Italy · Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Atalanta

13º · 1.10 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 20d 0h

–

Inter

2º · 2.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 18d 23h

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Atalanta and Inter meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Atalanta have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Inter have won 70% of their 20 matches, with 2.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Atalanta and 1.87 for Inter. The models give Atalanta a 28% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Inter win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.

Season Statistics

Atalanta

—

Inter

13º

Position

2º

1.10

PPG

2.50

30%

Win %

80%

1.60

Goals / game

2.60

2.00

Conceded / game

1.30

56%

BTTS %

65%

28%

Clean sheet %

35%

67%

Over 2.5 %

65%

4.7

Avg corners

6.3

14.6

Avg shots

21.0

4.9

Avg shots on target

7.3

1.1

Avg yellow cards

1.8

10.3

Avg fouls

9.4

49.6%

Avg possession

59.6%

Home vs Away

Atalanta

Home (6)

—

Inter

Away (5)

1.67

PPG

2.00

50%

Win %

60%

1.83

Goals / game

1.80

1.83

Conceded / game

1.20

60%

BTTS %

73%

30%

Clean sheet %

27%

70%

Over 2.5 %

64%

4.7

Avg corners

6.3

14.6

Avg shots

21.0

4.9

Avg shots on target

7.3

1.1

Avg yellow cards

1.8

49.6%

Avg possession

59.6%

Goals Scored

	Atalanta	Home	Away	Inter	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	78%	80%	75%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	44%	50%	38%	65%	78%	55%
Over 2.5 Scored	28%	40%	13%	35%	56%	18%
Failed To Score	22%	20%	25%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Atalanta	Home	Away	Inter	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	72%	70%	75%	65%	56%	73%
Over 1.5 Conceded	56%	40%	75%	30%	33%	27%
Over 2.5 Conceded	17%	20%	13%	15%	22%	9%
Clean Sheets	28%	30%	25%	35%	44%	27%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Atalanta	Inter
Over 0.5	94%	100%
Over 1.5	78%	85%
Over 2.5	67%	65%
Over 3.5	33%	35%
Over 4.5	17%	20%
BTTS	56%	65%
BTTS & Win	22%	35%
BTTS & Draw	11%	15%
BTTS & Over 2.5	56%	55%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Atalanta	Inter
Win 1st Half	33%	25%
Draw 1st Half	44%	60%
Loss 1st Half	22%	15%
Scored 1st Half	44%	55%
Conceded 1st Half	44%	40%
Win 2nd Half	33%	65%
Draw 2nd Half	17%	30%
Loss 2nd Half	50%	5%
Scored 2nd Half	56%	80%
Conceded 2nd Half	61%	35%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	65%
Over 1.5 HT	44%	50%

Recent Venue Form

Atalanta (H)

Parma0–3

Frosinone4–4

Pafos3–1

Venezia3–1

Cagliari1–2

Bologna1–0

Inter (A)

Feyenoord3–0

AC Milan1–3

Venezia2–0

Bologna3–1

AS Roma2–2

Real Madrid1–2

Number of Corners

10.1

Corners / Match

14 games

League Avg

9.6

100 games

9.7

Corners / Match

14 games

Match Corners	Atalanta	Inter	League Avg
Over 6	71%	79%	80%
Over 7	71%	71%	68%
Over 8	57%	64%	58%
Over 9	50%	36%	43%
Over 10	43%	36%	36%
Over 11	43%	29%	31%
Over 12	43%	29%	24%
Over 13	29%	29%	18%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Atalanta	Inter
Corners Earned / Match	4.7	6.3
Corners Against / Match	5.4	3.4
Over 2.5 Corners For	71%	93%
Over 3.5 Corners For	57%	79%
Over 4.5 Corners For	50%	64%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	64%	71%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	64%	50%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	21%

Head to Head · 32 matches

Atalanta

16%

Draws

34%

Inter

50%

75%

Over 1.5

24/32

41%

Over 2.5

13/32

31%

Over 3.5

10/32

53%

BTTS

17/32

14/03/26

Inter

1–1

Atalanta

28/12/25

Atalanta

0–1

Inter

16/03/25

Atalanta

0–2

Inter

02/01/25

Inter

2–0

Atalanta

30/08/24

Inter

4–0

Atalanta

28/02/24

Inter

4–0

Atalanta

04/11/23

Atalanta

1–2

Inter

27/05/23

Inter

3–2

Atalanta

31/01/23

Inter

1–0

Atalanta

13/11/22

Atalanta

2–3

Inter

16/01/22

Atalanta

0–0

Inter

25/09/21

Inter

2–2

Atalanta

08/03/21

Inter

1–0

Atalanta

08/11/20

Atalanta

1–1

Inter

01/08/20

Atalanta

0–2

Inter

11/01/20

Inter

1–1

Atalanta

07/04/19

Inter

0–0

Atalanta

11/11/18

Atalanta

4–1

Inter

14/04/18

Atalanta

0–0

Inter

19/11/17

Inter

2–0

Atalanta

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	+16	28
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	+18	24
4	Como	10	7	2	1	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	+9	21
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	+4	14
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	-7	7
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	-12	5
20	Venezia	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Team Insights

Atalanta

●Atalanta have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
●69% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
●91% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
●Atalanta have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.

Inter

●Inter have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
●Inter have won their last 5 home matches.
●Inter have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Inter have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
●Inter failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
●Inter have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
●Inter have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
●65% of Inter's goals have been scored at home.
●Inter have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.

Atalanta

LHParma15º0–3

LHParma14º0–3

DAFiorentina16º2–2

DAFiorentina3º2–2

DHFrosinone6º4–4

DHFrosinone9º4–4

LAAjax2º0–2

LAAjax13º0–2

LAAC Milan5º2–3

LAAC Milan1º2–3

Inter

WAFeyenoord30º3–0

WAFeyenoord26º3–0

LAAC Milan5º1–3

LAAC Milan1º1–3

WAVenezia20º2–0

WHFiorentina16º2–1

WHFiorentina3º2–1

WHShakhtar Donetsk20º1–0

WHShakhtar Donetsk17º1–0

Season Schedule

Atalanta

Parma0–3

Fiorentina2–2

Frosinone4–4

AC Milan2–3

Venezia3–1

Juventus0–2

–A

Monza08/11

–H

Inter22/11

–A

Lecce29/11

Inter

AC Milan1–3

Venezia2–0

Fiorentina2–1

Bologna3–1

Parma3–0

AS Roma2–2

–H

Como08/11

–A

Atalanta22/11

–H

Genoa29/11

Top Scorers

Atalanta

Nikola Krstović5 ⚽

N. Krstovic4 ⚽

G. Scamacca4 ⚽

G. Raspadori2 ⚽

L. Samardzic2 ⚽

Éderson José dos Santos2 ⚽

Inter

Lautaro Martínez4 ⚽

Carlos Augusto4 ⚽

Marcus Thuram4 ⚽

A. Diouf3 ⚽

F. Esposito2 ⚽

Ange-Yoan Bonny2 ⚽

Cards Given

Atalanta

Relja Obric2 🟨

Éderson José dos Santos2 🟨

Elif Elmas2 🟨

N. Zalewski2 🟨

H. Ahanor1 🟨

G. Raspadori1 🟨

Inter

Hakan Çalhanoğlu3 🟨

Alessandro Bastoni3 🟨

M. Akanji2 🟨

Carlos Augusto2 🟨

Lautaro Martínez2 🟨

Manuel Akanji2 🟨

Atalanta vs Inter — Serie A

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 32 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given