AC Milan vs Frosinone — Serie A
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AC Milan and Frosinone meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. AC Milan have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Frosinone have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for AC Milan and 1.28 for Frosinone. The models give AC Milan a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Frosinone win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| AC Milan | Home | Away | Frosinone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 80% | 78% | 88% | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 60% | 56% | 50% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 22% | 31% | 27% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| AC Milan | Home | Away | Frosinone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 60% | 89% | 75% | 73% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 56% | 38% | 36% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 22% | 13% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 40% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AC Milan | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS | 57% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AC Milan | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 69% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | AC Milan | Frosinone | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 40% | 78% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 20% | 78% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 20% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 44% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | AC Milan | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 20% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 67% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Frosinone have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Frosinone have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Frosinone have scored 71% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Frosinone have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.

