Lecce vs Sassuolo — Serie A
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Lecce and Sassuolo meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Lecce have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Sassuolo have won 22% of their 18 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Lecce and 1.61 for Sassuolo. The models give Lecce a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sassuolo win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Lecce—
Sassuolo14º
Position
17º
0.90
PPG
0.80
30%
Win %
20%
1.10
Goals / game
1.60
2.10
Conceded / game
2.60
38%
BTTS %
72%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
56%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.8
Avg corners
4.3
13.2
Avg shots
13.2
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
13.3
Avg fouls
9.5
43.0%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Lecce
Home (5)
—
Sassuolo
Away (5)
0.60
PPG
0.20
20%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
2.40
Conceded / game
2.40
56%
BTTS %
71%
11%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.8
Avg corners
4.3
13.2
Avg shots
13.2
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
43.0%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Lecce | Home | Away | Sassuolo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 57% | 78% | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 50% | 55% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 22% | 14% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 18% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Lecce | Home | Away | Sassuolo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 89% | 57% | 83% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 78% | 43% | 61% | 36% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 11% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 11% | 43% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lecce | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 39% |
| BTTS | 38% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lecce | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Lecce (H)L
Genoa1–2
Genoa1–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2L
Bologna1–2
Bologna1–2W
Monza3–2
Monza3–2L
AS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4W
SS Monopoli1–0
SS Monopoli1–0Sassuolo (A)L
Como0–2
Como0–2L
Frosinone2–4
Frosinone2–4LMonza1–2
Monza1–2DBologna2–2
Bologna2–2L
Atalanta1–2
Atalanta1–2L
FC Augsburg2–3
FC Augsburg2–3Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.6
100 games
9.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Lecce | Sassuolo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 83% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 58% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 33% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 25% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 8% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lecce | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 67% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Lecce
22%
3
Draws
33%
4
Sassuolo
44%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
17/05/26Lecce
Sassuolo
2–3Lecce18/10/25Sassuolo
Lecce
0–0Sassuolo24/09/24Sassuolo
Lecce
0–2Sassuolo21/04/24Lecce
Sassuolo
0–3Lecce06/10/23Sassuolo
Lecce
1–1Sassuolo25/02/23Sassuolo
Lecce
0–1Sassuolo20/08/22Lecce
Sassuolo
1–0Lecce04/07/20Lecce
Sassuolo
4–2Lecce03/11/19Sassuolo
Lecce
2–2Sassuolo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Lecce- ●Lecce have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lecce have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Lecce have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lecce have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lecce failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lecce failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lecce have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Lecce's points have been earned away.
- ●Lecce have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Lecce have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Sassuolo- ●Sassuolo have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Sassuolo have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Sassuolo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sassuolo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sassuolo have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Sassuolo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Sassuolo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
LecceLHGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2LAFrosinone1–5
Frosinone1–5LHJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2WAUdinese3–0
Udinese3–0LHBologna1–2
Bologna1–2LAAC Milan0–3
AC Milan0–3–ATorino07/11
Torino07/11–ALazio21/11
Lazio21/11–HAtalanta29/11
Atalanta29/11SassuoloLHFiorentina2–4
Fiorentina2–4LHLazio2–6
Lazio2–6LAComo0–2
Como0–2LAFrosinone2–4
Frosinone2–4DHAC Milan1–1
AC Milan1–1LAMonza1–2
Monza1–2–AAS Roma07/11
AS Roma07/11–HGenoa22/11
Genoa22/11–HNapoli29/11
Napoli29/11Top Scorers
LecceTiago Gabriel2 ⚽
Y. Maleh2 ⚽
L. Coulibaly2 ⚽
P. Esteban2 ⚽
Kialonda Gaspar1 ⚽
H. Laerke1 ⚽
SassuoloC. Volpato3 ⚽
V. Adzic3 ⚽
Armand Lauriente2 ⚽
Domenico Berardi2 ⚽
A. Lauriente2 ⚽
Kristian Thorstvedt2 ⚽
Cards Given
LecceKialonda Gaspar3 🟨
Jamil Siebert3 🟨
D. Veiga3 🟨
O. Ngom2 🟨
Ivan Ilić2 🟨
K. Gaspar1 🟨
SassuoloKristian Thorstvedt2 🟨
L. Lipani2 🟨
Domenico Berardi2 🟨
A. Lauriente2 🟨
Gabriel Kulla1 🟨
D. Bakola1 🟨