2
DHClub Tijuana11º2–2
DHAtletico San Luis15º1–1
DHAtletico San Luis10º1–1
LATigres UANL16º2–3
LATigres UANL14º2–3
LAMonterrey1–2
DACruz Azul6º3–3

Season Schedule

CF Pachuca
LHCruz Azul1–2
LAMonterrey1–2
DHNecaxa3–3
LASantos Laguna0–1
DHClub Tijuana2–2
WAAtlante FC3–0
–AClub America26/10
–HTigres UANL31/10
–AAtlas07/11
Toluca
DALeon1–1
DHClub Tijuana2–2
DHAtletico San Luis1–1
LATigres UANL2–3
DACruz Azul3–3
LHSantos Laguna2–3
–AClub America01/11
–HMonterrey08/11
–ACF Pachuca21/11

Top Scorers

CF Pachuca
S. Rondon9 ⚽
Salomón Rondón4 ⚽
Alan Bautista1 ⚽
C. Moreno1 ⚽
E. Montiel1 ⚽
Eduardo Bauermann1 ⚽
Toluca
Paulinho8 ⚽
Helinho7 ⚽
J. Gallardo5 ⚽
Federico Viñas5 ⚽
F. Vinas5 ⚽
A. Vega4 ⚽

Cards Given

CF Pachuca
S. D. Barreto7 🟨
Eduardo Bauermann3 🟨
C. Sanchez3 🟨
Carlos Sánchez3 🟨
C. Moreno3 🟨
F. Venegas3 🟨
Toluca
Diego Barbosa4 🟨
Franco Romero4 🟨
Bruno Mendez3 🟨
Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich3 🟨
Bruno Méndez3 🟨
N. Castro3 🟨