Atlas vs Puebla — Liga MX
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Estadio Jalisco·Guadalajara·Mexico·56,713
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Atlas and Puebla meet in the Liga MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atlas have recorded 7 wins from 22 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Puebla have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Atlas and 1.42 for Puebla. The models give Atlas a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Puebla win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Atlas—
Puebla9º
Position
11º
2.00
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
59%
BTTS %
63%
23%
Clean sheet %
16%
45%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.6
Avg corners
4.4
12.9
Avg shots
12.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.2
Avg fouls
9.7
52.8%
Avg possession
43.3%
Home vs Away
Atlas
Home (1)
—
Puebla
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
62%
BTTS %
50%
15%
Clean sheet %
25%
38%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.6
Avg corners
4.4
12.9
Avg shots
12.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
52.8%
Avg possession
43.3%
Goals Scored
| Atlas | Home | Away | Puebla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 62% | 89% | 74% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 23% | 67% | 32% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 29% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 38% | 11% | 26% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlas | Home | Away | Puebla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 85% | 67% | 84% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 38% | 56% | 53% | 29% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 23% | 22% | 32% | 14% | 42% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 15% | 33% | 16% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlas | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 32% |
| BTTS | 59% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlas | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlas (H)L
Club America2–5
Club America2–5D
Guadalajara Chivas1–1
Guadalajara Chivas1–1D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1D
Atlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1L
Club Queretaro1–3
Club Queretaro1–3W
Tigres UANL2–1
Tigres UANL2–1Puebla (A)D
Club Tijuana0–0
Club Tijuana0–0LTigres UANL0–1
Tigres UANL0–1W
Necaxa1–0
Necaxa1–0LClub America0–2
Club America0–2W
CF Pachuca3–2
CF Pachuca3–2L
San Diego2–3
San Diego2–3Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
11.2
113 games
11.1
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Atlas | Puebla | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 94% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 81% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 81% | 67% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 69% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 31% | 37% |
| Over 13 | 44% | 19% | 29% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atlas | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 6.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 88% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
11
Atlas
48%
4
Draws
17%
8
Puebla
35%
61%
Over 1.5
14/23
43%
Over 2.5
10/23
30%
Over 3.5
7/23
52%
BTTS
12/23
10/07/26Puebla
Atlas
3–4Puebla10/01/26Puebla
Atlas
1–0Puebla12/07/25Atlas
Puebla
2–3Atlas15/02/25Puebla
Atlas
3–2Puebla20/07/24Atlas
Puebla
1–2Atlas09/03/24Atlas
Puebla
2–2Atlas29/09/23Puebla
Atlas
2–3Puebla18/03/23Atlas
Puebla
0–4Atlas21/08/22Puebla
Atlas
1–1Puebla12/02/22Atlas
Puebla
1–1Atlas29/09/21Puebla
Atlas
0–1Puebla15/05/21Atlas
Puebla
1–0Atlas13/05/21Puebla
Atlas
1–0Puebla13/03/21Atlas
Puebla
0–1Atlas31/10/20Puebla
Atlas
0–1Puebla18/01/20Puebla
Atlas
0–1Puebla19/10/19Atlas
Puebla
0–1Atlas09/02/19Puebla
Atlas
1–2Puebla22/08/18Atlas
Puebla
2–0Atlas10/03/18Puebla
Atlas
1–0Puebla| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 27 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Toluca | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 5 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Puebla | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | CF Pachuca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -24 | 5 |
Team Insights
Atlas- ●Atlas have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Atlas have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Atlas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Atlas have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Atlas have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atlas failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Atlas have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlas have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlas have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Atlas's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Atlas's points have been earned away.
Puebla- ●Puebla have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Puebla have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Puebla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Puebla failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Puebla have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Puebla have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Puebla's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
AtlasLHClub America2–5
Club America2–5WANecaxa2–0
Necaxa2–0DHGuadalajara Chivas1–1
Guadalajara Chivas1–1WAClub Tijuana3–2
Club Tijuana3–2DHU.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–1LAToluca2–5
Toluca2–5–HPuebla25/10
Puebla25/10–AAtletico San Luis31/10
Atletico San Luis31/10–HCF Pachuca07/11
CF Pachuca07/11PueblaLHMonterrey1–4
Monterrey1–4DAClub Tijuana0–0
Club Tijuana0–0DHLeon1–1
Leon1–1LATigres UANL0–1
Tigres UANL0–1DHAtlante FC1–1
Atlante FC1–1LHToluca0–1
Toluca0–1–AAtlas25/10
Atlas25/10–HU.N.A.M. - Pumas31/10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas31/10–AClub Queretaro09/11
Club Queretaro09/11Top Scorers
AtlasLuís André Leite Esteves4 ⚽
Ryan Mmaee3 ⚽
Florián Monzón2 ⚽
F. Monzon2 ⚽
E. Zaldivar2 ⚽
Duk1 ⚽
PueblaE. Mustre5 ⚽
E. Gomez2 ⚽
K. Velasco2 ⚽
Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges2 ⚽
Facundo Almada1 ⚽
I. Maestro1 ⚽
Cards Given
AtlasM. Capasso4 🟨
V. H. Rios De Alba3 🟨
Juan Sánchez3 🟨
L. Esteves2 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
Adonis Frías2 🟨
PueblaS. Sanabria3 🟨
Iker Moreno2 🟨
Fernando Monarrez2 🟨
Alejandro Organista1 🟨
Eduardo Mustre1 🟨
Carlos Baltazar1 🟨