Monza vs Atalanta — Serie A
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Monza and Atalanta meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Monza have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Atalanta have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.14 for Monza and 1.26 for Atalanta. The models give Monza a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Atalanta win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Monza—
Atalanta15º
Position
11º
0.88
PPG
1.29
25%
Win %
43%
1.88
Goals / game
1.43
2.25
Conceded / game
1.57
75%
BTTS %
53%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
81%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.7
Avg corners
4.4
14.7
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.1
11.3
Avg fouls
10.5
46.0%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Monza
Home (3)
—
Atalanta
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
0.00
67%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
2.33
75%
BTTS %
43%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
100%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.7
Avg corners
4.4
14.7
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.1
46.0%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Monza | Home | Away | Atalanta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 88% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 88% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Monza | Home | Away | Atalanta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 63% | 63% | 47% | 25% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 56% | 63% | 50% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Monza | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 13% |
| BTTS | 75% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Monza | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 81% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Monza (H)W
Cagliari4–0
Cagliari4–0L
Cremonese2–3
Cremonese2–3W
Sassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1L
Udinese2–3
Udinese2–3W
Avellino3–0
Avellino3–0D
Padova3–3
Padova3–3Atalanta (A)L
Ajax0–2
Ajax0–2L
AC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2L
AS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2W
Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0W
FC Schalke 043–0
FC Schalke 043–0Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
9.2
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Monza | Atalanta | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 64% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 45% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 36% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 27% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Monza | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 36% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
0
Monza
0%
0
Draws
0%
6
Atalanta
100%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
04/05/25Atalanta
Monza
0–4Atalanta30/10/24Monza
Atalanta
2–0Monza21/04/24Atalanta
Monza
1–2Atalanta02/09/23Monza
Atalanta
3–0Monza04/06/23Monza
Atalanta
5–2Monza05/09/22Atalanta
Monza
0–2Atalanta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Monza- ●Monza have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Monza have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Monza have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Monza failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Monza failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Monza have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Monza's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Monza's points have been earned at home.
- ●Monza have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Atalanta- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atalanta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atalanta have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MonzaLATorino2–3
Torino2–3WHCagliari4–0
Cagliari4–0LALazio1–3
Lazio1–3WHSassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1LALecce2–3
Lecce2–3DAParma1–1
Parma1–1–HNapoli28/10
Napoli28/10–ABologna31/10
Bologna31/10–HAtalanta08/11
Atalanta08/11AtalantaLAAC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3WHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2LAAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2WHBologna1–0
Bologna1–0–HFrosinone25/10
Frosinone25/10–AFiorentina29/10
Fiorentina29/10–HParma02/11
Parma02/11Top Scorers
MonzaG. Varela6 ⚽
Gustavo Varela3 ⚽
A. Colpani3 ⚽
Jay Robinson2 ⚽
D. Mota2 ⚽
O. Forson2 ⚽
AtalantaN. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Scamacca4 ⚽
Nikola Krstović3 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
G. Raspadori2 ⚽
N. Zalewski1 ⚽
Cards Given
MonzaL. Lucchesi2 🟨
E. Kouadio2 🟨
M. Folorunsho2 🟨
2 🟨
Ivan Juric1 🟨
G. Varela1 🟨
AtalantaN. Zalewski2 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨
G. Scalvini1 🟨
Gianluca Gaetano1 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
F. Kessie1 🟨