Monza vs Fiorentina — Serie A
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Monza and Fiorentina meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Monza have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Fiorentina have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.21 for Monza and 1.72 for Fiorentina. The models give Monza a 49% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Fiorentina win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Monza—
Fiorentina15º
Position
18º
0.88
PPG
0.57
25%
Win %
14%
1.88
Goals / game
1.14
2.25
Conceded / game
2.43
75%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
81%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.7
Avg corners
4.9
14.7
Avg shots
15.9
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
11.3
Avg fouls
11.2
46.0%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
Monza
Home (3)
—
Fiorentina
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
33%
2.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.67
75%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
17%
100%
Over 2.5 %
83%
4.7
Avg corners
4.9
14.7
Avg shots
15.9
5.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
46.0%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| Monza | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 88% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Monza | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 63% | 63% | 53% | 33% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 56% | 63% | 50% | 27% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Monza | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 27% |
| BTTS | 75% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Monza | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 81% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Monza (H)W
Cagliari4–0
Cagliari4–0L
Cremonese2–3
Cremonese2–3W
Sassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1L
Udinese2–3
Udinese2–3W
Avellino3–0
Avellino3–0D
Padova3–3
Padova3–3Fiorentina (A)L
Genoa1–2
Genoa1–2W
Venezia4–2
Venezia4–2L
AS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4D
Real Madrid2–2
Real Madrid2–2W
Watford1–0
Watford1–0L
QPR2–3
QPR2–3Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
8.4
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Monza | Fiorentina | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 67% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 56% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 22% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 22% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 11% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Monza | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 56% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Monza
29%
2
Draws
29%
3
Fiorentina
43%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
86%
BTTS
6/7
13/01/25Fiorentina
Monza
2–1Fiorentina01/09/24Monza
Fiorentina
2–2Monza13/05/24Monza
Fiorentina
2–1Monza22/12/23Fiorentina
Monza
0–1Fiorentina23/04/23Fiorentina
Monza
3–2Fiorentina04/01/23Monza
Fiorentina
1–1Monza18/08/19Monza
Fiorentina
3–1Monza| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Monza- ●Monza have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Monza have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Monza have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Monza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Monza failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Monza's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Monza's points have been earned at home.
- ●Monza have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Fiorentina- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Fiorentina's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
MonzaLATorino2–3
Torino2–3WHCagliari4–0
Cagliari4–0LALazio1–3
Lazio1–3WHSassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1LALecce2–3
Lecce2–3DAParma1–1
Parma1–1–HNapoli28/10
Napoli28/10–ABologna31/10
Bologna31/10–HAtalanta08/11
Atalanta08/11FiorentinaLHComo1–3
Como1–3LAGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2DHNapoli1–1
Napoli1–1WAVenezia4–2
Venezia4–2LHTorino1–2
Torino1–2LHFrosinone0–3
Frosinone0–3–AInter25/10
Inter25/10–HAtalanta29/10
Atalanta29/10–ASassuolo02/11
Sassuolo02/11Top Scorers
MonzaG. Varela6 ⚽
Gustavo Varela3 ⚽
A. Colpani3 ⚽
Jay Robinson2 ⚽
D. Mota2 ⚽
O. Forson2 ⚽
FiorentinaF. Mastantuono3 ⚽
R. Piccoli3 ⚽
Mateo Pellegrino2 ⚽
C. Ndour2 ⚽
M. Kean2 ⚽
A. Gudmundsson2 ⚽
Cards Given
MonzaL. Lucchesi2 🟨
E. Kouadio2 🟨
M. Folorunsho2 🟨
2 🟨
Ivan Juric1 🟨
G. Varela1 🟨
FiorentinaL. Ranieri2 🟨
N. Fagioli2 🟨
A. Gudmundsson2 🟨
Franco Mastantuono2 🟨
Christ Inao Oulaï1 🟨
A. Njie1 🟨